2A RPI Playoff Projection Heading into WK 10

GrizzlyDevil

All-American
Nov 22, 2011
3,973
7,283
113
WestEast
1 - Starmount1 - Tarboro
BYEBYE
16 - Albemarle16 - Southside
17 - Cherokee17 - Rosewood
9 - CS Davidson9 - Perquimans
BYEBYE
8 - Christ the King8 - Gates Co
BYEBYE
4 - East Wilkes4 - North Duplin
BYEBYE
13 - Mountain Isl Ch13 - NW Halifax
20 - Avery Co20 - Pamlico Co
12 - Hayesville12 - ALA Johnston
21 - Highland Tech21 - Lejeune
5 - Swain Co5 - East Bladen
BYEBYE
2 - Alleghany2 - Warren Co
BYEBYE
15 - North Rowan15 - Northampton Co
18 - South Stokes18 - Union
10 - Mitchell10 - Holmes
BYE23 - Triangle M&S
7 - Bishop McG7 - Hobbton
BYEBYE
3 - Murphy3 - Manteo
BYEBYE
14 - Cherryville14 - Camden Co
19 - Elkin19 - West Columbus
11 - South Stanly11 - East Carteret
22 - Langtree Ch22 - Bertie
6 - Corvian Comm6 - Lakewood
BYEBYE

Massey Matchup Projections:

Eastern Finals = (1)Tarboro by 32 over (2) Warren County
Western Finals = (3)Murphy by 7 over (9)CS Davidson
State Championship = Tarboro by 22 over Murphy
 

OtisDriftwood

All-Conference
Sep 22, 2001
6,958
1,860
113
How does this system determine how much Team A will beat Team B by when there are no common opponents? I don’t have a problem with Tarboro being favored to beat Murphy (they should be favored), I just think 22 points is a little much and maybe even borderline disrespectful to a proud program like Murphy, which has 10 state titles to it’s name. Now these two teams may play and Tarboro may win by more than 22, but I just think that, going into the game, the spread should be much smaller. Murphy ain’t chopped liver and they would not be shocked by Tarboro’s athleticism, size, and speed after having played the likes of Heard County GA and AC Reynolds.
 

vikandpirate4christ

All-Conference
Nov 18, 2011
1,406
2,251
78
I just hope we are fortunate enough to make it again this year. If we do make it, I would love to play a team as storied as Murphy. Matter of fact, I think most Tarboro fans want to play Murphy. Two of the most storied programs would finally get to collide. What's not to like about it?
 

KW2346

All-Conference
Feb 9, 2011
4,354
3,485
113
Fortunate enough to make it..get out of here with that lol...y'all could beat the 2a East with your eyes closed lol
 
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TarVikes1

Sophomore
Nov 23, 2017
150
181
43
How does this system determine how much Team A will beat Team B by when there are no common opponents? I don’t have a problem with Tarboro being favored to beat Murphy (they should be favored), I just think 22 points is a little much and maybe even borderline disrespectful to a proud program like Murphy, which has 10 state titles to it’s name. Now these two teams may play and Tarboro may win by more than 22, but I just think that, going into the game, the spread should be much smaller. Murphy ain’t chopped liver and they would not be shocked by Tarboro’s athleticism, size, and speed after having played the likes of Heard County GA and AC Reynolds.
Genuine question because I haven’t see any western teams play other than Starmount and Allegheny — Tarboro beat the western champion by 21 last year, and I think this year’s team is just as good, if not better. So the question is: will the western champion be better than Corvian was last season?

If you can’t definitively say yes, then 22 might be a fair baseline number. That’s not to say Tarboro will win by that or even win the game, but it feels like a reasonable starting point for predictions
 
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vikandpirate4christ

All-Conference
Nov 18, 2011
1,406
2,251
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Genuine question because I haven’t see any western teams play other than Starmount and Allegheny — Tarboro beat the western champion by 21 last year, and I think this year’s team is just as good, if not better. So the question is: will the western champion be better than Corvian was last season?

If you can’t definitively say yes, then 22 might be a fair baseline number. That’s not to say Tarboro will win by that or even win the game, but it feels like a reasonable starting point for predictions
We missed quite a few extra points to which made the game seem a little closer at times. I agree with Tarvikes, we are just as good if not better than last year
 
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KW2346

All-Conference
Feb 9, 2011
4,354
3,485
113
Not badmouthing y'all at all...it is what it is...you play whomever is in front of you. Yes Tarboro is 22 pts better than starmount imo...Murphy is the best bet to give Tarboro a game. But no they are not better than the Charlotte all stars were last year.
 

Black knight 87

Redshirt
Sep 26, 2025
11
5
3
I actually agree with you. Coach Craddock does a tremendous job of getting our guys ready regardless of who we are playing, but over the years I’ve seen some weird things happen. I also try to display a little humility as well
You guy's have a great team wished we could have played you all at least once for a state title over the years maybe one day. Good luck the rest of the way but i don't think you guy's need it
 
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vikandpirate4christ

All-Conference
Nov 18, 2011
1,406
2,251
78
You guy's have a great team wished we could have played you all at least once for a state title over the years maybe one day. Good luck the rest of the way but i don't think you guy's need it
Thank you for your kindness. You guys have a ton to be proud of. A tremendous program and year in and year out you know that you guys are going to be in the mix
 

OtisDriftwood

All-Conference
Sep 22, 2001
6,958
1,860
113
Genuine question because I haven’t see any western teams play other than Starmount and Allegheny — Tarboro beat the western champion by 21 last year, and I think this year’s team is just as good, if not better. So the question is: will the western champion be better than Corvian was last season?

If you can’t definitively say yes, then 22 might be a fair baseline number. That’s not to say Tarboro will win by that or even win the game, but it feels like a reasonable starting point for predictions
That’s a good point you made about Corvian and how that could affect predictions for this year. I honestly don’t know exactly how good Murphy is this year compared to Corvian last year. I will say that IMO Murphy is definitely better overall this year than last year though. But It’s been a weird season. A lot of road games and the opposition has either been very tough (Heard, ACR, Franklin, Robbinsville) or very weak (pretty much everyone else we have faced so far). We have a lot of talent but it seems like we haven’t come close to peaking yet, which I guess could be a good thing. Hopefully the best is yet to come.
 

Tarboroviking18

All-Conference
Mar 24, 2023
1,022
1,680
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Chris Hughes said on talking preps last night the 2a west was the corvian invitational. I agree with him on a lot of stuff, but I personally don't think corvian is that much better than everyone in the west.
 

TarVikes1

Sophomore
Nov 23, 2017
150
181
43
Chris Hughes said on talking preps last night the 2a west was the corvian invitational. I agree with him on a lot of stuff, but I personally don't think corvian is that much better than everyone in the west.
That show is nothing but Charlotte homers. Talk about disrespect to Murphy, Starmount, CSOD, East Wilkes, Swain and Allegheny.

Corvian is good but what have they done to deserve that kind of statement?
 

Tarboroviking18

All-Conference
Mar 24, 2023
1,022
1,680
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That show is nothing but Charlotte homers. Talk about disrespect to Murphy, Starmount, CSOD, East Wilkes, Swain and Allegheny.

Corvian is good but what have they done to deserve that kind of statement?
It's crazy because I used to enjoy their show. Now all they do is talk about Charlotte schools. They used to talk about schools from all over. Corvian is good don't get me wrong, but saying it's the corvian invitational? I don't agree with that. They are by no means unbeatable
 
Jul 23, 2009
15,245
7,509
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Very true. Any given Friday. But I think the knights barring huge injuries, should make it. Tons of respect for the knights
Robbinsville is good and getting better. Today's Knights team would beat the week 1-3 Knights teams by 3 or 4 Tds. 3 new backfields in the last 14 months basically.
Thin though. It will be tough if ANYONE is injured especially a lineman.

Murphy looks good but seems like something isn't exactly right though. They have had a few injuries that play a factor. If the QB makes good decisions and they are close to 100% healthy the might be the favorite in the West.

If Swain is healthy they will be tough at home like always. Murphy at Swain in 9 days is hugh. Swain could win that game but still be a lower seed than Murphy.
 
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vikandpirate4christ

All-Conference
Nov 18, 2011
1,406
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It’s a bit odd to me that they would say that about Covian. They’ve made one championship! Now that’s a great feat, don’t get me wrong, but I don’t think it welcomes a saying like that
 
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OtisDriftwood

All-Conference
Sep 22, 2001
6,958
1,860
113
Chris Hughes said on talking preps last night the 2a west was the corvian invitational. I agree with him on a lot of stuff, but I personally don't think corvian is that much better than everyone in the west.
The Charlotte area guys said the same thing in 2016 about Mountain Island too, and needed Murphy to show them differently lol. I can see that exact thing happening this year except sub Corvian in for MIC.
 

OtisDriftwood

All-Conference
Sep 22, 2001
6,958
1,860
113
Robbinsville is good and getting better. Today's Knights team would beat the week 1-3 Knights teams by 3 or 4 Tds. 3 new backfields in the last 14 months basically.
Thin though. It will be tough if ANYONE is injured especially a lineman.

Murphy looks good but seems like something isn't exactly right though. They have had a few injuries that play a factor. If the QB makes good decisions and they are close to 100% healthy the might be the favorite in the West.

If Swain is healthy they will be tough at home like always. Murphy at Swain in 9 days is hugh. Swain could win that game but still be a lower seed than Murphy.
I agree about Murphy. I can’t put my finger on it, but something is missing or just hasn’t clicked yet. I hope it does because this team, from a talent, experience, and depth standpoint, should represent the west this year in 2a.
 

whitleyre

Junior
Jul 18, 2025
125
235
43
Guys, I truly hope someone in the West beats the snoot out of Corvain. You just have to understand, they do not have to recruit, they just open practice. They sit beside, I mean right beside, Mallard Creek and within 2 to 4 miles of either 3 or 4 other 7A/8A high schools.

Those 7A and 8A schools can only put so many players on the field, and when you have 2000 plus student bodies, do you not think there is talent not just not playing, but not even on the team. Talk about an unfair advantage!
 

OtisDriftwood

All-Conference
Sep 22, 2001
6,958
1,860
113
Guys, I truly hope someone in the West beats the snoot out of Corvain. You just have to understand, they do not have to recruit, they just open practice. They sit beside, I mean right beside, Mallard Creek and within 2 to 4 miles of either 3 or 4 other 7A/8A high schools.

Those 7A and 8A schools can only put so many players on the field, and when you have 2000 plus student bodies, do you not think there is talent not just not playing, but not even on the team. Talk about an unfair advantage!
I get what you’re saying, but it’s not like they can just add players everyday when they need them. Whatever they start the season with is what they have all year, except for some JVs that might move up at the end of the jv season. Looking from afar at what they have right now, they don’t look “that” good.
 

SMC Observer

Sophomore
Apr 10, 2012
311
171
43
I agree about Murphy. I can’t put my finger on it, but something is missing or just hasn’t clicked yet.
The defense has been strong overall and they are good enough to keep them in the game against most teams, silly personal foul penalties aside. The offense on the other hand simply has not look liked a Murphy contender level offense against good opposition minus the first half against AC Reynolds.

On paper Murphy's offense should be a lot more explosive than have been in reality, the pace of play hasn't been good enough and they do not looked like the well oiled machine of Murphy title offenses of the past. I think there are several factors as to why that is the case but two things that should not be up for debate: 1) the ground game needs to be leaned on more heavily in big games especially once #5 and #8 are on the field together again and fully healthy and 2) #10 has to play better in big moments, you aren't going to win a 2A regional title without your QB making some big plays in big games.
 

Delta53

Redshirt
Oct 23, 2024
19
14
2
The defense has been strong overall and they are good enough to keep them in the game against most teams, silly personal foul penalties aside. The offense on the other hand simply has not look liked a Murphy contender level offense against good opposition minus the first half against AC Reynolds.

On paper Murphy's offense should be a lot more explosive than have been in reality, the pace of play hasn't been good enough and they do not looked like the well oiled machine of Murphy title offenses of the past. I think there are several factors as to why that is the case but two things that should not be up for debate: 1) the ground game needs to be leaned on more heavily in big games especially once #5 and #8 are on the field together again and fully healthy and 2) #10 has to play better in big moments, you aren't going to win a 2A regional title without your QB making some big plays in big games.
I say it every Friday night, RUN THE BALL!!!
 

Deana_King

Senior
Staff member
Mar 4, 2019
504
853
93
We (Starmount) have played everyone in the SMC except for Hayesville.

Murphy 1-1
Robbinsville 1-0
Rosman 1-1
Cherokee 1-1
Swain 2-4
Andrews 2-0
Hendersonville 1-0 (was SMC in 1998)
 
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