8.5 pt dogs at UT tomorrow

PoBilly

All-Conference
Mar 18, 2012
2,784
4,460
98
Sounds about right. Carr might be out, Butler still not 100%. Surprised it is not more. GO BIG BLUE!!!
 

Digger-Cat

All-Conference
Oct 31, 2024
2,317
4,214
0
I'm not ready to guarantee a loss, because honestly, UT has trouble scoring if you stay with Lanier and use length on Ziegler, but the bottom line is, we need to scortch the nets from 3 against the best 3 point shooting defense in the country.
If I was a Tennessee fan (🤮), I would like my chances, but I still would feel some anxiety.
 
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senonesy

All-American
Nov 30, 2017
3,955
8,005
113
Even great Cal teams have lost at TB. I always, always pencil this game in as an L. We will need lube before we go down there.
And some Cal teams that had no business winning there went in and dominated. TB isn’t that intimidating compared to some other venues in the SEC. -8.5 is a huge line and surprising to me.
 

bbnkat02

Heisman
Nov 14, 2017
46,064
68,221
113
And some Cal teams that had no business winning there went in and dominated. TB isn’t that intimidating compared to some other venues in the SEC. -8.5 is a huge line and surprising to me.
Doesn't surprise me at all. UT is still one of the top defensive teams in the country and we've looked offensively putrid in the past couple of games.
 
Jan 3, 2003
145,534
15,709
0
That is a huge line.
I don't bet on UK (to win or lose, especially to lose) in games, don't want to jinx the Cats.
But for a better, I think you take UK & the points.

Yes we lost at Vandy, in a close game. Guess what, so did UT 7 days earlier.
Yes we lost a HOME game to Bama also a close game. Guess what, just a week and a half earlier UT lost a HOME game to Florida by 30.
Yes we will probably be without Carr. Guess what, UT only plays 7 guys, 4 of them 6'4 & shorter guards.
Should UT be favored in this game? Yes. By 8.5? No.
 

king of cali

All-Conference
Nov 24, 2005
6,955
3,877
0
If i were a betting man i would take UK at +8.5. They probably won’t win the game, but do enough to keep it close.
 
Oct 9, 2015
13,426
35,134
78
No surprise. Butler not 100%, Carr probably out, UT defense. Could get ugly if we don’t figure out how to protect the ball and stop making stupid decision. Brea and Robinson need to shoot lots of threes. Have to limit offensive rebounds. Of goodness.
 

TTTblue24

All-Conference
Feb 1, 2004
3,642
2,109
113
Better be setting some screens off the ball or another high turnover game coming, hope to see less of the Williams/garrison being the catalyst for the offense majority of the time.
 

LadyCaytIL

Heisman
Oct 28, 2012
32,264
33,269
113
I'm betting Tenn at -10.5 . Of course right before the game because if Carr is playing I will then hit UK to beat the spread.

and thats not a dig at us, having Carr out is that crucial to us, he's out best big man
 

LineSkiCat14

Heisman
Aug 5, 2015
38,321
59,957
113
This is a game that I'm not clearing my schedule for. I'll go to the gym (as it's the only time I have to do so), and I'll put it on while I'm there.. but I'll be a little quicker than usual to switch it something else if they play like they have been.

Someone had a great point the other day, in that at least Cal's teams would have the talent that they were never out of any game. And that is something I sort of miss with this team. Watching them play Vandy, they looked like a mid-major we'd have played 10 years ago that just doesn't have the horses to keep up. For the first time in a while, we're watching a team that has a concrete ceiling IMO.. and beating Tennessee might actually be *mostly* out of reach (Unless we really find something that works with this team).
 

rivercatinfl

All-Conference
Nov 21, 2012
1,709
1,611
97
I am usually optimistic when we play in a game where we are underdogs. But this is tough timing for us to play in Knoxville.
Sounds like Carr's back isn't getting better either. Butler is hurting and UT is very athletic. Never the less, I think we win! '#^%{%{^ UT!!
 

Digger-Cat

All-Conference
Oct 31, 2024
2,317
4,214
0
That is a huge line.
I don't bet on UK (to win or lose, especially to lose) in games, don't want to jinx the Cats.
But for a better, I think you take UK & the points.

Yes we lost at Vandy, in a close game. Guess what, so did UT 7 days earlier.
Yes we lost a HOME game to Bama also a close game. Guess what, just a week and a half earlier UT lost a HOME game to Florida by 30.
Yes we will probably be without Carr. Guess what, UT only plays 7 guys, 4 of them 6'4 & shorter guards.
Should UT be favored in this game? Yes. By 8.5? No.
That Tennessee vs Florida game was in Gainesville, they play in Knoxville this Saturday.
 
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Jul 26, 2003
21,180
11,162
0
21% chance for us to win. Is it almost impossible for us to reach some of these teams intensity and physicalness? Are some coaches just better at getting the most out of their players on a consistent basis? Are some of these teams in better shape than us?
 
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*Fox2Monk*

Heisman
Jun 10, 2009
43,060
76,706
113
Kentucky opens at +8.5 with over/ under of 148.5. Side note college gameday chose NC- Duke this Saturday over Arkansas- Kentucky
Are you shocked? That’s like a given. ESPN was created to cater to that matchup. It’s the only decent team Duke plays the rest of the year outside Illinois.
 
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*Fox2Monk*

Heisman
Jun 10, 2009
43,060
76,706
113
That is a huge line.
I don't bet on UK (to win or lose, especially to lose) in games, don't want to jinx the Cats.
But for a better, I think you take UK & the points.

Yes we lost at Vandy, in a close game. Guess what, so did UT 7 days earlier.
Yes we lost a HOME game to Bama also a close game. Guess what, just a week and a half earlier UT lost a HOME game to Florida by 30.
Yes we will probably be without Carr. Guess what, UT only plays 7 guys, 4 of them 6'4 & shorter guards.
Should UT be favored in this game? Yes. By 8.5? No.
That’s a good point. Florida beat UT by a ton so no reason we can’t win there. Probable no but possible.
 

FitchandMurray29

All-Conference
Dec 11, 2021
2,165
4,405
61
Betting lines are largely generated off the efficiency metrics. Tennessee has been in the upper echelon so far this year. There’s a big gap after the top 6 in KenPom right now. They’re in that top 6 and we’re not top 20.

Line feels about right to me.

Very interested in how it plays out. I have significant doubts about their offense and shooting beyond Chaz which could allow us to stay close. Or they could be due, after an abysmal shooting night at Auburn and us have no chance. Who knows!
 
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ArtLaibsGhost_rivals

All-American
Dec 6, 2020
4,710
8,736
0
Sounds about right to me considering our injuries. Maybe if Brea and Robinson got hot we could pull an upset but I'm not betting on it
 

Digger-Cat

All-Conference
Oct 31, 2024
2,317
4,214
0
21% chance for us to win. Is it almost impossible for us to reach some of these teams intensity and physicalness? Are some coaches just better at getting the most out of their players on a consistent basis? Are some of these teams in better shape than us?
Some of our players came from mid major programs, they don't play bully ball like this in those conferences.
Oweh and Garrison came from the BIG12, so they are used to it, but the rest don’t look like they are handling it well.
 

*Fox2Monk*

Heisman
Jun 10, 2009
43,060
76,706
113
Some of our players came from mid major programs, they don't play bully ball like this in those conferences.
Oweh and Garrison came from the BIG12, so they are used to it, but the rest don’t look like they are handling it well.
They have had many games by now, they should be used to it or get it together soon.