Not sure if I am missing anything, but it seems like West Aurora should be on the bubble pending the Hebron outcome (Galesburg is losing big). Happy to hear thoughts if I am looking at this wrong.
The IHSA tiebreakers for determining the 256th spot are:
Starting at the top of this sorted list, the teams are added to the playoff field until the 256-team limit is reached. In the event of a tie for the 256th position, the following tiebreakers are applied:
- Head-to-head competition (if the teams have met)
- Number of teams played that qualified for the playoffs
- Number of wins by teams played that qualified for the playoffs
- Points allowed in games against teams that qualified for the playoffs
- Coin flip
There are 5 teams with 5 wins and 35 opponents wins, and, assuming I am understanding it correctly, here are the number of teams they played that qualified for the playoffs and the number of wins by those teams:
Toledo (Cumberland) 4 opponents, 27 opponents wins (Decatur (DLC) 5-4, Arcola 9-0, Cerro Gordo 5-4, Villa Grove 8-1)
Clinton 4 opponents, 27 opponents wins (Shelbyville 7-2, Decatur St. Teresa 6-3, Tuscola 9-0, Sullivan 5-4)
Minooka 4 opponents, 24 opponents wins (Oswego 7-2, Plainfield S. 5-4, Oswego East 6-3, Plainfield N 6-3)
Peoria Heights (coop) 4 opponents, 22 opponents wins (Princeville 5-4, Rushville 7-2, Cuba (NFC) 5-4, Farmington 5-4)
Aurora (West Aurora) 3 opponents (Geneva 8-1, Bartlett 5-4, South Elgin 8-1)