Are we losing the portal contest?

Oct 20, 2023
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Are you really a Dr? Do you know Dr. Vinnie Boombah?

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olelion

Senior
Jun 10, 2001
2,645
796
113
I see a lot of our four star commits and players leaving PSU and mostly three star (ratings earned in the Big 12) coming in to play at PSU. What is the take on how we fare as a team in the BIG next year with the way the portal is playing out?
We'll see
 

TigersandLions

Redshirt
Nov 14, 2021
19
21
3
The feedback is much appreciated.
Given that recruiting, star ratings and now the portal are discusses ad nauseam on this board - I think this is a totally fair game topic for discussion. (As an aside - some of the unprovoked snarkiness and hostility that's commonplace on many threads is really disappointing). It's been proven particularly this year that not infrequently lower rated recruits coming out of high school can actually end up being better football players, or always were. Assessing actual production vs just potential gets easier when players have a body of work at the collegiate level, but there aren't many prefect apples to apples comparisons. How do you compare a player who sat behind a superstar at OSU or Bama vs someone who put up big numbers in G5 or FCS. We're not even allowed to compare performance in the Big12 to the B1G. We have to pin our hopes on Campbell being Cignetti-like in his ability to accurately assess players' productivity as opposed to potential, ratings, etc. So almost by definition, we won't know if we "won" or "lost" the portal game until we see the production or (hopefully not lack thereof) on the field.
 
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Bison13

All-American
May 26, 2013
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Your star ranking from HS is based off of camps/showcases, HS film and swayed by certain school offers. Some freak athletes at their position who dominate lesser competition and dont attend 1 on 1 showcases can be ranked much higher than they truly are.

Other kids who dont attend any of the showcases and dont have legit athletic times/data are not ranked as high though they may be more instinctive and intelligent.
 

bdgan

All-Conference
Oct 12, 2021
3,772
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Pretty simple - the star system is not the end all be all. Prime example, Indiana this year, how many stars are those kids? Finally, Indiana beat 5 star teams like Ohio State, Alabama & Oregon this year.
In that case I'm confused why Oregon & OSU are winning 11+ games and making the playoffs instead of Northwestern, Wisconsin, and Iowa.
 
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bdgan

All-Conference
Oct 12, 2021
3,772
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When you're dealing with transfers, who gives a damn about what their meaningless star rating was coming out of high school when they probably accumulated a bunch of inflated stats against overmatched competition? What you should give a damn about is how those transfers have performed against legitimate college competition. I trust that the coaching staff wouldn't be bringing in these transfers if they didn't feel they could contribute against Big 10 competition.
The star ratings are as transfers, not as high school recruits.
 

Navion N8865H

Junior
Oct 27, 2021
109
258
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In that case I'm confused why Oregon & OSU are winning 11+ games and making the playoffs instead of Northwestern, Wisconsin, and Iowa.
Easy answer - Oregon & OSU have $$$$$$$ to pay players they rate highly in the PORTAL no matter what their star rating(s) were previously. NW, Wisconsin and Iowa not so much. There is a reason Kraft made sure to announce $30 million pool at the introductory press conference.
 

Binder74

Senior
Nov 1, 2021
269
478
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Some players don't transition well to the next level. This applies for college to NFL as well. How many 1st round picks are busts. Keep in mind the phrase 'past performance is not an indicator of future returns '.
 
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Patterson825

Sophomore
Jan 28, 2016
97
195
33
I’ve said this on portal thread and got bashed.

Yes I’m happy with some of the Iowa State kids they brought in HOWEVER rest of these kids I’m assuming have to be depth pieces. Sorry I’m not impressed with these lowly rated kids that didn’t do much at Syracuse, WVU, Grambling etc. I mean seriously we were getting an extra 5 million to spend this year with our biggest NIL players leaving to the draft and graduating where in the hell is all this money going?

I like how everybody thinks Campbell is just going to be the next Cignetti and these kids from Syracuse and Grambling are just diamonds in the rough that nobody knows about and it’s excellent money ball strategy.

I’m also in the minority that thinks Penn State can win the BIG next year with Penn States existing kids and Iowa State players. However I’m more worried about the recruiting and portal players down the road.
 
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BCS PSU

All-Conference
Jun 2, 2001
611
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The star ratings are as transfers, not as high school recruits.
Thanks for clarifying. Hey, I'm not expecting a 10 win or more season in 2026. Right now, I'd consider a 9 win season to be a great accomplishment. With that said, I think that Campbell has done an admirable job of putting together a roster in very short order that can be competitive in 2026 and stabilizing the program, after which he really can start to stock this roster with more highly rated players.
 
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Sullivan

All-Conference
Oct 12, 2021
1,457
1,981
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Of course they did.

They also won 34 games over the prior 3 years (while the "three stars" at ISU won 22 in the Big 12)

One team obviously had a lot more talent than the other. What percentage of big games did they each win?
 

TheWizardofCamelot

All-Conference
Oct 12, 2015
1,054
1,493
113
Outside of Coleman and Gilliam, (maybe Hayes, I like his potential) none of these guys leaving move the needle at all for me. Most of these guys came to PSU with these lofty rankings and never amounted to anything but depth pieces. Reynolds? Couldn't catch a cold when it mattered. Olesh? Is so skinny he's 2 years from seeing the field, let alone making a million dollars in NIL.

And we're bringing in pretty known commodities? I mean we have a top 5 CB, QB, TE, and S? Even some of the younger guys from ISU, don't you trust Campbell in knowing that these guys have potential. And the younger guys out of the portal like the kids from COL, BC, WVU, etc. all saw major reps as true freshman. Let them sizzle of bit in our program for a few years. This is what we hired a front office for.

Rinse off the whole program, we needed change.
 

Midnighter

Heisman
Jan 22, 2021
11,609
19,193
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Your star ranking from HS is based off of camps/showcases, HS film and swayed by certain school offers. Some freak athletes at their position who dominate lesser competition and dont attend 1 on 1 showcases can be ranked much higher than they truly are.

Other kids who dont attend any of the showcases and dont have legit athletic times/data are not ranked as high though they may be more instinctive and intelligent.

Also helps if your last name is 'Manning'.
 
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rigi19040

Senior
Aug 1, 2024
880
529
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One team obviously had a lot more talent than the other. What percentage of big games did they each win?
Lousy recruiting is not a very good excuse.

Ps. Ironic that the same people who point out Indiana wins with 3 stars then make excuses for campbell having less talent.
 

EricLAllen

Sophomore
Dec 2, 2025
124
160
43
However I’m more worried about the recruiting and portal players down the road.

Down the road? It's my understanding that this is supposed to be the only year of patching this thing up with Wisconsin style of players, which is OK for now, but next year it's back to being up in at least the Top 15 in recruiting, stars, etc.

Short term pain for long term gain is what I thought this was supposed to be, with this year being Campbell's chance to prove he can do fairly well even with less so after that, more will want to come to Penn State and outdo the last guy who always got more, but got much less out of it.
 
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rigi19040

Senior
Aug 1, 2024
880
529
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Down the road? It's my understanding that this is supposed to be the only year of patching this thing up with Wisconsin style of players, which is OK for now, but next year it's back to being up in at least the Top 15 in recruiting, stars, etc.

Short term pain for long term gain is what I thought this was supposed to be, with this year being Campbell's chance to prove he can do fairly well even with less so after that, more will want to come to Penn State and outdo the last guy who always got more, but got much less out of it.

Campbell wont be top15 consistently.

Half the players will also enter the portal.
 
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Patterson825

Sophomore
Jan 28, 2016
97
195
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Down the road? It's my understanding that this is supposed to be the only year of patching this thing up with Wisconsin style of players, which is OK for now, but next year it's back to being up in at least the Top 15 in recruiting, stars, etc.

Short term pain for long term gain is what I thought this was supposed to be, with this year being Campbell's chance to prove he can do fairly well even with less so after that, more will want to come to Penn State and outdo the last guy who always got more, but got much less out of it.
Ok why are we paying top Iowa State guys if they only have one year of eligibility left if this is a rebuild year? I’d rather give the money elsewhere
 
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TheWizardofCamelot

All-Conference
Oct 12, 2015
1,054
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Ok why are we paying top Iowa State guys if they only have one year of eligibility left if this is a rebuild year? I’d rather give the money elsewhere
Because it gives you immediate dividends next season and comes off the books? Do you just want to lose every game next year? The schedule is soft as charmin, so let's get some vets and see if we can win some games.

Some of you guys don't understand that college football is now being looked at like the NFL. Penn State has a front office now. We have a GM. But we also have finite funds. I mean look at Oregon and Bama - they just got absolutely smoked by a team with half the funds and a tenth of the "stars." Do you agree with sending a million dollars to Andrew Olesh just for him to sit on the bench? Just for a recruiting bump?

These guys are being scouted by professionals, not the dummies on here that don't know ball. We're a few weeks into this process and some of you are already hitting the panic button. Chill out and let these guys cook.
 

EricLAllen

Sophomore
Dec 2, 2025
124
160
43
I’d rather give the money elsewhere

Who should he be bringing in instead? I was under the impression that nothing much is available except Iowa State players. Somehow they brought in a UCLA and OSU player. Are there others they should be buying?

I honestly don't know since it's not my actual job to keep up on the whole free agent market. I'm just under the assumption that this year he was handcuffed by being hired on too late.

I hope he plans to recruit up to the level Franklin was. That could be the only drawback if year in and year out he can't do that then he will end up failing, but somehow I don't think he's stupid enough to think he can win here with Iowa State players forever.
 

rigi19040

Senior
Aug 1, 2024
880
529
93
Because it gives you immediate dividends next season and comes off the books? Do you just want to lose every game next year? The schedule is soft as charmin, so let's get some vets and see if we can win some games.

Some of you guys don't understand that college football is now being looked at like the NFL. Penn State has a front office now. We have a GM. But we also have finite funds. I mean look at Oregon and Bama - they just got absolutely smoked by a team with half the funds and a tenth of the "stars." Do you agree with sending a million dollars to Andrew Olesh just for him to sit on the bench? Just for a recruiting bump?

These guys are being scouted by professionals, not the dummies on here that don't know ball. We're a few weeks into this process and some of you are already hitting the panic button. Chill out and let these guys cook.

Then don't spin it as a rebuild. Playoffs or bust.

The goal.isnt 7-5
 

PSUFTG

All-Conference
Nov 1, 2021
2,185
3,383
113
Who should he be bringing in instead? I was under the impression that nothing much is available except Iowa State players. Somehow they brought in a UCLA and OSU player. Are there others they should be buying?
Not sure if that is a serious question, but assuming it is:
There are, what, 3,000-4,000 players in the portal..... which opened on January 5th (or sometime around there). Probably an average of 20 players or more entering the portal from nearly each and every program.
 
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EricLAllen

Sophomore
Dec 2, 2025
124
160
43
Not sure if that is a serious question, but assuming it is:
There are, what, 3,000-4,000 players in the portal..... which opened on January 5th (or sometime around there). Probably an average of 20 players or more entering the portal from nearly each and every program.

Are there some of these we can really identify and say that Campbell should have brought this one in instead of the Iowa State player? Do they have to go cheap this year since they have to buy so many?

What exactly is the effect of his being hired on so late? I thought that was the big issue here, but I will admit the rules of all this have changed so much that I am just sitting back rooting for laundry at this point.
 
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Catch1lion

All-American
Oct 12, 2021
3,814
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Offense projected starting lineup, Riker pushing for the center spot . Looks good Billy Ray.
 

TOLFBFAN

Redshirt
Jan 4, 2026
2
22
3
Given that recruiting, star ratings and now the portal are discusses ad nauseam on this board - I think this is a totally fair game topic for discussion. (As an aside - some of the unprovoked snarkiness and hostility that's commonplace on many threads is really disappointing). It's been proven particularly this year that not infrequently lower rated recruits coming out of high school can actually end up being better football players, or always were. Assessing actual production vs just potential gets easier when players have a body of work at the collegiate level, but there aren't many prefect apples to apples comparisons. How do you compare a player who sat behind a superstar at OSU or Bama vs someone who put up big numbers in G5 or FCS. We're not even allowed to compare performance in the Big12 to the B1G. We have to pin our hopes on Campbell being Cignetti-like in his ability to accurately assess players' productivity as opposed to potential, ratings, etc. So almost by definition, we won't know if we "won" or "lost" the portal game until we see the production or (hopefully not lack thereof) on the field.
CMC has spent his whole career evaluating and signing raw jems. The Plan will unfold, trust The Process!
 

Schoolie

All-Conference
Oct 23, 2001
2,693
3,731
113
I see a lot of our four star commits and players leaving PSU and mostly three star (ratings earned in the Big 12) coming in to play at PSU. What is the take on how we fare as a team in the BIG next year with the way the portal is playing out?
Star gazing should be outlawed.