I know I'm in the minority around here regarding Oats, but any coach whose teams are one-dimensional is not a coach geared for championships.
With the shot clock already helping you out by limiting possession time, any team that is not interested in playing defense is a novelty and doomed.
It reminds me of the fiasco that Hall Mumme's approach to offense-only football quickly became.
To be consistently successful against high level competition, you simply have to be able to play both ends of the floor, along with rebounding well.
Most NCAA men's basketball champions consistently rank high in both offensive and defensive efficiency, with many title winners coming from the top 25 (or top 20/30) in adjusted efficiency on Selection Sunday; for example, about 13 of the last 19 champions (as of 2022) were top 25 in both offense and defense, showing a strong trend for balanced, elite teams to win it all.
Key Trends & Data
In Summary
- High Efficiency is Key: National champions are almost always elite on both ends of the floor, often ranking in the top 25 (or better) in efficiency metrics like KenPom's adjusted efficiency.
- Recent History: Data from March 2022 showed that 13 of the previous 19 champions were in the top 25 for both offense and defense by Selection Sunday.
- Specific Rankings:
- Since 2001, nearly all champions have had a top-22 KenPom offense and top-32 defense entering the tournament.
- Another analysis found champions often combine for a top-10 or top-20 offensive/defensive ranking sum.
- Elite Examples: Teams like 2018 Villanova and 2010 Duke have been ranked #1 offensively, while others like 2007 Florida were elite on both sides.
While there isn't one single number for "how many," the overwhelming trend is that championship teams dominate in efficiency, with a significant majority finishing ranked in the top 25 nationally in both offensive and defensive metrics by the time the NCAA Tournament starts.
I mean to be fair tho he's had six full seasons at Alabama. Two times in those six seasons he's had teams that had a top 5 defensive efficiency. Another season he was just outside the top 25 at 28. So I don't think it's unreasonable to think that Oats could very well put together a team that is top 25 in both.