Now that every team has played at least 10 games, I thought it would be cool to take a look at the BIG schedule of each team thus far, and what they have remaining in terms of home/road and quad strength:
Quads reflects NET rankings through Friday, February 1st, which, of course will change. I am listing each team in order of their current NET ranking
Michigan St: NET ranking 5 18-4, 9-2 BIG:
BIG so far: 6 Road (5-1), 5 Home (4-1), Quad 1:6-1, Quad 2 3-1, Quad 3, 0-0, Quad 4, 0-0
BIG Remaining: 4 Road, 5 Home, Quad 1: 6, Quad 2, 2, Quad 3, 1, Quad 4, 0
Michigan: NET ranking 6, 20-2, 9-2 BIG:
BIG so far: 5 Road (3-2), 6 Home (6-0), Quad 1:3-2, Quad 2 5-0, Quad 3, 1-0, Quad 4, 0-0
BIG Remaining: 5 Road, 4 Home, Quad 1: 7, Quad 2, 2, Quad 3, 0, Quad 4, 0
Wisconsin: NET ranking 11, 16-6, 8-3 BIG:
BIG so far: 5 Road (4-1), 6 Home (4-2), Quad 1:4-2, Quad 2 3-1, Quad 3, 1-0, Quad 4, 0-0
BIG Remaining: 5 Road, 4 Home, Quad 1: 7, Quad 2, 0, Quad 3, 2, Quad 4, 0
Purdue: NET ranking 12, 15-6, 8-2 BIG:
BIG so far: 5 Road (3-2), 5 Home (5-0), Quad 1:5-2, Quad 2 2-0, Quad 3, 1-0, Quad 4, 0-0
BIG Remaining: 5 Road, 5 Home, Quad 1: 6, Quad 2, 2, Quad 3, 2, Quad 4, 0
Iowa: NET ranking 22, 17-5, 6-5 BIG:
BIG so far: 5 Road (2-3), 6 Home (4-2), Quad 1:3-5, Quad 2 2-0, Quad 3, 1-0, Quad 4, 0-0
BIG Remaining: 5 Road, 4 Home, Quad 1: 5, Quad 2, 3, Quad 3, 1, Quad 4, 0
Maryland: NET ranking 23, 17-6, 8-4 BIG:
BIG so far: 6 Road (3-3), 6 Home (5-1), Quad 1:4-3, Quad 2 3-0, Quad 3, 1-1, Quad 4, 0-0
BIG Remaining: 4 Road, 4 Home, Quad 1: 5, Quad 2, 3, Quad 3, 0, Quad 4, 0
Nebraska: NET ranking 28, 13-9, 3-8 BIG:
BIG so far: 6 Road (1-5), 5 Home (2-3), Quad 1:1-5, Quad 2 0-3, Quad 3, 2-0, Quad 4, 0-0
BIG Remaining: 4 Road, 5 Home, Quad 1: 6, Quad 2, 3, Quad 3, 0, Quad 4, 0
Ohio St. : NET ranking 37, 14-7, 4-6 BIG:
BIG so far: 5 Road (2-3), 5 Home (2-3), Quad 1:1-5, Quad 2 2-1, Quad 3, 1-0, Quad 4, 0-0
BIG Remaining: 5 Road, 5 Home, Quad 1: 7, Quad 2, 1, Quad 3, 2, Quad 4, 0
Minnesota. : NET ranking 49, 16-5, 6-4 BIG:
BIG so far: 4 Road (1-3), 6 Home (5-1), Quad 1:3-3, Quad 2 0-1, Quad 3, 3-0, Quad 4, 0-0
BIG Remaining: 6 Road, 4 Home, Quad 1: 8, Quad 2, 2, Quad 3, 0, Quad 4, 0
Indiana : NET ranking 50, 13-9, 4-7 BIG:
BIG so far: 7 Road (2-5), 4 Home (2-2), Quad 1:1-6, Quad 2 2-1, Quad 3, 1-0, Quad 4, 0-0
BIG Remaining: 3 Road, 6 Home, Quad 1: 6, Quad 2, 2, Quad 3, 1, Quad 4, 0
Northwestern : NET ranking 58, 12-9, 3-7 BIG:
BIG so far: 6 Road (1-5), 4 Home (2-2), Quad 1:0-7, Quad 2 2-0, Quad 3, 1-0, Quad 4, 0-0
BIG Remaining: 4 Road, 6 Home, Quad 1: 5, Quad 2, 3, Quad 3, 2, Quad 4, 0
Penn St. : NET ranking 81, 7-14, 0-10 BIG:
BIG so far: 4 Road (0-4), 6 Home (0-6), Quad 1:0-8, Quad 2 0-1, Quad 3, 0-1, Quad 4, 0-0
BIG Remaining: 6 Road, 4 Home, Quad 1: 7, Quad 2, 2, Quad 3, 1, Quad 4, 0
Rutgers : NET ranking 108, 11-10, 4-7 BIG:
BIG so far: 5 Road (1-4), 6 Home (3-3), Quad 1:1-6, Quad 2 3-1, Quad 3, 0-0, Quad 4, 0-0
BIG Remaining: 5 Road, 4 Home, Quad 1: 6, Quad 2, 2, Quad 3, 1, Quad 4, 0
Illinois : NET ranking 110, 7-15, 3-8 BIG:
BIG so far: 6 Road (1-5), 5 Home (2-3), Quad 1:2-6, Quad 2 1-2, Quad 3, 0-0, Quad 4, 0-0
BIG Remaining: 4 Road, 5 Home, Quad 1: 4, Quad 2, 3, Quad 3, 2, Quad 4, 0
Some observations:
Illinois is projected to have the easiest schedule the rest of the way, followed by us
Minnesota has the worst schedule the rest of the way,and it is not close
Penn St. had the worst scheduled in the first half, and only a tad easier in the second half; they have a total of 15 (out of 20) projected quad 1 games in the BIG at this point
Michigan St. is really, really, good.
Nebby's NET ranking is ridic, but it is what it is.
With zero quad 4 projected games in the BIG (and likely mathematically impossible for there to be any quad 4 games even at season's end), no single loss is going to move a team's NET ranking down all that much, whereas, most every win will move a team's NET ranking up, except at the very top tier (top 20 NET)
Based on all of this, I see a minimum of 9 BIG teams making the Dance this year, and 10 seems certainly possible. Long way to go, though!
Quads reflects NET rankings through Friday, February 1st, which, of course will change. I am listing each team in order of their current NET ranking
Michigan St: NET ranking 5 18-4, 9-2 BIG:
BIG so far: 6 Road (5-1), 5 Home (4-1), Quad 1:6-1, Quad 2 3-1, Quad 3, 0-0, Quad 4, 0-0
BIG Remaining: 4 Road, 5 Home, Quad 1: 6, Quad 2, 2, Quad 3, 1, Quad 4, 0
Michigan: NET ranking 6, 20-2, 9-2 BIG:
BIG so far: 5 Road (3-2), 6 Home (6-0), Quad 1:3-2, Quad 2 5-0, Quad 3, 1-0, Quad 4, 0-0
BIG Remaining: 5 Road, 4 Home, Quad 1: 7, Quad 2, 2, Quad 3, 0, Quad 4, 0
Wisconsin: NET ranking 11, 16-6, 8-3 BIG:
BIG so far: 5 Road (4-1), 6 Home (4-2), Quad 1:4-2, Quad 2 3-1, Quad 3, 1-0, Quad 4, 0-0
BIG Remaining: 5 Road, 4 Home, Quad 1: 7, Quad 2, 0, Quad 3, 2, Quad 4, 0
Purdue: NET ranking 12, 15-6, 8-2 BIG:
BIG so far: 5 Road (3-2), 5 Home (5-0), Quad 1:5-2, Quad 2 2-0, Quad 3, 1-0, Quad 4, 0-0
BIG Remaining: 5 Road, 5 Home, Quad 1: 6, Quad 2, 2, Quad 3, 2, Quad 4, 0
Iowa: NET ranking 22, 17-5, 6-5 BIG:
BIG so far: 5 Road (2-3), 6 Home (4-2), Quad 1:3-5, Quad 2 2-0, Quad 3, 1-0, Quad 4, 0-0
BIG Remaining: 5 Road, 4 Home, Quad 1: 5, Quad 2, 3, Quad 3, 1, Quad 4, 0
Maryland: NET ranking 23, 17-6, 8-4 BIG:
BIG so far: 6 Road (3-3), 6 Home (5-1), Quad 1:4-3, Quad 2 3-0, Quad 3, 1-1, Quad 4, 0-0
BIG Remaining: 4 Road, 4 Home, Quad 1: 5, Quad 2, 3, Quad 3, 0, Quad 4, 0
Nebraska: NET ranking 28, 13-9, 3-8 BIG:
BIG so far: 6 Road (1-5), 5 Home (2-3), Quad 1:1-5, Quad 2 0-3, Quad 3, 2-0, Quad 4, 0-0
BIG Remaining: 4 Road, 5 Home, Quad 1: 6, Quad 2, 3, Quad 3, 0, Quad 4, 0
Ohio St. : NET ranking 37, 14-7, 4-6 BIG:
BIG so far: 5 Road (2-3), 5 Home (2-3), Quad 1:1-5, Quad 2 2-1, Quad 3, 1-0, Quad 4, 0-0
BIG Remaining: 5 Road, 5 Home, Quad 1: 7, Quad 2, 1, Quad 3, 2, Quad 4, 0
Minnesota. : NET ranking 49, 16-5, 6-4 BIG:
BIG so far: 4 Road (1-3), 6 Home (5-1), Quad 1:3-3, Quad 2 0-1, Quad 3, 3-0, Quad 4, 0-0
BIG Remaining: 6 Road, 4 Home, Quad 1: 8, Quad 2, 2, Quad 3, 0, Quad 4, 0
Indiana : NET ranking 50, 13-9, 4-7 BIG:
BIG so far: 7 Road (2-5), 4 Home (2-2), Quad 1:1-6, Quad 2 2-1, Quad 3, 1-0, Quad 4, 0-0
BIG Remaining: 3 Road, 6 Home, Quad 1: 6, Quad 2, 2, Quad 3, 1, Quad 4, 0
Northwestern : NET ranking 58, 12-9, 3-7 BIG:
BIG so far: 6 Road (1-5), 4 Home (2-2), Quad 1:0-7, Quad 2 2-0, Quad 3, 1-0, Quad 4, 0-0
BIG Remaining: 4 Road, 6 Home, Quad 1: 5, Quad 2, 3, Quad 3, 2, Quad 4, 0
Penn St. : NET ranking 81, 7-14, 0-10 BIG:
BIG so far: 4 Road (0-4), 6 Home (0-6), Quad 1:0-8, Quad 2 0-1, Quad 3, 0-1, Quad 4, 0-0
BIG Remaining: 6 Road, 4 Home, Quad 1: 7, Quad 2, 2, Quad 3, 1, Quad 4, 0
Rutgers : NET ranking 108, 11-10, 4-7 BIG:
BIG so far: 5 Road (1-4), 6 Home (3-3), Quad 1:1-6, Quad 2 3-1, Quad 3, 0-0, Quad 4, 0-0
BIG Remaining: 5 Road, 4 Home, Quad 1: 6, Quad 2, 2, Quad 3, 1, Quad 4, 0
Illinois : NET ranking 110, 7-15, 3-8 BIG:
BIG so far: 6 Road (1-5), 5 Home (2-3), Quad 1:2-6, Quad 2 1-2, Quad 3, 0-0, Quad 4, 0-0
BIG Remaining: 4 Road, 5 Home, Quad 1: 4, Quad 2, 3, Quad 3, 2, Quad 4, 0
Some observations:
Illinois is projected to have the easiest schedule the rest of the way, followed by us
Minnesota has the worst schedule the rest of the way,and it is not close
Penn St. had the worst scheduled in the first half, and only a tad easier in the second half; they have a total of 15 (out of 20) projected quad 1 games in the BIG at this point
Michigan St. is really, really, good.
Nebby's NET ranking is ridic, but it is what it is.
With zero quad 4 projected games in the BIG (and likely mathematically impossible for there to be any quad 4 games even at season's end), no single loss is going to move a team's NET ranking down all that much, whereas, most every win will move a team's NET ranking up, except at the very top tier (top 20 NET)
Based on all of this, I see a minimum of 9 BIG teams making the Dance this year, and 10 seems certainly possible. Long way to go, though!