Bill Belichick. Amazing coach, or very fortunate?

Blair10

All-Conference
Dec 30, 2002
1,383
2,725
113
As a reminder, correlation does not mean causation.

Some posters are making very faulty conclusions because they think correlation = causation.
 

Meats Lab

Junior
Nov 13, 2023
200
311
62
There is a possibility that BBs time in NE could be coming to and end after this weekend. Watching the Patriots downward spiral makes me wonder how good BB really is. Or was it really Tom Brady?

BB record with Brady (includes playoffs)
232-72 76%

BB record without Brady
71-93 43%

Also important to note is that TB won a super bowl the year after he left NE.
He’s savvy.
 
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MacNit

All-Conference
Oct 12, 2021
1,929
1,746
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Belichek is a great coach. His years under Parcells winning two Super Bowls are also evidence of that. But, even great coaches need luck. Brady was a winning powerball ticket. They both did better together. Can we agree on that?
Agreed.

but several years, the Pats won basically with defense. Example: Last Super Bowl win over Rams.
 
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razpsu

Heisman
Jan 13, 2004
12,527
11,837
113
There is a possibility that BBs time in NE could be coming to and end after this weekend. Watching the Patriots downward spiral makes me wonder how good BB really is. Or was it really Tom Brady?

BB record with Brady (includes playoffs)
232-72 76%

BB record without Brady
71-93 43%

Also important to note is that TB won a super bowl the year after he left NE.
He created his own luck. Best coach ever. 6 super bowls. Tough for me to say that as a Steelers guy.
 
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BW Lion

All-Conference
Apr 9, 2020
3,103
2,436
113
I think Bill Bell is getting old, tired and bored with the NFL.

As for the other Bill O’B….I would love to see what he could do with 2-3 years of 1st round draft picks.

That’s just me.
 
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PSUJam

Heisman
Oct 7, 2021
12,038
21,941
113
I think Bill Bell is getting old, tired and bored with the NFL.

As for the other Bill O’B….I would love to see what he could do with 2-3 years of 1st round draft picks.

That’s just me.
He tried that in Houston and failed miserably.
 

troutrus

Senior
Oct 7, 2021
745
986
93
When teams are not performing, we are quick to attack the coach as a bum.
Conversely, BB’s results speak for themselves.
I think he was a great coach.
Couple that with his sparkling personality, and I believe he will be remembered as one of the greatest of all time.
 

psykim

All-Conference
Jun 3, 2001
3,775
4,839
113
As noted above, great coaches need talent and luck too. But as great as Tom Brady was (and seeing him come back to win at Beaver stadium years ago I knew he would be good-but nobody knew that good) he would have zero Super Bowls on a bad team that had a poor defense. Bilichick sure was involved in those defenses and should be given credit. Brady wanted to play for him for many years. And many of the defenders were loyal to Belichick-he had to be doing something right. Good drafting is so important. But I think too often head coaches think they should take charge of draft picks-that sure has not worked out well for Belichick-they have missed on numerous high picks. I thought Jones-who had a decent rookie year-would be at least an average NFL QB-that has not worked out. But I look at other coaches that are highly rated-Bill Walsh, Bill Parcells, and they needed talent. Parcells did not win a Super Bowl with a team other than Giants. Walsh had Hall of Fame QBs. Now look at Andy Reid-Chiefs were able to get a future Hall of Fame QB in Mahomes.
In college football, coaches may help develop talent but if you do not recruit well, team does not do well. I remember early 2000s, PSU stunk except in 2002. We started recruiting better in 2005 and teams all of a sudden were contenders.
 

VaDave4PSU

All-Conference
Aug 19, 2003
2,055
2,363
113
Luck was crucial in patriot's superbowls. Game winning field goals, ridiculous collapses by the Falcons and Seahawks. Insane helmet catch by the Giants.

Adam Vinatieri kicked a GW in their first 3 Super Bowls. He's crucial to those.
 
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LaJollaCreek

All-American
May 29, 2001
4,356
8,966
113
A bit of both. He’s clearly a good coach that was a great motivator and fielded some discipline teams. He wasn’t afraid to move personnel around if need be. Good coaches still need talent and difference makers to consistently win and that holds true at every level.
 
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ChandlerPearce

All-Conference
Jan 23, 2022
1,171
1,795
113
Is there some way we can blame Franklin?
BB had most of the pieces for a top team....thought he had a QB in Bledsoe, but TB was the actual player (QB) he needed to start his dynasty. Franklin thinks he has his QB but not sure....maybe AK will change the scheme to match DA skill set.
 

Bwifan

All-Conference
Oct 12, 2021
2,214
3,815
113
There is a possibility that BBs time in NE could be coming to and end after this weekend. Watching the Patriots downward spiral makes me wonder how good BB really is. Or was it really Tom Brady?

BB record with Brady (includes playoffs)
232-72 76%

BB record without Brady
71-93 43%

Also important to note is that TB won a super bowl the year after he left NE.
Just had this convos with a bunch of people. The more time goes on without Brady the more the lustre comes off his star. His record as a head coach elsewhere is not that strong and he never won without Brady and Brady did go on to win another SB without BB. Good coach and a very good DC but not sure how great he really is as the last several years the Pats have not been good nor do they look to be turning things around soon
 
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NittanyBuff

All-American
Jan 29, 2007
8,966
8,201
113
There is a possibility that BBs time in NE could be coming to and end after this weekend. Watching the Patriots downward spiral makes me wonder how good BB really is. Or was it really Tom Brady?

BB record with Brady (includes playoffs)
232-72 76%

BB record without Brady
71-93 43%

Also important to note is that TB won a super bowl the year after he left NE.
He's both, very good coach that got lucky with Brady.
 
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ApexLion

All-American
Nov 1, 2021
5,107
8,718
113
Hoodie was average until he started cheating.

Nosepicker was average until he started cheating.

not very complicated analysis needed
 

JakkL

Junior
Sep 19, 2001
280
311
43
Most of the patriot super bowl wins were built on defense (Belichick) not offense (Brady). The only clear exception is when they had Moss, but they lost to the giants that year
 

Grant Green

All-Conference
Jan 21, 2004
3,238
4,377
113
Most of the patriot super bowl wins were built on defense (Belichick) not offense (Brady). The only clear exception is when they had Moss, but they lost to the giants that year
NE rankings in offensive points per game from 2003-2019:
11,3,10,5,1,7,6,1,3,1,2,1,3,3,2,4,7
 

Fac

All-Conference
Jun 5, 2001
795
1,020
93
Is Dabo a good coach or did he just have a superior QB?
Time will tell.
 

PSU89er

Sophomore
Nov 22, 2023
115
153
43
All good coaches are a bit lucky. The other side has more talent that you. They are going to beat you more often than not. Belichick, normally had the better players. Quite Frankly, Brady normally had better players around him. Thats why they both won.

These coaches all steal off of each other, and there might be a true innovation that comes along once every couple of years. Otherwise, its similar guys doing the same thing.

On a scale from 1 to 10, you guys are thinking there are 10 out there and then there are ones. Not really, almost all of them are 4 to 6, and the 4 is beating the 6 if he's got the better players almost all the time.

Nick Saban is not a great coach, but he's been the best recruiter in college football for 20 years. Therefore, he wins. He should, he has the best talent in almost every game he plays.
 

Grant Green

All-Conference
Jan 21, 2004
3,238
4,377
113
Is Dabo a good coach or did he just have a superior QB?
Time will tell.
Oh, I've mentioned this several times and I believe time is already telling. I think Dabo is the same level as JF. He had good to great coordinators (great at DC), great defenses, and 2 NFL QBs (3 if you count Boyd). Dabo is a really good recruiter and CEO.
Let's not forget that superior QBs such as Burrow, Cam Newton, and J Winston also made a few coaches look way better than they are.
 

Hugh Laurie

Senior
May 29, 2001
17,162
562
93
There is a possibility that BBs time in NE could be coming to and end after this weekend. Watching the Patriots downward spiral makes me wonder how good BB really is. Or was it really Tom Brady?

BB record with Brady (includes playoffs)
232-72 76%

BB record without Brady
71-93 43%

Also important to note is that TB won a super bowl the year after he left NE.
I don't think you would find to many football fans who would say BB isn't an excellent football coach. He's also been labeled a cheater and was a home wrecker when he was with the Giants.
 

Grant Green

All-Conference
Jan 21, 2004
3,238
4,377
113
I don't think you would find to many football fans who would say BB isn't an excellent football coach.
Of course. I held that opinion for years, in fact thought he could have been the greatest. But now I have more information that suggests maybe TB made him look a lot better than he actually is. I think it is fair to reassess. Unfortunately, when most people make up their mind about something, it's near impossible to change it.