The only thing I can say is we are every bit as good as Duke and better than Virginia and they almost beat Louisville by using what we do the best! The run game and eat up clock!
Per Sagarin, UK is about the same as Duke, better than Virginia, but not as good as either NC State or Florida State.
So what that tells me is that it's mainly going to be about which Louisville team shows up. Do you get the one that beat the crap out of NC State and FSU at home at noon on Saturday, or do you get the one that struggled on the road against Virginia and Houston and on a Friday night against Duke?