Could Arizona be the 4th 1 seed?

TTTblue24

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If they win tonight?? The committee could say since va or duke didn't win their conference tourney & Arizona winning theirs, they slid them in the 1 line assuming Wisconsin wins tomorrow. With duke not winning the reg season title nor the tourney title, it's hard for me to see them a 1 but I guess the wins at Wisconsin & va are their trump card.
 

akaukswoosh

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They should be. The idea that Duke is a #1 is silly. Can't even win their conference or conf. tournament.
 

Seth C

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It's not entirely about choosing the "best' teams, but also the most deserving. Yes, Arizona has some losses. So does Duke. But Arizona is about to win both regular season and tournament. That's deserving of reward.
 

Allan Brewer

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I agree totally

Watching them tonight they are impressive: great passing, hot shooters, some bigs who run the floor and are active around the bucket

I've seen more out of them tonight in five minutes than I've seen out of the Dookies all season long
 
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I think AZ's losses penalize them for 1 seed consideration, unless geography is going to trump quality of wins/losses.

They're not a top 4 team IMO.

Midwest - UK
East - Villanova
South - Wisconsin
West - Floppin' Dookies
 

BlueFE

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Arizona also has some really ugly losses on their résumé. Obviously Duke does as well. But in general, I think most would agree that the ACC is head and shoulders above the Pac12, and that the road wins Duke put up are more impressive. That being said, it is not unfathomable that Arizona ends up on the one line.
 

TTTblue24

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Va won the reg season title, struggled of late but that was the best conference this yr that has to mean something. I've heard bilas criticize the committee before because they seem to value how teams are playing right now vs body of work. It'll be interesting to see since both va & duke lost in semis.
 

BBCatsExile

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I hate losing losses as a reason, unless they are against heavyweights. The losses were months ago.

They should judge teams by talent today, not 4 months ago during a bad loss. Besides, sometimes (usually) bad losses make a team better.
 

UKWildcats#8

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So Arizona winning a crappy conference makes them a 1 seed? Arizona losing to 3 CBI/NIT (at best) teams makes them a 1 seed?

Interesting logic by some on here. If Duke is not a 1 with their great wins due to some bad losses then Arizona sure as hell is not as their bad losses are much worse than Duke's. In that case make UVA the last 1 then. They won the regular season ACC (Which is what matters) and lost a close one in a meaningless conference tournament.

Arizona getting the last 1 rewards one team....Gonzaga. It punishes pretty much everyone else in the 1/2 line and once again gives your most likely undefeated 34-0 Kentucky Wildcats the prize of the top 2 seed in Duke or UVA...that are both really 1 seed type teams. Now if it stays UK, Nova, Wisconsin and Duke or UVA as the 1s...UK gets KU or Gonzaga. Yeah...I wonder which version I prefer and is more fair for the #1 overall 1 seed and the top 2 seed.
 

fatguy87

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Arizona is probably one of the 4 best teams, but that doesn't mean that they should get a one seed based on the current seeding methodology. The key seeding criteria is more concerned with how impressive of the W/L record is rather than the actual strength of a team.
 

TTTblue24

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I'm not saying they will get it, but the committee has said before they look at how teams are playing now. It is a bad conference, but they've been around the top of the rankings all yr. just an interesting convo to have with you guys.
 

UKWildcats#8

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Originally posted by BBCatsExile:
ESPN Tweet Comparing the four teams.

10-0 against BPI Top 50. That's pretty good.












This post was edited on 3/15 12:27 AM by BBCatsExile
Yeah, pretty good but the graphic does not tell the whole story.

Losses:

Duke: 4, to Miami (bubble team, probably out), NC ST (in), ND twice (in as 2 or 3 seed).

Virginia: 3, to Duke (1-2 seed), UNC (4-5 seed) and UL (4-5 seed).

Wisconsin: 3, to Duke (1-2 seed), Maryland (3 seed most likely) and Rutgers (terrible loss, but without Kaminsky, and have won all but ONE game since that game with him. This WILL be taken into consideration by the committee).

Arizona: 3, to Oregon State (NIT or CBI type team), Arizona State (NIT or CBI type team), and UNLV (NIT or CBI type team).

Thus, when you factor in the losses it is pretty obvious one does not belong. I don't want to hear the stupid argument of "they lost close games" a loss is a loss, a win is a win. It is also clear as day that the ACC is a vastly superior conference to the Pac 12, as is the Big Ten.

So now we have the whole story. I think Arizona is probaby top 4 team talent wise, but considering moving them to the last 1 out west would screw the top 1 seed in UK with a much harder 2 seed, and place the top 2 seed with UK once again...yeah...better not happen just to appease the idiot west coast geography logic and keep the fraud Gonzaga out west as a 2 seed.
 

UKWildcats#8

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And I just looked at the cream of the crop of that 10-0. Gonzaga, Utah twice (fading fast btw in seed lines), and San Diego State? Not that impressed.
 

Aike

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I have Arizona as a 2 out west with Virginia as their one. Both teams won their conference and lost 3 times.

Virginia's conference was much better. Virginia's losses were all to better teams. Arizona's only edge is going to be winning their conference tourney.

Convention Wisdom seems to be Duke holding onto their 1. I understand where everyone is coming from, but I don't buy it. I think UVA has to be given credit for winning the regular season, especially since Duke couldn't win the league or the tourney.

I also think Duke deserves black marks for their bad losses, with the teams this bunched together. Honestly, just hold the home court against a mediocre Miami team and we aren't even having this discussion. Duke would have been ACC champion.

The fact is that they couldn't take care of business and underperformed often enough to be brought down a notch in a very competitive season.
 

BBCatsExile

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Sometimes bad losses are good losses and good losses are bad losses.

AZ beat every power team they played. In other words, they beat everyone at a high level. They had 3 duds against terrible teams. They fell asleep. I'd think it would look worse if they lost to a Duke or Virginia IMO.
 
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Originally posted by BBCatsExile:
Sometimes bad losses are good losses and good losses are bad losses.

AZ beat every power team they played. In other words, they beat everyone at a high level. They had 3 duds against terrible teams. They fell asleep. I'd think it would look worse if they lost to a Duke or Virginia IMO.
What "power" team have they played? I don't consider San Diego St or Utah as power teams, either.
 

BBCatsExile

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Power = high level teams, teams who can beat them, etc.

This post was edited on 3/15 12:53 AM by BBCatsExile
 
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Originally posted by BBCatsExile:
Power = high level teams, teams who can beat them, etc.

This post was edited on 3/15 12:53 AM by BBCatsExile
I guess what constitutes as a power team is a matter of opinion. I will say Arizona is very good, so they'll present a big challenge if we play them.
 
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Beating up on a 8/9 seed Oregon - losses to Arizona State, UNLV and Oregon State, none who are dancing, and just barely squeaking past a weak UCLA team last night.

2 seed tops in my book.
 

BBCatsExile

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For Pete's Sake, look at Ken Pom. They are the ONLY team that can come close to Kentucky. Not Virginia, Not Duke, Not Wisconsin.

www.kenpom.com






This post was edited on 3/14 11:09 PM by BBCatsExile
 

UKWildcats#8

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Originally posted by CatPhight:
Beating up on a 8/9 seed Oregon - losses to Arizona State, UNLV and Oregon State, none who are dancing, and just barely squeaking past a weak UCLA team last night.

2 seed tops in my book.
Does anyone else find it disturbing that the one poster thinks that we should punish a team in UVA who lost to 3 solid to good teams while rewarding one that lost to 3 crap teams?

Plus, UVA also beat NC on the road, ND on the road, VCU on the road, Maryland on the road, and also beat UL. I'm not sure beating Gonzaga, Utah twice, and San Diego State trumps UVA's top wins. The one poster is basically saying "They beat all the weak and overrated and over ranked west coast teams they played."

That would be like punishing a college football team like LSU more for losing to Alabama in the SEC, while saying "Ohio State beat all the Big Ten schools but they lost to Akron OOC...good wake up call loss" and such.
 

.S&C.

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Originally posted by UKWildcats#8:

Originally posted by CatPhight:
Beating up on a 8/9 seed Oregon - losses to Arizona State, UNLV and Oregon State, none who are dancing, and just barely squeaking past a weak UCLA team last night.

2 seed tops in my book.
Does anyone else find it disturbing that the one poster thinks that we should punish a team in UVA who lost to 3 solid to good teams while rewarding one that lost to 3 crap teams?[/B]

Plus, UVA also beat NC on the road, ND on the road, VCU on the road, Maryland on the road, and also beat UL. I'm not sure beating Gonzaga, Utah twice, and San Diego State trumps UVA's top wins. The one poster is basically saying "They beat all the weak and overrated and over ranked west coast teams they played."

That would be like punishing a college football team like LSU more for losing to Alabama in the SEC, while saying "Ohio State beat all the Big Ten schools but they lost to Akron OOC...good wake up call loss" and such.
I find it disturbing that some on the committee might feel the same.
 

BoulderCat_rivals187983

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Could be, should be, won't be, can't be, will be, pretenders, contenders, conference strength, geography RPI, SOS, etc., it's all been beat to death. Sorry OP, let's just wait until tomorrow and find out. We have the best team in the country. Let them seed it however they want, that won't change. Tomorrow's result against Arkansas is only the next check mark. Your going down Hawg's. I like bacon on my biscuits even if they're with tea.
 
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Originally posted by UKWildcats#8:

Originally posted by CatPhight:
Beating up on a 8/9 seed Oregon - losses to Arizona State, UNLV and Oregon State, none who are dancing, and just barely squeaking past a weak UCLA team last night.

2 seed tops in my book.
Does anyone else find it disturbing that the one poster thinks that we should punish a team in UVA who lost to 3 solid to good teams while rewarding one that lost to 3 crap teams?

Plus, UVA also beat NC on the road, ND on the road, VCU on the road, Maryland on the road, and also beat UL. I'm not sure beating Gonzaga, Utah twice, and San Diego State trumps UVA's top wins. The one poster is basically saying "They beat all the weak and overrated and over ranked west coast teams they played."

That would be like punishing a college football team like LSU more for losing to Alabama in the SEC, while saying "Ohio State beat all the Big Ten schools but they lost to Akron OOC...good wake up call loss" and such.
Huh? I'm saying Arizona is NOT a 1 seed, but a 2 seed in the west.
 

UKWildcats#8

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Originally posted by CatPhight:
Originally posted by UKWildcats#8:

Originally posted by CatPhight:
Beating up on a 8/9 seed Oregon - losses to Arizona State, UNLV and Oregon State, none who are dancing, and just barely squeaking past a weak UCLA team last night.

2 seed tops in my book.
Does anyone else find it disturbing that the one poster thinks that we should punish a team in UVA who lost to 3 solid to good teams while rewarding one that lost to 3 crap teams?

Plus, UVA also beat NC on the road, ND on the road, VCU on the road, Maryland on the road, and also beat UL. I'm not sure beating Gonzaga, Utah twice, and San Diego State trumps UVA's top wins. The one poster is basically saying "They beat all the weak and overrated and over ranked west coast teams they played."

That would be like punishing a college football team like LSU more for losing to Alabama in the SEC, while saying "Ohio State beat all the Big Ten schools but they lost to Akron OOC...good wake up call loss" and such.
Huh? I'm saying Arizona is NOT a 1 seed, but a 2 seed in the west.
I was talking about the one poster with the low post count...sorry. I'm tired of talking about this. I'm actually sitting here angry thinking the committee might be as off base as some of the posters on this board. We have already established a fair way of seeding that won't screw the top 1 seed and the top 2 seed...and people want to try to SCREW that all up by forcing an overrated Arizona as a 1 seed out west all in the name of GOd forsaken geography!

Arizona being a 2 seed out west in no way hurts them or punishes them...but if they unjustly receive a 1 seed then UK is the main team that gets screwed. Oh well, no point in worrying anymore as UK will beat whoever they play but God it would be nice to get the 2 seed UK deserves!
 

Seth C

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Yes, Arizona has 3 bad losses. HOWEVER...

All 3 losses were on the road
The combined total of all 3 losses is NINE points
They have lost only once in the last two months

Meanwhile Duke...

All 4 losses were in the last two months
One loss was at home (to a bad team) and one a neutral court
Those four losses were by a total of 42 points

Arguments can be made to support many perspectives, but I'm going to have trouble arguing against Arizona for losing 3 games by a single basket. We are a few bounces away from being in their position in that regard. And NO, a loss is not a loss. That's stupid and anyone knows it. There is a big difference in losing on the road because of one missed shot and never being in a game and getting beat by 12.


But more importantly, geography matters. They will happily move Duke down to a 2 and Arizona up to a 1 if it means keeping both close to home, and both teams would be happy to make that trade.





This post was edited on 3/15 1:22 AM by Seth C
 

.S&C.

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Originally posted by UKWildcats#8:

Originally posted by CatPhight:
Originally posted by UKWildcats#8:

Originally posted by CatPhight:
Beating up on a 8/9 seed Oregon - losses to Arizona State, UNLV and Oregon State, none who are dancing, and just barely squeaking past a weak UCLA team last night.

2 seed tops in my book.
Does anyone else find it disturbing that the one poster thinks that we should punish a team in UVA who lost to 3 solid to good teams while rewarding one that lost to 3 crap teams?

Plus, UVA also beat NC on the road, ND on the road, VCU on the road, Maryland on the road, and also beat UL. I'm not sure beating Gonzaga, Utah twice, and San Diego State trumps UVA's top wins. The one poster is basically saying "They beat all the weak and overrated and over ranked west coast teams they played."

That would be like punishing a college football team like LSU more for losing to Alabama in the SEC, while saying "Ohio State beat all the Big Ten schools but they lost to Akron OOC...good wake up call loss" and such.
Huh? I'm saying Arizona is NOT a 1 seed, but a 2 seed in the west.
I was talking about the one poster with the low post count...sorry. I'm tired of talking about this. I'm actually sitting here angry thinking the committee might be as off base as some of the posters on this board. We have already established a fair way of seeding that won't screw the top 1 seed and the top 2 seed...and people want to try to SCREW that all up by forcing an overrated Arizona as a 1 seed out west all in the name of GOd forsaken geography!

Arizona being a 2 seed out west in no way hurts them or punishes them...but if they unjustly receive a 1 seed then UK is the main team that gets screwed. Oh well, no point in worrying anymore as UK will beat whoever they play but God it would be nice to get the 2 seed UK deserves!
I'm 29. Me and my people always referred to seeds as "the top" number one. "number two" 1st seed. "number 3" 1 seed etc.

Me and a friend were talking today about this. The geography thing is ridiculous to me. It's just not how I was taught the game. I've been getting extremely angry over it. Being number 1 means nothing. Absolutely nothing. Just be out west, DUKE, or in the top 4 and it's all the same.

This post was edited on 3/15 1:27 AM by .S&C.
 

.S&C.

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btw, regardless of sides, does everyone agree there shouldn't be a west region?
 
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Originally posted by Seth C:
Yes, Arizona has 3 bad losses. HOWEVER...

All 3 losses were on the road
The combined total of all 3 losses is NINE points
They have lost only once in the last two months

Meanwhile Duke...

All 4 losses were in the last two months
One loss was at home (to a bad team) and one a neutral court
Those four losses were by a total of 42 points

Arguments can be made to support many perspectives, but I'm going to have trouble arguing against Arizona for losing 3 games by a single basket. We are a few bounces away from being in their position in that regard. And NO, a loss is not a loss. That's stupid and anyone knows it. There is a big difference in losing on the road because of one missed shot and never being in a game and getting beat by 12.


But more importantly, geography matters. They will happily move Duke down to a 2 and Arizona up to a 1 if it means keeping both close to home, and both teams would be happy to make that trade.





This post was edited on 3/15 1:22 AM by Seth C
I thought the committee didn't really value margin of victory or loss?
 

.S&C.

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Originally posted by JerseyCat84:
Originally posted by Seth C:
Yes, Arizona has 3 bad losses. HOWEVER...

All 3 losses were on the road
The combined total of all 3 losses is NINE points
They have lost only once in the last two months

Meanwhile Duke...

All 4 losses were in the last two months
One loss was at home (to a bad team) and one a neutral court
Those four losses were by a total of 42 points

Arguments can be made to support many perspectives, but I'm going to have trouble arguing against Arizona for losing 3 games by a single basket. We are a few bounces away from being in their position in that regard. And NO, a loss is not a loss. That's stupid and anyone knows it. There is a big difference in losing on the road because of one missed shot and never being in a game and getting beat by 12.


But more importantly, geography matters. They will happily move Duke down to a 2 and Arizona up to a 1 if it means keeping both close to home, and both teams would be happy to make that trade.





This post was edited on 3/15 1:22 AM by Seth C
I thought the committee didn't really value margin of victory or loss?
I've never believed that. I've always believed when it comes to really close picks they factor it down like algebra.
 

UKWildcats#8

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Originally posted by .S&C.:
btw, regardless of sides, does everyone agree there shouldn't be a west region?
100% agree.

And no matter how anyone spins it, Arizona has 3 losses to terrible teams in the 2014-2015 season...which includes games played in Nov, Dec, Jan, Feb and March. You can't pretend losses did not happen or pretend like they do not matter as much because they were further in the past. I'll add they lost them all at full health/strength.

Duke has lost 1 game since they booted the bad apple rapist guy...and that was to a ND team that is better than anyone Arizona has played ALL year. Duke won 12 straight games before they lost to ND...seems like people are ignoring that though.

Wisconsin lost to Rutgers without Kaminsky...and has lost to one team since then (Top 10 Maryland) and dominated a much better conference. Wisconsin has won 15/16 games since then.

UVA has lost 2 games at full strength and lost by 2 on the road without their best player to UL, and went 16-2 in the ACC, which is an IMMENSELY much stronger conference than the weak Pac 12.

Honestly it should be UK, Nova, UVA and Wisconsin...but people are so caught up in thinking there is no way the committee will drop Duke to a 2 seed that I feel people on here are propping Arizona up when their resume clearly does not hold up in the most competitive season for 1 seeds that I can ever remember.
 

Seth C

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Originally posted by JerseyCat84:
Originally posted by Seth C:
Yes, Arizona has 3 bad losses. HOWEVER...

All 3 losses were on the road
The combined total of all 3 losses is NINE points
They have lost only once in the last two months

Meanwhile Duke...

All 4 losses were in the last two months
One loss was at home (to a bad team) and one a neutral court
Those four losses were by a total of 42 points

Arguments can be made to support many perspectives, but I'm going to have trouble arguing against Arizona for losing 3 games by a single basket. We are a few bounces away from being in their position in that regard. And NO, a loss is not a loss. That's stupid and anyone knows it. There is a big difference in losing on the road because of one missed shot and never being in a game and getting beat by 12.


But more importantly, geography matters. They will happily move Duke down to a 2 and Arizona up to a 1 if it means keeping both close to home, and both teams would be happy to make that trade.





This post was edited on 3/15 1:22 AM by Seth C
I thought the committee didn't really value margin of victory or loss?
They don't officially. That is to say, it isn't factored in to the RPI. But if they had one team with a single loss to Duke, on the road, by 2 points...and another team with one loss to Duke, at home, by 12...would it matter? You have to say that it would. They consider absolutely everything if it comes to that. They also consider "the eye test" or "how are they playing". Is margin of victory a factor in that? Of course it is. If one team is perceived as struggling, that matters. If a team "fought hard and lost at the buzzer" that matters. When they say they don't value margin of victory what they really mean is that beating a team by 30 isn't more impressive to them than beating them by 12.

Home losses definitely hurt you more than road losses. Duke's worst loss of the season, by 16 points, was at home.

Geography matters more than balanced brackets. They have stated this outright. If Duke is the fourth 1 seed and Arizona is the first 2, rather than send Duke out west they will drop Duke to a 2 seed to keep them playing close to home.

And the committee ABSOLUTELY values how you've played recently more than how you played earlier in the season. Whether any of us disagrees with this is completely and utterly irrelevant. Is this a discussion of how we would seed the tournament or how they will?


This post was edited on 3/15 1:49 AM by Seth C
 

BBCatsExile

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Originally posted by UKWildcats#8:

Originally posted by .S&C.:
btw, regardless of sides, does everyone agree there shouldn't be a west region?
100% agree.

And no matter how anyone spins it, Arizona has 3 losses to terrible teams in the 2014-2015 season...which includes games played in Nov, Dec, Jan, Feb and March. You can't pretend losses did not happen or pretend like they do not matter as much because they were further in the past. I'll add they lost them all at full health/strength.

Duke has lost 1 game since they booted the bad apple rapist guy...and that was to a ND team that is better than anyone Arizona has played ALL year. Duke won 12 straight games before they lost to ND...seems like people are ignoring that though.

Wisconsin lost to Rutgers without Kaminsky...and has lost to one team since then (Top 10 Maryland) and dominated a much better conference. Wisconsin has won 15/16 games since then.

UVA has lost 2 games at full strength and lost by 2 on the road without their best player to UL, and went 16-2 in the ACC, which is an IMMENSELY much stronger conference than the weak Pac 12.

Honestly it should be UK, Nova, UVA and Wisconsin...but people are so caught up in thinking there is no way the committee will drop Duke to a 2 seed that I feel people on here are propping Arizona up when their resume clearly does not hold up in the most competitive season for 1 seeds that I can ever remember.
Wins and Losses shouldn't be the only criteria. They are in the past now. Today who are the best teams?

www.kenpom.com

They are the 2nd best team in America IMO.
 

BBCatsExile

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Since their 3rd loss, they have been crushing fools. If how they are
playing lately and margin of victory go into the eye test, they're a 1.

Crushing Fools






This post was edited on 3/15 1:54 AM by BBCatsExile
 

Seth C

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Originally posted by UKWildcats#8:

Originally posted by .S&C.:
btw, regardless of sides, does everyone agree there shouldn't be a west region?
100% agree.

And no matter how anyone spins it, Arizona has 3 losses to terrible teams in the 2014-2015 season...which includes games played in Nov, Dec, Jan, Feb and March. You can't pretend losses did not happen or pretend like they do not matter as much because they were further in the past. I'll add they lost them all at full health/strength.

Duke has lost 1 game since they booted the bad apple rapist guy...and that was to a ND team that is better than anyone Arizona has played ALL year. Duke won 12 straight games before they lost to ND...seems like people are ignoring that though.

Wisconsin lost to Rutgers without Kaminsky...and has lost to one team since then (Top 10 Maryland) and dominated a much better conference. Wisconsin has won 15/16 games since then.

UVA has lost 2 games at full strength and lost by 2 on the road without their best player to UL, and went 16-2 in the ACC, which is an IMMENSELY much stronger conference than the weak Pac 12.

Honestly it should be UK, Nova, UVA and Wisconsin...but people are so caught up in thinking there is no way the committee will drop Duke to a 2 seed that I feel people on here are propping Arizona up when their resume clearly does not hold up in the most competitive season for 1 seeds that I can ever remember.
What you seem to not be considering, at all, is that the selection committee has OPENLY said geography is one of their highest priorities. Even if they completely agree with you, to the absolute detail, and they think the top 4 seeds are Kentucky, Villanova, Virginia, and Wisconsin...do you know who the 1 seeds would be?

Midwest - Kentucky
East - Villanova
South - Virginia
West - Arizona

Do you know why? Because they would move Wisconsin to a 2 seed to keep them closer to home geographically. Again, you might not like that. You might think it's unfair. None of that matters. You aren't seeding the tournament. They are, and they say geography is worth moving a team up or down a line.