I don't blame you, The C. "Creep" is a good word for where my head is going also.
As I said previously, I'm not expecting a lot out of this season. I've seen this act in the past. Excitement about a string of "close losses" suddenly turns into horror halfway through the season when the team never gets over the hump.
There have also been a slew of signals that an MSU-like performances will be the norm this year against very good teams. The board can tell me all it wants about wins against mediocre teams, but each of those games had a bad stretch that you can't get away with against good teams.
I've seen that story in the past also.
Then, like you, C, I start to take a macro view of the program. I'm having some of the same questions about where this is going. But you might consider your list doesn't have a whole lot of pros to go with the cons.
Here's an attempt to show where I am, and also talk about a few of your concerns.
Cons
- Lead guard, point guard, lead guard - Yes, it's a mess. And I agree that Collins gets a bit of a pass for Lathon. However, this isn't a one year thing. There hasn't been a - let's set the bar low - acceptable replacement for BMac for three years. It's not simply that there's no starting point guard this year. There also hasn't been that Greer-like-talent backup who would have been developing and a sixth-man on a good team. That would have provided a starter and a good system guy on this team.
- Second and third options - This is what really worries me. This is where some of the creep is for me. The ongoing NU problem through coach after coach is that you see lineups with key players who are your second and third recruiting options at various positions with HUGE, one-dimensional holes in their game. I'm not talking about the 12th or 13th man on a roster. Those guys shouldn't be playing and don't matter. It's a problem at both guard spots this year. It's a problem with the guards off the bench also, and so far there's only one possible change to it next year.
OTOH, there are some pros you're ignoring.
- Last year, but ... - Yes, last year was a disaster. Collins admitted as much and said he did a poor job having the team prepared. But in our macro view, NOBODY expected 16-17 team to be the year it was. It's obvious 17-18 was planned to be THE year, but you can't ignore why expectation were so high. That's a good thing.
- Four-star "busts" - You can't talk about the "busts" and ignore the three-star (at-best) guys who have played at an all-conference level. We're not really going to leave BMac and Pardon out of the discussion, are we? But yes, CC needs more of those guys.
- Obviously addressing some problems - I've said in the past, the size of this team has always been a problem for me. Tell me all you want about positionless basketball, but you need a mismatch at one of the five for that to work. Otherwise, you're just undersized. It's pretty obvious the staff has acknowledged that and addressed it well.
This year and next year are going to be tough, so I've purchased the matches to fire up the hot seats. But I'm not nearly ready to light them them yet.
This is still Northwestern, and getting guys in the school is a problem. Every NU coach deserves a long string. I'm with LoyolaCat. I'm cautiously hopeful. I want to see where this is in Nance and Kopp's junior and senior years.