Draft Kings NCAA odds ... interesting

Reslo1

Senior
Oct 26, 2025
125
986
93
There is a whole lotta juice in those numbers.

I only checked 125 and 133 but the expected number of champions based on their odds is 1.5 - 1.6, meaning they are paying out much worse than expected based on true odds.
An online betting site unscrupulously fudging numbers to increase maximum risk to the bettor?
seth meyers sarcasm GIF by Late Night with Seth Meyers
 

Wrestleknownothing

All-Conference
Oct 30, 2021
1,669
4,408
113
So where are the value plays?

If you buy into PSU keeping the trend alive of winning ~77% of the time when seeded #1 then the best bets are:

Welsh - 50% implied odds of winning
Van Ness - 71%
Lilledahl - 71%
Duke - 75%
 
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IronLion

Senior
Oct 12, 2021
167
416
43
The odds moved a lot from original lines. LL started at +110, now -250. Mendez started -200 (hit this hard), now -500. PJ started +150 ((hit this one too), now -300. MM started-400, now -700. Barr started -250 (hit this hard), now -700.
 

MPPosterDeuce

Junior
Apr 9, 2022
57
256
53
It appears that if you're in PA all betting on individual wrestlers is blocked. On Draftkings the only thing I can bet on is team finishes.
 
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Corby2

All-American
Jul 14, 2025
3,438
7,419
113
Iowa and Iowa St wrestlers lost seasons to gambling and some former Rutgers wrestlers are facing prison for running book. Draftkings needs to be kept as far away from wrestling as possible.
DK has had lines all year long. I don't remember the book but you can bet on RAF
 

1995PSUGrad

All-Conference
Nov 16, 2019
784
1,165
93
Iowa and Iowa St wrestlers lost seasons to gambling and some former Rutgers wrestlers are facing prison for running book. Draftkings needs to be kept as far away from wrestling as possible.
That makes no sense at all.
 

Coastal2

Senior
Dec 19, 2025
124
467
63
DK has had lines all year long. I don't remember the book but you can bet on RAF
I realize they take wagers on wrestling. I still don't have to like it. We saw a huge federal bust of college BB players throwing games/prop bets. Wrestling has always had upsets but do you really want to have to question every upset was the loser sick, injured or throwing the match?

Chris Vargo, who has turned out to be a pretty average college wrestler at Edinboro, pulled off what's turning out to be the biggest upset in PA high school history when he knocked off Jax Forrest at regionals two years ago. I look at that as a great gameplan against an overconfident Forrest but if there was huge money on that match, I'd probably raise an eyebrow at it.

Officials aren't immune either. Look at what Donahey has admitted in the NBA. One reaction time call can change a dual or an entire tournament, one extra stall call...
 
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Corby2

All-American
Jul 14, 2025
3,438
7,419
113
I realize they take wagers on wrestling. I still don't have to like it. We saw a huge federal bust of college BB players throwing games/prop bets. Wrestling has always had upsets but do you really want to have to question every upset was the loser sick, injured or throwing the match?

Chris Vargo, who has turned out to be a pretty average college wrestler at Edinboro, pulled off what's turning out to be the biggest upset in PA high school history when he knocked off Jax Forrest at regionals two years ago. I look at that as a great gameplan against an overconfident Forrest but if there was huge money on that match, I'd probably raise an eyebrow at it.

Officials aren't immune either. Look at what Donahey has admitted in the NBA. One reaction time call can change a dual or an entire tournament, one extra stall call...
Individual match betting doesn't typically occur until NCAAs. During the year its lines on duals. Max bets are low not like anyone can make huge $. With NIL and rev share athletes are making $ most wouldn't throw an important match for 1K.
 

Coastal2

Senior
Dec 19, 2025
124
467
63
Individual match betting doesn't typically occur until NCAAs. During the year its lines on duals. Max bets are low not like anyone can make huge $. With NIL and rev share athletes are making $ most wouldn't throw an important match for 1K.

They were throwing basketball games recently post NIL including at Arizona St. And with wrestling, very few are making NIL so a couple of guys in the SoCon or MAC winning by decision instead of bonus can throw that line and no one would be the wiser. They were training through that dual...

But to claim that NIL will keep wrestlers from throwing matches anyway is naive at best. MLB players got caught throwing prop bets and MLB has a minimum salary of $780,000 a year.

Even low max bets doesn't stop them as they controlled hundreds of accounts in one of the basketball busts.

I just can't think of a single sport that gambling has made better.
 

Corby2

All-American
Jul 14, 2025
3,438
7,419
113
They were throwing basketball games recently post NIL including at Arizona St. And with wrestling, very few are making NIL so a couple of guys in the SoCon or MAC winning by decision instead of bonus can throw that line and no one would be the wiser. They were training through that dual...

But to claim that NIL will keep wrestlers from throwing matches anyway is naive at best. MLB players got caught throwing prop bets and MLB has a minimum salary of $780,000 a year.

Even low max bets doesn't stop them as they controlled hundreds of accounts in one of the basketball busts.

I just can't think of a single sport that gambling has made better.
No wonder Penn St is winning everyone is throwing the matches😂. I don't look at it the same as you do. Will always have some people take advantage. But my opinion is it's a small %
 

Corby2

All-American
Jul 14, 2025
3,438
7,419
113
No, that doesn't work. Gambling apps require access to your phone's actual GPS tracking info. They're way ahead of people using VPNs
Yep I know people who drive 30 min to another state just to place bets. I never got into sports gambling although I should I gave out picks this year in a group chat and people made a bunch of $
 

Dogwelder

All-Conference
Aug 1, 2013
801
2,720
93
No, that doesn't work. Gambling apps require access to your phone's actual GPS tracking info. They're way ahead of people using VPNs
I’m so cynical that I think if you succeed in fooling them, then they’ll take your money when you lose, but if you ever win big, they’ll use enhanced verification and find an excuse to not pay you.
 

Fatwoodchuck

Senior
Oct 19, 2023
395
572
93
I think I may be nuts!

157
Larkin
Webster
Duke
Swisher
Taylor
Cardenas
Shapiro
Catrabone

Idk it feels so wrong it has to be right, right?

This is why I dont gamble!
 

CTStall

Senior
Oct 24, 2020
271
686
93
No, that doesn't work. Gambling apps require access to your phone's actual GPS tracking info. They're way ahead of people using VPNs
I don't bet on line at all. Maybe 4 times a year I go to Mt Airy and play a few sports book bets. Going out the door, I'll throw a couple bucks on roulette (No thinking ,pretty fair odds). I wonder if you can bet on wrestling at Casino sports book . I think the odds posted are not a good bet. With injuries and the potential of a big move changing a match dramatically it's a tough sport to bet on .
I do have a work around😉 on GPS location for You Tube TV. My daughter lives in Pennsylvania near Delaware River which is a Philadelphia (Eagles) market location. If I go over Portland Bridge and drive towards Blair Academy my You Tube app will hit on Jersey tower which resets You Tube to New York market (Jets ,Giants). Typically my phone will stay on that tower resetting my daughters account so we can watch those games.😏
 
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WaffleShopper

Senior
Sep 20, 2023
479
951
93
They were throwing basketball games recently post NIL including at Arizona St. And with wrestling, very few are making NIL so a couple of guys in the SoCon or MAC winning by decision instead of bonus can throw that line and no one would be the wiser. They were training through that dual...

But to claim that NIL will keep wrestlers from throwing matches anyway is naive at best. MLB players got caught throwing prop bets and MLB has a minimum salary of $780,000 a year.

Even low max bets doesn't stop them as they controlled hundreds of accounts in one of the basketball busts.

I just can't think of a single sport that gambling has made better.
Unfortunately, gambling has spread beyond sports. And it’s not making anything else better either. #nopolitics

Gamblers trying to win a bet on Polymarket are vowing to kill me if I don’t rewrite an Iran missile story
 
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