I think UNC is a tough contest for obvious reasons. But, I don't buy for a second that a defeat on Saturday would have anything to do with being gassed. This is UNC. Our guys will be up for this game. While I certainly think the lack of depth is a problem against UNC as we may get tired during the course of the game, I don't think we're going to have any residual fatigue issues heading into that contest -- as we've got a full 4 days off before a Saturday night game, where we don't even need to do any traveling. That's very different IMO from some of our recent games where we've been dragging; where we'd have 48 hrs.-55 to play tough turnaround contests on the road where we've had to travel.
The lack of depth will be a killer in the ACCs. But, we should be more or less fresh to go to start Saturday. Our bigger issue is that UNC's still the better and deeper team, and that depth will have an impact over a 40 minute game. And, I'd add that, of late, it seems like playing at home has hurt our guys against UNC b/c they often come out too tight and too frenzied to the point where it becomes counterproductive. For whatever reason, in recent years, it seems as if the road team has tended to be more poised -- at least for the first 30 minutes of the games.
With that said, as before, 3-pt. shooting is the ultimate X-factor. We hit shots and avoid foul trouble, it's going to be a game where, down the stretch, we've got the two best playmakers on the court. If we lose, I think it will be b/c guys like Thornton and Kennard struggle to hit shots from outside. It really can't be overstated how important it was for Duke at Chapel Hill to get a big game from someone other than Grayson and BI -- b/c Kennard killing Hicks was what forced UNC to put its bigs back on Ingram and/or forced UNC to go with smaller lineups. UNC's a better overall team. But Grayson's always going to have a size/strength advantage over UNC's guards and, to the extent UNC doesn't go small, they're going to have to play a 4 on BI -- which is also not a good matchup.