+/- for the Iowa illusion

[PurpleWhiteBoy]

Player	Minutes	NU pts	Iowa Pts	Raw +/-	Player Adjust	Net +/-
Verhoeven	17	32	34	-2	+3.7	+1.7
Berry	28	52	51	+1	-2.5	-1.5
Beran	26	48	53	-5	-4.3	-9.3
Buie	32	60	74	-14	+3.7	-10.3
Martinelli	16	23	38	-15	+4.5	-10.5
Nicholson	22	35	51	-16	+3.2	-12.8
Barnhizer	22	35	51	-16	-1.6	-17.6
Audige	37	65	78	-13	-6.6	-19.6

This game was one of those where our rotation seemed out of whack. Tydus Verhoeven played a relatively strong game, along with Ty Berry. We outscored the Hawkeyes 52-51 when Berry was in the game. That means we got outscored 35-18 in the 12 minutes Berry was sitting on the bench. Verhoeven lineups only got outscored 34-32, but he outplayed his teammates.

It should be noted that our starters (Nicholson/Beran/Audige/Buie/Berry) played 10 minutes and outscored the Hawkeyes 22-16. When that happens, it focuses my attention on how each coach managed his roster. Collins (presumably) shocked most Wildcat fans by bringing in Nick Martinelli for Boo Buie 6 minutes into the game, with NU leading 11-8. (Buie had zero fouls). Martinelli played the next 6 1/2 minutes as Collins tried various new combinations before bringing the starters back, NU now trailing 25-22. Martinelli did some good things individually, but we got outscored 17-11 while we experimented with new lineups.

The starters then went on a 4-0 spurt featuring a Nicholson dunk. Buie drew the 2nd foul on Rebraca. Rebraca went to the bench. Collins responded to this opportunity by removing Nicholson, as if he was following a script. With Rebraca out, Verhoeven and the 4 starters then played 4 minutes, outscoring Iowa 9-6, to take a 35-31 lead. Nicholson was at the scorer's table, but Beran picked up his first foul with 2:18 left in the half and Collins changed his mind, replacing Beran with Martinelli, putting Nicholson back on the bench. Iowa then tied the game at 39 with a 8-4 run.

In the 2nd half, the starters traded punches for 4 minutes and Iowa outscored us 10-9 to take a 49-48 lead. Barnhizer was subbed in for Buie and played the rest of the way, meaning that our starters didn't play together for the last 16 minutes. Martinelli played from the 14 minute mark to the 8 minute mark. Verhoeven sat out the last 11 minutes. Audige played the first 18:30 of the second half and got tired. Nicholson, Buie, Barnhizer and Audige played from 7:38 to 1:30 and Iowa stretched a 62-59 lead into a lopsided 84-70 advantage.

For the game, the Martinelli/Nicholson/Audige/Buie lineups got outscored 11-2 in 4+ minutes of action.
Lineups with 4 starters (Beran, Buie, Audige, Berry) and either Nicholson or Verhoeven racked up a 34-22 advantage, but only played 14 minutes in total.

 

[ThatadultfromHolland]

Player	Minutes	NU pts	Iowa Pts	Raw +/-	Player Adjust	Net +/-
Verhoeven	17	32	34	-2	+3.7	+1.7
Berry	28	52	51	+1	-2.5	-1.5
Beran	26	48	53	-5	-4.3	-9.3
Buie	32	60	74	-14	+3.7	-10.3
Martinelli	16	23	38	-15	+4.5	-10.5
Nicholson	22	35	51	-16	+3.2	-12.8
Barnhizer	22	35	51	-16	-1.6	-17.6
Audige	37	65	78	-13	-6.6	-19.6

This game was one of those where our rotation seemed out of whack. Tydus Verhoeven played a relatively strong game, along with Ty Berry. We outscored the Hawkeyes 52-51 when Berry was in the game. That means we got outscored 35-18 in the 12 minutes Berry was sitting on the bench. Verhoeven lineups only got outscored 34-32, but he outplayed his teammates.

It should be noted that our starters (Nicholson/Beran/Audige/Buie/Berry) played 10 minutes and outscored the Hawkeyes 22-16. When that happens, it focuses my attention on how each coach managed his roster. Collins (presumably) shocked most Wildcat fans by bringing in Nick Martinelli for Boo Buie 6 minutes into the game, with NU leading 11-8. (Buie had zero fouls). Martinelli played the next 6 1/2 minutes as Collins tried various new combinations before bringing the starters back, NU now trailing 25-22. Martinelli did some good things individually, but we got outscored 17-11 while we experimented with new lineups.

The starters then went on a 4-0 spurt featuring a Nicholson dunk. Buie drew the 2nd foul on Rebraca. Rebraca went to the bench. Collins responded to this opportunity by removing Nicholson, as if he was following a script. With Rebraca out, Verhoeven and the 4 starters then played 4 minutes, outscoring Iowa 9-6, to take a 35-31 lead. Nicholson was at the scorer's table, but Beran picked up his first foul with 2:18 left in the half and Collins changed his mind, replacing Beran with Martinelli, putting Nicholson back on the bench. Iowa then tied the game at 39 with a 8-4 run.

In the 2nd half, the starters traded punches for 4 minutes and Iowa outscored us 10-9 to take a 49-48 lead. Barnhizer was subbed in for Buie and played the rest of the way, meaning that our starters didn't play together for the last 16 minutes. Martinelli played from the 14 minute mark to the 8 minute mark. Verhoeven sat out the last 11 minutes. Audige played the first 18:30 of the second half and got tired. Nicholson, Buie, Barnhizer and Audige played from 7:38 to 1:30 and Iowa stretched a 62-59 lead into a lopsided 84-70 advantage.

For the game, the Martinelli/Nicholson/Audige/Buie lineups got outscored 11-2 in 4+ minutes of action.
Lineups with 4 starters (Beran, Buie, Audige, Berry) and either Nicholson or Verhoeven racked up a 34-22 advantage, but only played 14 minutes in total.

TVH deserved all his min in the first half and then some. He was the better center in the 1st half and played great. Collins played the hot hand. Kept Martinelli in after he quickly scored a few shots too. I highly doubt that’s the “script”.

Edit I do think Nicholson is the better 5 normally. That’s just the best half I’ve seen from TVH in an NU uniform.

 

[PurpleWhiteBoy]

TVH deserved all his min in the first half and then some. He was the better center in the 1st half and played great. Collins played the hot hand. Kept Martinelli in after he quickly scored a few shots too. I highly doubt that’s the “script”.

Edit I do think Nicholson is the better 5 normally. That’s just the best half I’ve seen from TVH in an NU uniform.

I felt that the script (plan) was "we want Nicholson on Rebraca" (as much as we can) and "if Rebraca gets a breather, we'll rest Nicholson." I think Rebraca getting his 2nd foul presented us an unexpected opportunity and we failed to capitalize. Rebraca went to the bench with 6:14 left in the first half, score tied at 25. Rather than going with Nicholson and creating a size mismatch that Iowa would have struggled with, Collins stuck to the game plan and played Verhoeven the entire stretch. Had Collins gone back to his starting lineup, I think we could have built a lead into the break. Going back to Martinelli in that situation was really odd.

I like Martinelli, but the time to experiment with lineups was during the blowouts of Minnesota and Nebraska, not in a road battle with Iowa.

As for Verhoeven, he did play surprisingly well, but only played 4:30 in the second half and Collins stapled him to the bench with 11:13 to play, Iowa leading 55-54.

 

[Purple Pile Driver]

I felt that the script (plan) was "we want Nicholson on Rebraca" (as much as we can) and "if Rebraca gets a breather, we'll rest Nicholson." I think Rebraca getting his 2nd foul presented us an unexpected opportunity and we failed to capitalize. Rebraca went to the bench with 6:14 left in the first half, score tied at 25. Rather than going with Nicholson and creating a size mismatch that Iowa would have struggled with, Collins stuck to the game plan and played Verhoeven the entire stretch. Had Collins gone back to his starting lineup, I think we could have built a lead into the break. Going back to Martinelli in that situation was really odd.

I like Martinelli, but the time to experiment with lineups was during the blowouts of Minnesota and Nebraska, not in a road battle with Iowa.

As for Verhoeven, he did play surprisingly well, but only played 4:30 in the second half and Collins stapled him to the bench with 11:13 to play, Iowa leading 55-54.

If the script was to have Big Matt on Rebraca then it was a bad strategy. That was a bad match up. Big Matt got took to the woodshed in this matchup. Big Matt will be needed tonight. I think Chase and Boo play almost the entire game so their +/- correlates to the game result most of the time.

 

[AdamOnFirst]

Buie being in foul trouble, which NU got away with while sitting him, forcing Audige to play the second half unrested seems to have been the subtle problem. They did fine without Boo himself, but absolutely needing Chase on the floor that entire time Boo was out coat Chase as the game started to slip.

 

[ballerog711]

This would have been a good match up for Hunger if healthy.

Tough match up for MN, but he competed. Martinelli, did some good things which was nice to see.