I see a better record than that IF, IF Lowe stays away from shoulder problems.
KenPom's projected UK SEC record
- Thread starter akaukswoosh
- Start date
I'm a gambler 'ROLL UM' Were going on a run 
Assuming JQ is good to go moving forward, everything rides on Lowe. I wouldn’t take that if I knew he was going to stay healthy. This team could win 12-13 games in the SEC if he doesn’t get bit by the injury bug.
We play UT twice, Alabama twice. Vanderbilt twice. Florida twice. It's gonna be tough.
I think we (all sec teams) only get 3 opponents we play twice now.
Vandy gets UK, UTjr and Ole Miss twice.
Pick your games for Lowe to in; sit him in the games you feel comfortable with him out and go for it.
11-7 is about where I was thinking. Have to assume there will be some games where Lowe can't go or is quite limited. Or maybe Mo's ankle acts up, or Oweh's turf toe, or something else with a key player.
And while the SEC doesn't have multiple "this team could win it all" type teams like last year, the SEC has a lot of teams capable of winning the SEC (UK, Bama, Auburn, UT, Florida, Vandy, Ark). Even UGA, Texas, Okl, LSU, Missouri, TAMU can make some noise. So 12-6 might get a team a share of the SEC title, with a lot of teams in the 10-8 to 8-10 range.
And while the SEC doesn't have multiple "this team could win it all" type teams like last year, the SEC has a lot of teams capable of winning the SEC (UK, Bama, Auburn, UT, Florida, Vandy, Ark). Even UGA, Texas, Okl, LSU, Missouri, TAMU can make some noise. So 12-6 might get a team a share of the SEC title, with a lot of teams in the 10-8 to 8-10 range.
11 and 7 in this league with our no doubt reoccurring injury issued isn't some bad prediction.
I think we are better than 11-7, but even that puts us 20-11 and in the big dance. My whole thing is being healthy in March, because if we are, we could easily get to the second weekend and see what happens
So what would that be for the season, 19-11? Bubble team or maybe a little above?
12-6 is a 67% clip and about where we seem to be. I think it's not unreasonable, but if we get on a roll and shots fall ... we could do much better.
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No way would I settle for 11-7, I say play it out and see what happens.
Bama only once, but still a tough schedule.
Healthy healthy healthy, not worried about what our record is now, I started a new season, when JQ came back
Time will tell, not worried about JQ, but Lowe scares the hell out of me. We won't never be a bubble team this season, and I'm going with higher seed, like a 3 to 5
FWIW it's something that changes from game to game.
For example before the St Johns game, it was projected as 10-8.
Also FWIW only two teams are projected above 11-7.
The road games are going to be tough. We aren't currently favored in pretty much all of them. Hence the projected record being close to .500.
For example before the St Johns game, it was projected as 10-8.
Also FWIW only two teams are projected above 11-7.
The road games are going to be tough. We aren't currently favored in pretty much all of them. Hence the projected record being close to .500.
idk i'm looking at our schedule and i don't see us losing 7 games. just my opinion. SEC really is down this year if we're talking about f*cking Vandy being good.
I predict 5 losses: @ Bama, @ Vandy, @ Arkansas, @ Florida, and a home game at Rupp to someone
I predict 5 losses: @ Bama, @ Vandy, @ Arkansas, @ Florida, and a home game at Rupp to someone
Eighteen games with SEC refs, anything is possible.
So, assuming we don't win the SEC Tourney, are you predicting ten (10) losses this year ?? Would you consider that satisfactory ?? I guess it is ...
Tough question. In a vacuum yeah i think it would be.
But there are other variables:
- this year absolutely must be better than last year's in some way (either a better W-L or going further in the postseason). I don't think that's asking too much and I think Pope would agree. If we take steps backward with Pope at the helm...then I don't really know what we're doing. Better to cut ties and move on, imo. This ain't a Make-a-Wish (And to those of you saying this is Cal's fault for being crap the last few years and making the fanbase impatient af...you are correct. But this is the situation Pope signed up for.)
- i want to see some signs of an actual long-term locker room culture here under Pope. We are in the process of finding our identity here with this team and hopefully Pope realizes that and lets the players guide him, instead of forcing his five out offense where it doesn't work. Bc what is our identity right now? It should be bully ball from this point on but in a lot of games it has been "jack up an obscene amount of 3s and just pray they go in"
- People don't wanna hear about it but the $22MM figure is out there and it doesn't even matter if it's legit...that dollar amount will forever be associated with this team so you have that to live up to as well. And from all accounts it was the team that leaked that info
To be a successful and improved season over last year, I think one of these three (3) things needs to happen:
1) Elite 8
2) SEC League Champion
3) SEC Tourney Champion
If we do not achieve one of these, I think it's fair to say that we're a decent team, but not better than last year.
GO CATS !!
Agreed. I'd also be thrilled at just making the SEC final game. To me that would be a significant improvement.
And these are the situations we really need to see Pope in to know if he's the guy. It's a small sample size as of now.
Vs. Illinois last year in the NCAA? Excellent, one of Pope's best coached games here probably, great gameplan and the boys carried it off expertly
Vs. Bama (SEC) and Tennessee (NCAA)? we got totally outclassed and Pope was a deer in the headlights
If we beat Bellarmine by like 40, we might tip the projection to our favor in some of those tight future matchups.
If we can keep everybody healthy. big if I know, we will be better than 11-7 in the SEC. Probably along the lines of 14-4 or 13-5. I say roll the dice and see what happens.
Either you didn’t read the X post or you didn’t comprehend. Have a good day.
Yeah the X post hadn’t loaded when I posted that. Not sure why you’re such a d*ck tho.
I hope Lowe stays healthy, but this talk of another point guard, to back him up, and if he goes down again, could be big for Kentucky. But I really hope Lowe is the man.
That’s just the new normal for the new Kentucky and new Kentucky fans who accept our new fate.
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I don't think it will be 11 - 7 but will not be 14 - 3. Somthing between those two records. I think Bama, TN, Vandy, & FL are loses on the road. With that statement I gusee I am projecting 13 - 4. I'll take that as well a 5 seed in March.
If we go 13-4 in the SEC, which is not going to happen, we would be more like a 3 seed.
Check me if I'm wrong but a 13-4 finish is pretty well impossible with an 18 game schedule.