Kentucky+12.5 at UT
- Thread starter akaukswoosh
- Start date
This is our game. We will win the last 3.
80% of the time the line is very close to correct imo. Rare for it to be off by alot. I don't like seeing that high number
. Makes me alittle sad. The ref's are going cheat us left and right. 5+ pass interference calls, holding calls on big runs, and offsides on 3rd downs are in our future....
. Makes me alittle sad. The ref's are going cheat us left and right. 5+ pass interference calls, holding calls on big runs, and offsides on 3rd downs are in our future....
Canceling out TTech , they have only beaten VaT by a score of more than what the spread is for UK and that includes Aappy St and Ohio U. and lost to SC!!
Too many people think this to be true.
You ALWAYS hear or remember when the spread is close to spot on... NEVER hear or remember when it isn't close.
The lines are wrong much more often than 20% of the time.
A lot of people also think Vegas sets lines, but in actuality the market sets the lines.
UK has a much better chance to win than the spread would indicate IMO. What I worry about it is we're at the end of this long stretch of competitive games and Tennessee is coming off a bye week (essentially)
That;'s somewhat true, Vegas wants half the money bet on each team, their profit comes from the fees. They don't want any big payouts on a single game. So basically they are running it with the bettors money and have none of theirs involved.
Exactly. Baffles me the constant misinterpretation of the lines and Vegas' role
Bettors do not set the initial lines. Bettors cause all of the movement in the lines.
It is not that hard to figure out.
Our game is a perfect example. Line opens at 15 and quickly goes to 11. Why did it move to 11? Vegas didn't move it, The market did.
Closing lines are the lines that go in the history books. The market sets the closing line.
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In this case, it means that UTn is favored by 12.5 points. If you bet on UTn, they must win by 13 or more points for you to win the bet. If you bet on UK (to cover) they must either win the game or lose by 12 or less points for you to win.