Kentucky Derby thread

anthonys735

Heisman
Jan 29, 2004
62,621
51,230
113
Tiz but will have to look after him to make some money.

Art Collector has a chance.
 

cole854

Heisman
Sep 11, 2012
10,156
22,638
0
It will depend on how many protesters are congregating at the 1/8 pole. Need to check DRF on how they have fared w/ this in the past.
 
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vhcat70

Heisman
Feb 5, 2003
57,418
38,482
0
Bet there aren't close to 20 starters given the greater knowledge of performances than normal. Like 10-12?
 
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bcw1029

All-Conference
Feb 24, 2007
1,506
2,482
0
Going with Honor AP because he'll relish the distance and Mike Smith is riding him.
 

uksam21

All-American
Jan 14, 2013
3,932
5,058
0
Tiz the Law no more needs to be said. If he wins in two weeks, he will win the Preakness as well.

I do like KG, AC, and NY traffic to throw in there too.
 

KRJ1975

Heisman
Mar 3, 2015
7,692
10,812
0
Could be tough to earn this year. TTL is the class of the field. I’ll mix in some mid shots under him in exotics.
 

Glenn's Take

Heisman
May 20, 2012
12,478
14,652
113
Down to 18 still under consideration. I would never have minded if they capped it at 14 like every other race in North America anyway.
 

rick64

Heisman
Jan 25, 2007
22,981
30,474
113
Talking about the KY Derby being the first Saturday in September just doesn’t sound right.
 

Tskware

Heisman
Jan 26, 2003
24,938
21,305
113
Talking about the KY Derby being the first Saturday in September just doesn’t sound right.

Said the same thing yesterday, feels totally unlike Derby.

What will the odds be on a Gamine-Tiz the Law parlay? 2-1, or less?
 

cawoodsct

Heisman
Apr 27, 2006
39,741
27,654
102
This is how they will load depending on the number of horses.

 

anthonys735

Heisman
Jan 29, 2004
62,621
51,230
113
Oaks is going to be real intersting. I love Skydiver... and Gammine. At least that'll be fun.
 

bcw1029

All-Conference
Feb 24, 2007
1,506
2,482
0
Honestly think the jockey will have to fall off the horse for Tiz the Law to lose.

He's done everything right up till this point, but being somewhat contrarian here, who has he really beat in terms of competition? He's already lost at Churchill once before, granted he was not as experienced then and has really beaten no one in the graded stakes races. (Dr. Post, Uncle Chuck, Solo Volante, etc)

I would have liked to have seen him in the Arkansas Derby against Nadal or Charlatan.
 

uksam21

All-American
Jan 14, 2013
3,932
5,058
0
Well the whole 3 year old class has been watered down the whole season pretty much. He's beaten the horses he's supposed too and outside of Authentic (who can't get the distance) and Honor AP there really won't be anybody in this field that can beat him either.
 

uksam21

All-American
Jan 14, 2013
3,932
5,058
0
Except Authentic won't get the distance, and Honor AP doesn't have the tactical speed Tiz does. Remember we would call the SEC Tournament the UKIT or Kentucky Invitational? Well it's the Tiz the Law invitational on Saturday.
 
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catsfanbgky

All-American
Oct 18, 2006
18,901
7,621
0
Going to give the #2 Max Player a serious look. Gets trainer Steve Asmussen for this race. e is due to win the big one. 30-1 so play at your own risk. Will probably also throw down a Exacta box with Tiz The Law,Max Player and one of Honor AP or Authentic.
 

CB3UK

Hall of Famer
Apr 15, 2012
62,672
102,947
78
So much hype behind Tiz the Law Im leery now lol
 

anthonys735

Heisman
Jan 29, 2004
62,621
51,230
113
I always bet 13 in the Derby. I actually like Attachment for ps. Tiz cruises though, really weak field.
 

Tskware

Heisman
Jan 26, 2003
24,938
21,305
113
I got a deposit bonus from Twin Spires of $50 and "invested" it in a Gamine/Tiz the Law double. Also get $25 of it back if Gamine loses the Oaks. Not too shabby an offer.
 

Glenn's Take

Heisman
May 20, 2012
12,478
14,652
113
Picks for today while working

Race 1 Exacta box 2/7

Race 2 Pick 4 1,2,3,4,7/4/6,7,8/2,8

Race 5 Pick 4 2,3,8,11/3,5,7,8/6,7/7

Race 9 Pick 4 (man this could be chalky) 2,3/2/1,2,4/1,3,4,5
 

Glenn's Take

Heisman
May 20, 2012
12,478
14,652
113
Did you hit any of those?
Nope. I made it to the last leg of the middle Pick 4 but missed. High risk, high reward bets though so I can't me mad about losing. Will try to post more losing picks later so you will now who to bet against.
 

Tskware

Heisman
Jan 26, 2003
24,938
21,305
113
Gamine ran out of gas in the stretch, but I never considered the longshot winner so just made a bad bet on the Oaks. It happens. A lot.