Let’s Chill With the Politics, and Look at Numbers and THINK!

Nov 15, 2008
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Trying to get people out of their political caves is nearly impossible. It's especially difficult on a message board for a college sports team like Kentucky because politics has nothing to do with policy and everything to do with tribalism thus the same personality traits that make a diehard sports fan make a diehard political party fan as well. Tribalism is easy because it doesn't take much intellect and you never have to question your own beliefs. If something comes that calls into question your beliefs you just label it a lie or a conspiracy theory and move on. Look at the conversations by UK fans about anything U of L and then look at the political post at the top. They're both full of the same arrogance and stubbornness. The people in the center are the people that keep the country ticking because they are open minded and constantly reviewing facts. You must just understand the others will never change their mind. They literally lack the ability to do so.

Spot on, the extremes of both parties continue to dry eff this nation.
 

BoulderCat_rivals187983

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May 22, 2002
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Google “Worldometers Corona” and look at their charts and numbers.

A few notations. The world daily death total first exceeded 200 one week, ago, March 8, 2020, at 228 deaths, or 6 percent in one day, of the total deaths of 3700ish that had by then occurred.

The last 24 hours there have been 686 deaths and the world total since January of 2020 is 6,500; meaning that the most recent day has accounted for 12 percent of all deaths from the virus since it’s inception.

These are pretty nasty numbers, and as the charts on worldometers show, the line charts for both diagnoses and deaths has become as steep . . . nearly vertical (straight up) as at any time since the beginning, indicating exponential growth.

Consider this: we have 3 times more people in America as we had at the outbreak of the Spanish Flu in 1918, BUT 10 TIMES MORE PEOPLE BEYOND THE AGE OF 90 AS WE DID IN 1918.

Sure, we’re Americans and we love to argue politics, but this is approaching a very serious situation, and for the good of all, we might want to start looking out for the best of all, instead of the best of politicians or political parties.

The measures now being taken are severe, but are based (I think) on observing what has happened in Lombard, Italy. It, along with Iran and Spain, are the new Wuhan’s. In Lombard, the medical services have been overwhelmed, and “unholy triage” is being practiced, whereby some are being allowed to go without life-saving treatment (ventilators) as others who have a better chance for survival (younger folks) are being treated, instead.

Approximately 4 percent of Corona victims require additional Oxygen; about 1 percent a ventilator.

I have read that there are approximately 50,000 ventilators available, in the US . . . meaning that a simultaneous diagnosis of Corona of less than 3 percent of our population, say 5 million cases, would likely require 50,000 simultaneous uses of ventilators.

If 10 percent of Americans were simultaneously stricken, 33 million, 330,000 of us could need the ventilators at the same time.

Frankly, I assume the 3 percent death rate in Wuhan, China was because of the lack of ventilators for the mass on-rush of serious cases.

Please Google “worldometers Corona” and use your own judgement on the info it provides.

Oh, and at least the Corona numbers there provided do not do any break downs on party affiliation!

A last thought: cruises to Lombard, Italy are a buyer’s market!!
My view is that in times like this we need to put politics aside. I am not a Trump fan, but I want him to do the best job possible managing this crisis on behalf of all of us. I’m following the guidelines he’s ask me to. When we’re on the other side of this then we can get back to the blame game.
 

LineSkiCat14

Heisman
Aug 5, 2015
37,311
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I think the people I feel most for, is anyone who was getting married in the next few months. Talk about being totally screwed over. Two friends have already cancelled their weddings and have no options in sight, as most weddings book out more than a year in advanced...
 
Nov 15, 2008
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We are at war...it's time to switch industries over from peacetime to wartime like production like Roosevelt did during WWII.

Instead of building tanks, planes and munitions, like we did in the 1940's, we need to switch our focus and with it our economy
over to the manufacturing of the necessary supplies and goods needed to survive. It's two fold, it creates manufacturing jobs and
will be a critical pipeline.

Some distilleries are already stepping up and producing sanitizer.
 

The-Hack

Heisman
Oct 1, 2016
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I am not a Trump fan, but I want him to do the best job possible managing this crisis on behalf of all of us.

Yep. I’m with you on that.

And some are not a fan of the new Gov., but we’d be best advised that all of our leaders be blessed with wisdom in these days.
 
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michaeluk26

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Feb 14, 2013
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It doesn't matter if they find 100 million ventilators in a warehouse......who is going to operate them........My wife is a Respiratory Therapist....the facility she works at is basically a ventilator facility.......she can almost handle 20 patients a day.......according to the book she should have an hour per patient per day....so it doesn't matter if someone waves a wand and finds the hardware.......there are not enough Respiratory Therapist to take care of the extra patient load.......
Im an RT and this is absolutely correct. We're preparing for the worst and it's absolutely terrifying that most hospitals are not equipped to handle what could possibly happen.
 

michaeluk26

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Feb 14, 2013
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Here are some “solid” numbers quotes I found on ventilator numbers:

“The latest study available estimates there are about 62,000 ventilators in hospitals nationwide. That figure is seven years old — so the actual number could be higher.

There are also some machines in federally stockpiled emergency supplies, though the exact number isn't public.

"There is a strategic national stockpile of ventilators, but the numbers are classified," says Toner. It's been "publicly stated," he says, that there are about 10,000 ventilators in the national stockpile. "That number might be a bit outdated, but it's probably about right," he says. Other estimates range from 4,000 to somewhat less than 10,000.


SHOTS - HEALTH NEWS
You Have A Fever And A Dry Cough. Now What?

While any extra ventilators would be an important addition, Toner says it likely wouldn't be enough to sustain the entire country through an experience like that seen in Wuhan, China.”

Another factor: many of our ventilators are already in use. In Mt. Vernon, Kentucky, the local hospital permanently houses hundreds of patients who are on permanent ventilation from spinal cord injuries and disease.
That's where I trained and and did my clinicals.
 
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The-Hack

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Oct 1, 2016
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We are expecting our first great grand child in late June.......keeping fingers crossed......

First priority: Great-Grand-Parents need to be at home. Newborns and kids less than 10 are beating this ish easily. It’s doing it’s worst on 70 year olds and up!!
 
May 31, 2018
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I was on the side that thought it was a media scare but as much as I thought closing things was unnecessary I have became a believer. KY has taken steps to close clubs, restaurants, barber shops, bingo, etc. In the meantime Tennessee has done nothing. On March 11th they had the same number of cases and as of Tuesday they had around 50 more cases. While 50 cases may not seem like many if those 50 people have had contact with even 10 people while infected and are able to go anywhere they want it will jump to 500 and those 500 will jump to 5,000 and so on.

The sleep doctor I go to is a pulmonologist and she put out a statement that it was similar to a tornado. With a watch everything is favorable for a tornado but with a warning one has been spotted and if you do not seek shelter you may lose your life. She said this is a warning not a watch and to take action to protect yourself and your loved ones. I have heard too many other doctors saying the same things to not take it serious.
 
May 31, 2018
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Im an RT and this is absolutely correct. We're preparing for the worst and it's absolutely terrifying that most hospitals are not equipped to handle what could possibly happen.

My friend is a RT and he has been getting contacted about helping in problem areas. Have you been noticing that as well?
 
Apr 13, 2002
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I was on the side that thought it was a media scare but as much as I thought closing things was unnecessary I have became a believer. KY has taken steps to close clubs, restaurants, barber shops, bingo, etc. In the meantime Tennessee has done nothing. On March 11th they had the same number of cases and as of Tuesday they had around 50 more cases. While 50 cases may not seem like many if those 50 people have had contact with even 10 people while infected and are able to go anywhere they want it will jump to 500 and those 500 will jump to 5,000 and so on.

The sleep doctor I go to is a pulmonologist and she put out a statement that it was similar to a tornado. With a watch everything is favorable for a tornado but with a warning one has been spotted and if you do not seek shelter you may lose your life. She said this is a warning not a watch and to take action to protect yourself and your loved ones. I have heard too many other doctors saying the same things to not take it serious.

Most will get it. Some will absolutely get sick. A very small percentage of them will die. I don't think anyone disputes that.

The dispute is about the drastic action taken vs the small percentage of fallout.
 
May 31, 2018
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Most will get it. Some will absolutely get sick. A very small percentage of them will die. I don't think anyone disputes that.

The dispute is about the drastic action taken vs the small percentage of fallout.

The issue is the ability to take care of those that do get it and need medical care but there just isn't enough dr's, rt's and machines. That is a serious concern so the best way is to limit the number who get it.
 

awf

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May 31, 2006
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My friend is a RT and he has been getting contacted about helping in problem areas. Have you been noticing that as well?
My wife is a RT at Kindred......they have been understaffed and over worked for months.....it is not unusual for them to have 16-20 patients.......someone will not get all of their treatments.......many days she never takes a break or lunch time.........so if they do find more ventilators they will have to wave a wand and produce more RTs.....
 

Nuke99m.

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Aug 30, 2002
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The bigger problem is rural hospitals that have maybe 5-8 ventilators. It's not like they can intubate and bag a patient till they get them somewhere that has one available.
 
Apr 13, 2002
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The issue is the ability to take care of those that do get it and need medical care but there just isn't enough dr's, rt's and machines. That is a serious concern so the best way is to limit the number who get it.

If you want to limit who gets it - that's just not possible and not even the goal of "flatten the curve".

And that's just one factor. Just assume we all get it. It's almost that certain. The number of people so far who needed critical care isn't anything near what leaders were told. The mortality rate is much lower than leaders were told.

Does this warrant the complete destruction if the economy?
 

The-Hack

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Oct 1, 2016
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Does this warrant the complete destruction if the economy?

The percentages are all over the map, and will only be “known” a year or more down the road.

Regarding the economy, if the worst scenario plays out, overcrowding of our hospitals with everyone’s grandparents would have likely damaged the economy as badly as the draconian measures.

Unfortunately, the measures taken might well fail to lower the spike in cases, anyhow, and “unholy triage” might come to all our hospitals.

Google “Corona Virus Italy” and read about a region that drug it’s feet even worse than we did: bodies are stacking up at morgues and hospitals.
 

Punkin Puss

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Nov 6, 2019
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If you want to limit who gets it - that's just not possible and not even the goal of "flatten the curve".

And that's just one factor. Just assume we all get it. It's almost that certain. The number of people so far who needed critical care isn't anything near what leaders were told. The mortality rate is much lower than leaders were told.

Does this warrant the complete destruction if the economy?
The morality rate of people 60+ is rather high.

Then you have states that have high rates of preexisting conditions such has heart disease, diabetes and smoking related illnesses.

Went out to forage for food yesterday at Kroger. Several seniors was out and then you have people dragging their kids with them. Along with a young couple with a 2-3 year old that was crying and coughing.

I just hope we can slow it down till a vaccine is found.
Dread to see coffin convoys such as Italy.
 
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Apr 13, 2002
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The percentages are all over the map, and will only be “known” a year or more down the road.

Regarding the economy, if the worst scenario plays out, overcrowding of our hospitals with everyone’s grandparents would have likely damaged the economy as badly as the draconian measures.

Unfortunately, the measures taken might well fail to lower the spike in cases, anyhow, and “unholy triage” might come to all our hospitals.

Google “Corona Virus Italy” and read about a region that drug it’s feet even worse than we did: bodies are stacking up at morgues and hospitals.

The morality rate of people 60+ is rather high.

Then you have states that have high rates of preexisting conditions such has heart disease, diabetes and smoking related illnesses.

Went out to forage for food yesterday at Kroger. Several seniors was out and then you have people dragging their kids with them. Along with a young couple with a 2-3 year old that was crying and coughing.

I just hope we can slow it down till a vaccine is found.
Dread to see coffin convoys such as Italy.

The Italy narrative is nothing more than panic porn. What happened in Germany? Their results can't get a whisper of mention in either msm or social media.

The number of cases here will rise not because exponentially more people are getting it. But because we are testing more. Millions already had this thing but just went undiagnosed. If we were going to be Italy, we'd already know.

At some point the imperial college modeling should be forced to include Germany. That way we can end this lockdown while we still have an economy we can salvage. There is a need to protect people but it must be balanced with economic need. Right now we have WAY too much of one and barely any of the other
 
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The-Hack

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What happened in Germany?

They have a much lower rate of death, but they are in the first 14 days of the fight and a disproportionate number of their cases have tended to be young, having returned from trips abroad, particularly skiing trips.

A good return question would be what happened to the Italian-descent family in New Jersey where at least 4 of 17 who attended a family function have died and more are on respirators.

In a year, we might find that certain groups suffered a higher death rate than others, and questions/comparisons will be drawn comparing health care systems and genetic trends; as for me, I’m wondering how the Scotch-Irish among us will fair, but maybe that’s just me!
 
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The-Hack

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The Italy narrative is nothing more than panic porn.



“The sheer numbers of people succumbing to the coronavirus is overwhelming every hospital in northern Italy - and it could easily overwhelm the rest of the country as well.”

Perhaps Italy is “panic porn,” but masturbation is of little concern to their health professionals, at present.
 
Apr 13, 2002
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They have a much lower rate of death, but they are in the first 14 days of the fight and a disproportionate number of their cases have tended to be young, having returned from trips abroad, particularly skiing trips.

A good return question would be what happened to the Italian-descent family in New Jersey where at least 4 of 17 who attended a family function have died and more are on respirators.

In a year, we might find that certain groups suffered a higher death rate than others, and questions/comparisons will be drawn comparing health care systems and genetic trends; as for me, I’m wondering how the Scotch-Irish among us will fair, but maybe that’s just me!

Then have vulnerable shelter in place. The rest of the nonsense lifted. If it somehow effects Italians more, they can decide what they want to do.

That covers all bases and should've been the plan from day 1
 
Apr 13, 2002
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I hope you are right. In my home town/county a light flu-like virus passed through in December, and I know of no one who got tested for flu. Some think it might have been the first wave.

I really think that and I think it's a sound position. As recent as a few weeks ago, stories were run about an oddly resurgent flu season now in it's second round.

Also consider the near certainty China was in outbreak in probably October if not sooner. Their first confirmed case was in November 17. So that means they already knew what it was to ID it. Combined with China's overall deception in this ordeal, I think this enough to conclude the above.

If it was there that much earlier, it was almost surely here that much earlier. Which brings us back to the beginning.

Hopefully our leaders eventually consider this very real likelihood in future modelling. Because undoubtedly this lock down is slowing the spread, but it's coming at too great the cost. Once they can factor in we are much later in the outbreak than they thought, hopefully life will return to normal while we still have any economic hope
 

etowncatfan

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Jan 3, 2003
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Every one has a story. I am suppose to move to Florida next week! Just hoping we don't close the roads down to non essential traffic. My house closing is Wednesday. I could be homeless in the middle of all this I suppose. Crazy!!
 
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Gassy_Knowls

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Every one has a story. I am suppose to move to Florida next week! Just hoping we don't close the roads down to non essential traffic. My house closing is Wednesday. I could be homeless in the middle of all this I suppose. Crazy!!


where you moving to, Etown?
 

The-Hack

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Oct 1, 2016
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The numbers on Worldometers are menacing. Worldwide, for six days in a row, both diagnosed cases and deaths have grown at an exponential rate. More than half of all deaths, worldwide, since the beginning of the illness, have occurred in just the last 6 days.

Germany, so far, stands alone in reporting a minuscule death rate, but has had few elderly cases, and is gearing up for them. Germany has edged the US for the 4th most diagnosed cases.

Spanish and Italian hospitals are swamped, and there have been more deaths in Italy, now, than have occurred in China.

Tennessee has 4.5 times the cases that Kentucky has had, and is still dragging their feet on closures.

New York looks like the likeliest local for a Lombardi-style fiasco, and there are fears of running low on medical supplies in the next three days.
 
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Whatsup

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Feb 15, 2011
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Actual doctor here.

From what I've read, particularly from the Lancet article, it appears to be capable of correlated loop chains, long-term dichroitic inhibition and innate caspase structures. Its von-Wille pathophysiological agents sub-units exhibit non-toxic repair dysgenesis utilizing phospholipid functional kinase. This is in line with novel medial dismustase and active catalytic time-course but surprisingly its non-androgenic caspase traffic seems similar to short-term wild-type proliferation though if it's capable of ectopic negative transcriptome and can endure equal unilateral stress, it's not unusual.

If its specific epidemiological expression engineered arrayed kinase coagulates strongly with unregulated triplex mutant retroposon moderate positive transposon then engineered non-covalent chains should be applicable for a potential cure issuing generic experimental mutagenesis with phospholipid proteomic modifications.

What in the hell did you just say. Please translate in English or Hillbilly either one will work for me.
 

trueblujr

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Dec 14, 2005
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They have a much lower rate of death, but they are in the first 14 days of the fight and a disproportionate number of their cases have tended to be young, having returned from trips abroad, particularly skiing trips.

A good return question would be what happened to the Italian-descent family in New Jersey where at least 4 of 17 who attended a family function have died and more are on respirators.

In a year, we might find that certain groups suffered a higher death rate than others, and questions/comparisons will be drawn comparing health care systems and genetic trends; as for me, I’m wondering how the Scotch-Irish among us will fair, but maybe that’s just me!

As of yesterday, Italy was showing over 47k cases and over 4000 deaths. At the rate we are trending when we reach the same number of confirmed cases Italy had yesterday we will have only around 615 deaths give or take. So we will see how fast things progress.

the sad thing is, if this whole CV thing was never brought up, these numbers would be absolutely lost in the flu numbers. They would be a small fraction of the overall flu numbers.