Monty Hall

TortElvisII

Active member
May 7, 2010
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Drove Rommel across Africa before going a bridge too far.
 

Glenn's Take

Well-known member
May 20, 2012
12,441
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If you ever find yourself playing Let's Make a Deal remember to always switch. You double your odds. Most people think it's a 50/50 chance. It's not. It's 67/33.
 

Kaizer Sosay

New member
Nov 29, 2007
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Fitting that they checked out all at the same time. The search for the Holy Grail is complete.

Good night, sweet knights.

 

TruBluCatFan

Well-known member
Dec 21, 2001
19,300
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I forgot that was mentioned in that movie. Stats class is really where I learned it. I'm actually surprised that some people I consider very smart have fought me on it before.

Pretty simple game theory if you understand stats and game theory at all. I'm not well versed in it but I know the basics enough to understand why you always switch.
 

UK_Is_Good

New member
Dec 7, 2005
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Pretty simple game theory if you understand stats and game theory at all. I'm not well versed in it but I know the basics enough to understand why you always switch.

The easiest way I've found to explain it is the only way you lose by switching is if you pick the prize with your initial choice. Since you have 1/3 chance of picking the prize first, you have a 2/3 chance of winning if you switch.

I learned about it at UK in a computer science course where we wrote a sim to show this.
 

CastleRubric

New member
Nov 11, 2011
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These funeral threads remind me of Gypsy Parties in remote places like ....Kettle Island .... or......Redbird

Cultish and sacrosanct
With the vague smell of opium and sweat coming from the back rooms