Monty Hall

TortElvisII

Heisman
May 7, 2010
51,232
96,195
66


Drove Rommel across Africa before going a bridge too far.
 
  • Like
Reactions: Kaizer Sosay

Glenn's Take

Heisman
May 20, 2012
12,476
14,648
113
If you ever find yourself playing Let's Make a Deal remember to always switch. You double your odds. Most people think it's a 50/50 chance. It's not. It's 67/33.
 
  • Like
Reactions: TortElvisII

bluthruandthru

All-Conference
Feb 24, 2009
3,814
3,928
113

Heard he got a gammy foot, started speaking Welsh from the lurgy and ended up popping his clogs.

Cheers then, mate.
 

TruBluCatFan

Heisman
Dec 21, 2001
19,301
10,086
113
I forgot that was mentioned in that movie. Stats class is really where I learned it. I'm actually surprised that some people I consider very smart have fought me on it before.

Pretty simple game theory if you understand stats and game theory at all. I'm not well versed in it but I know the basics enough to understand why you always switch.
 

UK_Is_Good

Senior
Dec 7, 2005
11,735
685
0
Pretty simple game theory if you understand stats and game theory at all. I'm not well versed in it but I know the basics enough to understand why you always switch.

The easiest way I've found to explain it is the only way you lose by switching is if you pick the prize with your initial choice. Since you have 1/3 chance of picking the prize first, you have a 2/3 chance of winning if you switch.

I learned about it at UK in a computer science course where we wrote a sim to show this.
 
  • Like
Reactions: TruBluCatFan

CastleRubric

All-American
Nov 11, 2011
5,854
9,925
0
These funeral threads remind me of Gypsy Parties in remote places like ....Kettle Island .... or......Redbird

Cultish and sacrosanct
With the vague smell of opium and sweat coming from the back rooms