NC State favored by 7

2330859

All-American
Nov 28, 2002
12,145
9,804
0
NCST lost by 1 to Miami; otherwise they would have remained in the top 25 poll. Wake and UVA are both legitimate, and despite losing the star QB, UCF has a good chance to be Bowl eligible. Ole Miss deservingly cracked the AP top 10 this week, and if they beat Auburn on Saturday they have a chance to move up even further.

This UL football team has played a tough schedule thus far, and the 4-3 record could easily be 6-1 if two last minute FGs turned out differently.
 

Rollem Cards

Heisman
Jul 9, 2001
55,267
13,639
0
I’m predicting a win.

This team just seems like they are on the cusp of being really good. A lot better than they zNCST expect.

Plus, even coming off a huge loss, I think NCST is arrogant enough to overlook us because we’re “just Louisville”. :rolleyes:
 

2330859

All-American
Nov 28, 2002
12,145
9,804
0
NC State will miss Isaiah Moore at LB more than most will appreciate; we have had time to adjust to losing Montgomery for the season, something the Wolfpack will not enjoy with Moore‘s season ending injury on Saturday against Miami.
 

CardX

Heisman
May 29, 2001
254,750
19,564
0
I’m predicting a win.

This team just seems like they are on the cusp of being really good. A lot better than they zNCST expect.

Plus, even coming off a huge loss, I think NCST is arrogant enough to overlook us because we’re “just Louisville”. :rolleyes:
The Cards are 7-3 all time against NCST. In other words, that's called owning their asses. I doubt they overlook us.
 
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Guardman

All-American
Aug 27, 2001
12,425
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Game will be played completely under the lights. About 56-58 degrees when game starts at 7:30PM. 10 mph moist wind from SW. No rain expected.

Very important game for both teams. They will both compete.
 
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TheRealVille

All-American
Apr 27, 2015
6,797
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Cards don't need NC State to overlook them to win. There's not much difference in the talent level of the teams. The big difference is the Pack haven't played Wake Forest, Virginia or Ole Miss. The one team with a top QB passing attack was Mississippi State and they lost.

They have been living off the win over Clemson but everyone now knows the Tigers are a struggling offense. NC State's other wins are over USF, Furman, Louisiana Tech and Boston College. Louisville will be the best balanced offense they have seen. If the Cards don't give the game away or get hosed by the refs, I think they will win.
 

REDFISTFURY3

All-Conference
Mar 21, 2015
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Just don't expect a win at their place nite game crowd will be into it. Coming off a loss .
 

TheRealVille

All-American
Apr 27, 2015
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This is not exactly death valley Louisiana.

Don't expect a Cards win by no means but I do predict a win. I could also see another 3 point loss in the last minute.

What I know is if you put up blind resumes of these teams, Louisville would be the favorite. NC State is living off the Clemson win while Louisville is treading water off the two close losses against WF and Virginia.

Cards could easily be 6 and 1. Malik is a ACC MVP candidate. But until they get that big win, they're not being fully respected.

The Pack were just ranked. They have been feeling good about themselves. They beat Clemson. But a surprise loss to Miami maybe shouldn't have been a surprise? The Hurricanes were coming off a impressive win over UNC.

Now they face a Louisville team that has been their own worst enemy but is full of talent. Can they rely on that, especially now they lost their top defender? They're at home but they know they need more than a good crowd to beat the Cards.

Louisville is so close to making that turn if they haven't already. There is so many options on offense but not enough play calling brilliance to suit it. With Shai Werts joining the group Malik has even more speed to utilize.

The defense I think has proven they're at their best being aggressive. More and more freshmen are not just playing but getting sacks and tackles for loss.

With a top loaded schedule now complete, the Cards have a chance to gain momentum and prove that they are worthy of a top 25 ranking. They need to beat the Wolfpack to do it.

Louisville will be ready to play. Focused on what this road win could mean and would do for them. They are so disrespected they're 7 point underdogs. They are going to take it to them from the start.

Louisville 38
NC State 27
 
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CardX

Heisman
May 29, 2001
254,750
19,564
0
The line has held pretty steady, though, it's now Cards +6.5. I think NCST takes this one. The offenses of each team match up pretty well. But, even though NCST is dealing with injuries, their defense is top 20. Plus, it's a night game at home for them, and they are coming off a tough loss.
 

TheRealVille

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Apr 27, 2015
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The line has held pretty steady, though, it's now Cards +6.5. I think NCST takes this one. The offenses of each team match up pretty well. But, even though NCST is dealing with injuries, their defense is top 20. Plus, it's a night game at home for them, and they are coming off a tough loss.
Defense top 20? The Cards Defense would be top 20 if we played the schedule NC State hss played.

They haven't seen Matt Corral, Dylan Gabriel, Brannen Armstrong and Sam Hartman. Doesn't that mean anything?
 
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CardX

Heisman
May 29, 2001
254,750
19,564
0
Defense top 20? The Cards Defense would be top 20 if we played the schedule NC State hss played.

They haven't seen Matt Corral, Dylan Gabriel, Brannen Armstrong and Sam Hartman. Doesn't that mean anything?
A top 20 defense is a top 20 defense. They could be giving up yards and points to so called lesser competition, but they aren't. Cards have a top 102nd defense, fwiw. That's a pretty big gap.
 

TheRealVille

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Apr 27, 2015
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Of course it's a big gap, the Cards have played four of the top offenses in the country and NC State has played one.

Anything can happen and the Cards could certainly lose but I think it's pretty obvious Louisville has been tested and NC State not so much.

The Pack beat USF 45 to 0. Beat Furman 45 to 7. Must of been the awesome defense in these games.? They beat Louisiana Tech by 7 points. Tech had 480 total yards. Most by any team that has played NC State.

Cards have two losses to current ranked teams. NC State hasn't played a current ranked team. They haven't faced a top 10 offense and the Cards have faced 3.

I just don't see how much clearer I can make it. I think Louisville is the better team and the results of the season prove that out. It doesn't mean a easy victory or a W at all.

NC State will be motivated, they will be at home, but once the game starts none of that matters. Making adjustments to the best offense they have faced will take up their minds.

In a normal world, say 10 years ago, the spread on this game would be the 3 points for the home team. The Cards being 7 point underdogs with all the information that is known, makes no sense. Other than the Clemson win which many still believe the Tigers will suddenly turn it on and score 40 points.
(Probably against UofL)
 

CardX

Heisman
May 29, 2001
254,750
19,564
0
Of course it's a big gap, the Cards have played four of the top offenses in the country and NC State has played one.

Anything can happen and the Cards could certainly lose but I think it's pretty obvious Louisville has been tested and NC State not so much.

The Pack beat USF 45 to 0. Beat Furman 45 to 7. Must of been the awesome defense in these games.? They beat Louisiana Tech by 7 points. Tech had 480 total yards. Most by any team that has played NC State.

Cards have two losses to current ranked teams. NC State hasn't played a current ranked team. They haven't faced a top 10 offense and the Cards have faced 3.

I just don't see how much clearer I can make it. I think Louisville is the better team and the results of the season prove that out. It doesn't mean a easy victory or a W at all.

NC State will be motivated, they will be at home, but once the game starts none of that matters. Making adjustments to the best offense they have faced will take up their minds.

In a normal world, say 10 years ago, the spread on this game would be the 3 points for the home team. The Cards being 7 point underdogs with all the information that is known, makes no sense. Other than the Clemson win which many still believe the Tigers will suddenly turn it on and score 40 points.
(Probably against UofL)
So, you're upset at the spread? There's one thing I've learned in life, bookies are right more often than they are wrong. If you feel there's disrespect, it isn't intentional. UofL might be the best offense NCST will see thus far, but NCST will be the best defense UofL has faced all year. Statistically, that is factual.
 

TheRealVille

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Apr 27, 2015
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Cards have already proven the Vegas experts wrong multiple times already. Don't think its intentional just lazy. A lot of assumptions are made by college football pundits much like you when it comes to this match up.

NC State beat Clemson. That got them ranked. They lost to a 2 and 4 Miami and they're no longer ranked.

Louisville isn't even receiving votes for the top 25 and they probably shouldn't be. But this notion NC State is the better team thus they're 7 point favorites is in my opinion a lack of knowledge or effort.
 

CardX

Heisman
May 29, 2001
254,750
19,564
0
Cards have already proven the Vegas experts wrong multiple times already. Don't think its intentional just lazy. A lot of assumptions are made by college football pundits much like you when it comes to this match up.

NC State beat Clemson. That got them ranked. They lost to a 2 and 4 Miami and they're no longer ranked.

Louisville isn't even receiving votes for the top 25 and they probably shouldn't be. But this notion NC State is the better team thus they're 7 point favorites is in my opinion a lack of knowledge or effort.
Cards have proven the experts right multiple times already, too. Say what you want about the odds makers, but the gambling public doesn't seem to have much faith in the Cards. As I already mentioned, the spread has held steady all week. It's now down to just NCST -6.5.
 

LeFors4Ever

All-Conference
Oct 14, 2017
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Cards have proven the experts right multiple times already, too. Say what you want about the odds makers, but the gambling public doesn't seem to have much faith in the Cards. As I already mentioned, the spread has held steady all week. It's now down to just NCST -6.5.
We're 4-2 ATS (EKU wasn't on the board)
Our 2 times we lost against the spread? We were -2.5 against UVA and +9.0 against Ole Miss

We've been underdogs against OM, UCF, Wake, FSU (2-2 overall record)
We were favorites against UVA, & BC (1-1 overall record)

So we tend to beat the spread, but overall it's a mixed bag. I'd take us to beat any big spread, but as far as winning the actual game? Who knows!
 

TheRealVille

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Apr 27, 2015
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The +7 to WF was solid all that week and I was here saying it was BS and Louisville wasn't getting any respect. I also predicted a Cards upset but we all saw the refs take charge and kill that thought.

But the Cards covered by a margin I thought the line should have been in the first place. I'm hoping this time against NC State there won't be more BS that steals a victory from the Cards.
 

TheRealVille

All-American
Apr 27, 2015
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We're 4-2 ATS (EKU wasn't on the board)
Our 2 times we lost against the spread? We were -2.5 against UVA and +9.0 against Ole Miss

We've been underdogs against OM, UCF, Wake, FSU (2-2 overall record)
We were favorites against UVA, & BC (1-1 overall record)

So we tend to beat the spread, but overall it's a mixed bag. I'd take us to beat any big spread, but as far as winning the actual game? Who knows!
I know! Cards 38 to 27.

Or I could be wrong. I'm normally a pessimistic Louisville fan but I've really been impressed for the most part with this team. My issue is with the coaches both offense and defense.

Malik is playing much better than I expected and he has a slew of offensive weapons and a strong OL. There's speed if Satterfield would ever decide to use it more.

I watched NC State's game against Clemson and was not that impressed. It was more the ineptitude of Clemson's offense that I took note of.

NC State is overrated living off that Clemson win. The Tigers were still a top 10 ranked team then. The Pack are coming off of a upset lost against a 3rd string Miami QB who threw for 300+ yards.

Louisville is so close to making a run and no defense has stopped them. The offense has stopped itself. The defense has held its own considering the high scoring offenses they have faced.

I think this is the game that determines the Cards season. They should have beaten both WF and Virginia and I think this time they make sure they get that big win.
 
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Rollem Cards

Heisman
Jul 9, 2001
55,267
13,639
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The +7 to WF was solid all that week and I was here saying it was BS and Louisville wasn't getting any respect. I also predicted a Cards upset but we all saw the refs take charge and kill that thought.

But the Cards covered by a margin I thought the line should have been in the first place. I'm hoping this time against NC State there won't be more BS that steals a victory from the Cards.
With being @NCST I would expect home cooking.

Again
 

PushupMan

All-American
May 29, 2001
168,545
8,802
93
Lines are created by oddsmakers to get as close to an equal amount of money bet on both sides as possible. And then oddsmakers manipulate it to keep money coming in equally on both sides. That way, the oddsmakers are guaranteed to make the most money.

The UofL-NC State line has nothing to do with which team is actually better than the other.
 
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