Kentucky and Arkansas are obviously legit tourney teams. The next four teams are currently projected by Lunardi of getting seeds in the 8-10 range. I look at their low RPI rankings and a largely unimpressive OOC resume, and I honestly don't see how Lunardi even has those four teams that high. Maybe ESPN puts too much stock into their BPI rankings? I'm okay with Georgia and Ole Miss getting in - but more on the 9-10 line. I figure these four teams are essentially beating themselves (.500 records more or less amongst UGA, Ole Miss, A&M and LSU), so to pull ahead in the resume they need better looking out-of conference wins. Texas A&M played a ridiculous game against UK, but their resume is sloppy at best: 2-6 vs top 50 and 5-9 vs. top 100. You're telling me that a team that wins a third of the games against top 100 teams deserves a spot in the tourney? No way. Their only OOC top 100 win was against a .500 team in Arizona State (91 in RPI). LSU has a couple of nice OOC wins, but three conference losses to Auburn, Missouri, and Miss State is a killer. One is forgivable, but not three. I included some figures to track these four teams - I only added Florida because I was shocked they were ranked as high as 35th on the BPI. With 6 OOC losses, and a 8-9 SEC record, they're obviously not a candidate for an at-large.
RPI BPI Top 50 51-100 Top 100 (Overall Record vs. Top 100)
Georgia 36 28 3-5 5-3 8-8
Ole Miss 43 32 4-7 4-0 8-7
Texas A&M 46 37 2-6 3-3 5-9
LSU 47 34 4-4 5-1 9-5 (3 bad losses)
Florida 91 35 2-10 4-2 6-12
GEORGIA (8 seed)
Wins: Chattanooga (100), Seton Hall (74), Kansas State (81)
Losses: Georgia Tech (126), Gonzaga (8) Minnesota (78)
OLE MISS (8 seed)
Wins: Cincinnati (49), Oregon (32)
Losses: Dayton (27), Western Kentucky (115), TCU (123)
TEXAS A&M (10 Seed)
Wins: Arizona State (91)
Losses: Dayton (27), Baylor (10), Kansas State (81)
LSU (10 Seed)
Wins: UMass (68), West Virginia (22),
Losses: Old Dominion (41), Clemson (92)
Conf Losses: Miss State (198), Auburn (158), Missouri (203)
The SEC is obviously getting a boost from the BPI for whatever reason though. Here's how some of Lunardi's seeds might look if the rest of the field was largely determined by the BPI rankings:
Ohio State: (3 ssed)
Mich State: (5 Seed)
BYU: (6 seed)
Maryland: (7 seed)
Texas: (8 seed)
Davidson (9 seed)
Florida: 9 seed)
Vandy: (11 seed)
San Diego State: (12 seed)
RPI BPI Top 50 51-100 Top 100 (Overall Record vs. Top 100)
Georgia 36 28 3-5 5-3 8-8
Ole Miss 43 32 4-7 4-0 8-7
Texas A&M 46 37 2-6 3-3 5-9
LSU 47 34 4-4 5-1 9-5 (3 bad losses)
Florida 91 35 2-10 4-2 6-12
GEORGIA (8 seed)
Wins: Chattanooga (100), Seton Hall (74), Kansas State (81)
Losses: Georgia Tech (126), Gonzaga (8) Minnesota (78)
OLE MISS (8 seed)
Wins: Cincinnati (49), Oregon (32)
Losses: Dayton (27), Western Kentucky (115), TCU (123)
TEXAS A&M (10 Seed)
Wins: Arizona State (91)
Losses: Dayton (27), Baylor (10), Kansas State (81)
LSU (10 Seed)
Wins: UMass (68), West Virginia (22),
Losses: Old Dominion (41), Clemson (92)
Conf Losses: Miss State (198), Auburn (158), Missouri (203)
The SEC is obviously getting a boost from the BPI for whatever reason though. Here's how some of Lunardi's seeds might look if the rest of the field was largely determined by the BPI rankings:
Ohio State: (3 ssed)
Mich State: (5 Seed)
BYU: (6 seed)
Maryland: (7 seed)
Texas: (8 seed)
Davidson (9 seed)
Florida: 9 seed)
Vandy: (11 seed)
San Diego State: (12 seed)