With regard to point spread, betting on a college team that is not named Alabama or Ohio State in its first game in insane: the combination of roster turnover and a short practice period that lead to screw ups make the first game totally unpredictable.
In recent history, here is what my expectation of the Cats and my reaction to the first game:
2015. This is going to be a mediocre team. Win over Stanford - Hey, they looked pretty good and D was great!
2016. This could be the Cats’ year! Loss to WMU - Fitz has lost it, long year ahead. Thorson, what were you thinking?
2017. Don’t know what to expect this year. Win over Nevada- Don’t know what to expect this year.
2018. This should be a good year, solid on both O and D. Win over Purdue. Pray Thorson gets healthy enough to play full game, worried about D.
2019. This team is going to be really good! We’ve waited for the Hunter era to move a good team to great! Loss to Stanford - Wow, do I miss Thorson!
2020. Last year was bad. Covid sucks. Oh, well, I’ll watch. Win over Maryland- Fitz and Bajakian are geniuses. Happy days are here again!
2021. Don’t know what to expect. Has Hunter come around? Hope JON doesn’t screw up a good thing! I bet we miss Porter. Loss to MSU - WTF? At least we have a QB!
Clearly, I had no idea how the Cats would play in their first game. Generally, I didn’t have a great sense of how the season would go after the first game!
I really do hope the Cats play Nebraska with brains and heart. My expectations are pretty low this year (not as low as some, but I’m not going to block off the weekend of the B1G Championship game on my calendar to allow for travel there.)