One more thread, how many more wins

[GatoLouco]

This feels strange for a purple fan.

Straight probabilities say we win 8 more. Only @ Purdue, @ Maryland and @ MSU we are not favored. 14-6 would be not too shabby.

Probabilities, NU/Opponent:

@ PU - 7.2%/92.8%
@ MN - 52.8%/47.2%
UNL - 72.4%/27.6%
PSU - 85.5%/14.5%
@ RU - 50.4%/49.6%
@ IU - 56.1%/43.9%
MI - 79.5%/20.5%
@ MD - 38.9%/61.1%
IA - 66.4%/33.6%
@ MSU - 21.8%/78.2%
MN - 79.8%/20.2%

 

[PURPLECAT88]

This feels strange for a purple fan.

Straight probabilities say we win 8 more. Only @ Purdue, @ Maryland and @ MSU we are not favored. 14-6 would be not too shabby.

Probabilities, NU/Opponent:

@ PU - 7.2%/92.8%
@ MN - 52.8%/47.2%
UNL - 72.4%/27.6%
PSU - 85.5%/14.5%
@ RY - 50.4%/49.6%
@ IU - 56.1%/43.9%
MI - 79.5%/20.5%
@ MD - 61.1%/38.9%
IA - 66.4%/33.6%
@ MSU - 21.8%/78.2%
MN - 79.8%/20.2%

The MD number has to be wrong. Do you have it reversed?
I'd say 14 is the high end. 11 is the low end. At this point I fully expect 10-0 at home.

 

[GatoLouco]

The MD number has to be wrong. Do you have it reversed?
I'd say 14 is the high end. 11 is the low end. At this point I fully expect 10-0 at home.

Thanks for spotting, corrected. Reversed indeed.

 

[Hungry Jack]

I voted 2 because I am married and know that I am always wrong.

 

[SmellyCat]

I voted 2 because I am married and know that I am always wrong.

It's not that you're always wrong, it's that your spouse is always right. That's the difference.

 

[drewjin]

Why no option for 11 or 9? Was thinking 9 and that we'd beat MSU. Still thinking we will win at E Lansing, but am concerned about IU.

 

[GatoLouco]

Why no option for 11 or 9? Was thinking 9 and that we'd beat MSU. Still thinking we will win at E Lansing, but am concerned about IU.

Poll limits options to 10! So that was my executive decision, to leave out 11, 2 and 1. But, of course, my fat fingers messed it up and left 9 out.

Anyway, I was thinking we'd get most votes below the statistical most likely 8. And we did. This is NU and we are too scarred to be optimistic. I voted 7 myself.

 

[SimpsonElmwood]

Poll limits options to 10! So that was my executive decision, to leave out 11, 2 and 1. But, of course, my fat fingers messed it up and left 9 out.

Anyway, I was thinking we'd get most votes below the statistical most likely 8. And we did. This is NU and we are too scarred to be optimistic. I voted 7 myself.

7 8 9.

 

[phatcat_rivals223240]

I just pray that we have enough wins before the dreaded BTT

 

[hdhntr1]

The MD number has to be wrong. Do you have it reversed?
I'd say 14 is the high end. 11 is the low end. At this point I fully expect 10-0 at home.

MD plays very tough at home. Remember last year when they won basically every game at home and lost every game on the road? Little more mature so now they have won a couple on the road