Definitely above $3/gallon. As a poster above said, demand fell way down so rigs were shut down last year. It's not as easy as throwing a switch to get them back online so, now that demand is picking up, the lack of ample supply is causing prices to rise. Certainly, shutting down the XL Pipeline and the various statements about ridding the US of fossil fuels is also causing prices to rise but, for now, it's a much smaller impact than supply/demand.
I think it's bad policy to artificially inflate gas/oil prices (taxes, restrictions on supply, etc.) if there isn't a viable, cost-effective alternative that most Americans can afford. The oil from the XL Pipeline will still come to America, just via rail rather than the pipeline, which one could argue presents just as much potential environmental impact. Plus, it costs more and pisses off our trading partner in Canada. Not sure what was accomplished by that executive order.
EVs are most likely the wave of the future. Unfortunately, they are too expensive for most Americans and the infrastructure for most Americans to drive all-electric cars over the vast road system in America is not ready. Let's not forget that a rise in gas/oil prices mean higher travel costs, higher shipping costs, higher heating costs, higher fertilization costs, higher plastic costs - i.e., a lot of other goods and services also increase in cost due to higher gas/oil prices. It's not just cars that use oil and gas. Economically, a rise in gas prices (which could fuel a general rise in prices) hurts the lowest income earners more than the highest. Is that the policy this administration is really wanting to pursue so avidly?