Just got to get focused, stay healthy and win out!!! We do this - we will be in the playoff and Lamar will win the Heisman. Go Cards!!!
Pretty Simple - WE WIN & WE'RE IN!!!
- Thread starter ShortCreek
- Start date
I have to believe we play to the level of our competition, the lesser opponents scare me more than the higher ranked teams.
Last night might have been the strangest night of college football I've ever seen. The Cardinals stunk it up and STILL put up 44. The high powered Michigan offense was shut down and lost. Clemson's rabbit foot finally fell out of their rear end, and Washington finally played someone.
There is still 2 games left, BUT if the Cardinals win both then the OP is probably right. We're in the freaking playoffs!
There is still 2 games left, BUT if the Cardinals win both then the OP is probably right. We're in the freaking playoffs!
Maybe but it's going to be difficult to justify if the conference champs you're speaking of has 2 losses no matter the conference.
Not to be Debbie downer, but I think we may still need help. If things hold serve, Alabama is in, Clemson as ACC champ would be in, and then you have the Big 10. So if favorites win, Ohio State beats Michigan but won't make Big 10 championship because Penn St has tiebreaker over OSU. So OSU would be 11-1 and would get in. Then the Big 10 championship would be Penn St vs Wisconsin. So my concern would be that the committee would take a 2 loss Big 10 champ over a one loss Louisville as well as Ohio State.
Our best bet is for Clemson to lose to Wake or in ACC championship. Or Michigan beats Ohio State and then beats Wisconsin in Big 10 championship.
Our best bet is for Clemson to lose to Wake or in ACC championship. Or Michigan beats Ohio State and then beats Wisconsin in Big 10 championship.
It depends on how WE finish. If we have a Virginia like performance then we will get jumped. If we "leave no doubt" it would be tough to consider those teams better than Louisville.
Not true according to the committee. They said it's more important to place the 4 best teams not necessarily the conference champs. This could be the year that that comes true; but any things possible with this committee.
Can't argue with any of that so I'm trying to look at each conference and its one and two loss teams.
Obviously we have to win our last 2. My view:
ACC- Clemson (1 loss). If Clemson wins out, they are in. If they lose to Wake or in the ACC Title game then Louisville is the only team from the ACC to have a shot at the playoff.
SEC- Alabama (undefeated)
Florida (2 losses).
Alabama looks like a lock. I guess you could worry that if the crazy scenario happens where Florida beats an undefeated and #1 Alabama team in the SEC Title game the SEC might get 2 teams in but I can't see that happening. Florida would have to win @ LSU, @ Florida St and vs Alabama. Ain't happening.
PAC 12- Washington (1 loss)
Washington St. (2 losses)
Colorado 2 ( losses)
If Washington wins out they'll have an argument but I like our chances over them. Our only loss being a nail biter at Clemson and theirs being a 14 loss at home to USC, even if they are a power 5 Conference champ.
Can't see the committee taking any 2 loss PAC 12 team this year even though Colorado has had a really good season and WSU has been on a roll after losing to Eastern Washington (yikes) and Boise St.
Big 12- West Virginia (1 loss)
Oklahoma (2 losses)
Oklahoma St. (2 losses)
Like the PAC 12 I don't see any two loss team from this conference having a chance at making the playoff so their only argument would be a 1 loss WVU team who lost to Oklahoma St. Not a bad loss but without a conference championship game I can't see a way WVU jumps us in a down year for the Big 12.
Big 10- Ohio St (1 loss)
Michigan- (1 loss)
Wisconsin (2 losses)
Penn St (2 losses)
Nebraska (2 losses)
This is the most complicated one. See Hank's post above to explain it and I will add a couple of things. Cross out Nebraska. The loser of the OSU-Michigan game is likely done. If Wisconsin wins the Big 10 Title game they would certainly get consideration with the brutal schedule they have played with no bad losses. Even Penn St is not out of it. As it was stated above, a scary scenario for us is a 2 loss Big 10 Champ accompanied by a 1 loss OSU team. Go Wolverines.
My prediction
1- Alabama
2- Michigan
3- Clemson
4- Louisville
Go Cards and go Wake Forest too.
Houston is our first playoff game
So true dat......but please don't say that uk is our 2nd playoff game.
Look at it like it would be the warm up game for the FF bowl game....please child.
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UK can be this guy, to get us ready for the College Football Playoff.So true dat......but please don't say that uk is our 2nd playoff game.
At last, they have a purpose.
Believe it or not, I mostly agree with you. I am not quite so sanguine regarding UL's chances against a one loss Washington or WVU, but otherwise we pretty much agree.
Would be awesome to meet you guys again for everything.
Houston does hold a win over the likely big 12 champ Oklahoma. So a win on the road against Houston could be a good win.
Right now I think it's too many 1 lose teams to consider the 2 lose teams. Even if Penn St. wins the Big 10 they will have a lose vs an un ranked Pitt team and a 30 point lose to Michigan.
Right now I think it's too many 1 lose teams to consider the 2 lose teams. Even if Penn St. wins the Big 10 they will have a lose vs an un ranked Pitt team and a 30 point lose to Michigan.
I think we still need help to have a 100% chance to get in, but last weekend's games got us a lot closer.
Assuming we win out, the best scenario for us is Wake beating Clemson. After that happened, we'd be in control of our own destiny.
The 2nd best scenario I see is for 2 non-Playoff teams to win P5 leagues. Clemson losing in the ACC Championship would help. Also if a team other than Washington win the PAC. A team other than WVU winning the Big 12 would help.
After that it gets a little hazy, but there are a number of games that can improve our chances.
One wild scenario I like personally is for Alabama to lose to Auburn and Florida, Michigan loses and we end up ranked #1 in the final AP/Coaches Polls going into the post season. It'd be hard for the Playoff Committee to deny us in that scenario. Alabama losing, just dreaming.
Assuming we win out, the best scenario for us is Wake beating Clemson. After that happened, we'd be in control of our own destiny.
The 2nd best scenario I see is for 2 non-Playoff teams to win P5 leagues. Clemson losing in the ACC Championship would help. Also if a team other than Washington win the PAC. A team other than WVU winning the Big 12 would help.
After that it gets a little hazy, but there are a number of games that can improve our chances.
One wild scenario I like personally is for Alabama to lose to Auburn and Florida, Michigan loses and we end up ranked #1 in the final AP/Coaches Polls going into the post season. It'd be hard for the Playoff Committee to deny us in that scenario. Alabama losing, just dreaming.
This past weekend assured us of nothing, but it did open more paths up for us. Vegas agrees based on latest odds.
You'd post differently if you were on A Clemson board.
Have to show respect as a visitor.
Besides, he can talk smack, Clemson beat UofL.
Cards would win in a playoff rematch.
This is the list of teams who would clearly be ahead of us at the end of reg season, if they win out:
Alabama
Clemson
Ohio State/Mich winner
Then the 4th spot comes down to sweating:
Washington if they still win out.
WVU/Oklahoma winner if they win out.
Wisconsin as a 2 loss champ if OSU beats Mich.
We're certainly well positioned to win those 3 sweats if we look impressive with big wins over the 2 remaining bowl teams on our schedule. To me, the toughest sweat will be Wisconsin in this scenario as Big 10 Champ with multiple good wins and 2 well regarded losses. The fact is we're in if they want us in, but no guarantee.
Alabama
Clemson
Ohio State/Mich winner
Then the 4th spot comes down to sweating:
Washington if they still win out.
WVU/Oklahoma winner if they win out.
Wisconsin as a 2 loss champ if OSU beats Mich.
We're certainly well positioned to win those 3 sweats if we look impressive with big wins over the 2 remaining bowl teams on our schedule. To me, the toughest sweat will be Wisconsin in this scenario as Big 10 Champ with multiple good wins and 2 well regarded losses. The fact is we're in if they want us in, but no guarantee.
If you include Wisconsin, you have to include Penn st.
Cards need to blow out UH and the Cayuts
Need Michigan, Penn st, Wisc, Washington, and WV all to lose.
That should be enough to be the first non-conference champion in the playoffs.
Cards need to blow out UH and the Cayuts
Need Michigan, Penn st, Wisc, Washington, and WV all to lose.
That should be enough to be the first non-conference champion in the playoffs.
Penn state not nearrrrrly as impressive as a 2 loss champ. We win that sweat if Penn St beats Wisconsin. Wisconsin barely lost their two compared to Penn St getting drubbed and Wisconsin has added wins over LSU and Nebraska that PSU doesn't have. We'd grade out ahead of Penn St, but not necessarily Wisconsin.
Effing Jerry Palm of CBS sports still has Washington in his top 4 after getting thoroughly trounced at home by USC in week 11.
That should worry everyone who throws the L's up although I'm not sure if he is projecting down the road or if he really believes UW should still be in the Top 4 which is ridiculous.
http://www.cbssports.com/college-fo...hurts-ohio-state-in-playoff-helps-penn-state/
That should worry everyone who throws the L's up although I'm not sure if he is projecting down the road or if he really believes UW should still be in the Top 4 which is ridiculous.
http://www.cbssports.com/college-fo...hurts-ohio-state-in-playoff-helps-penn-state/
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