Well, that… and Haith…. And Wilson….
Let's do a little math. 1/2 of coaches in the conference are average or below (more than half but let's stay simple). If you say a "good" coach finishes in the top 1/3 of the conference, then 2/3 of the coaches are not good. Statistically, if we sample randomly from the pool of potential AAC coaches, we'll hire a "not good" coach 2/3 of the time, so by guessing "not good" for every hire, you're giving yourself a 67% chance of being right. You're basically looking at games where one team is favored by 10+ points and taking the favored team with no points. Hardly proof of a great prognosticator.
Even "surefire" hires go bad (looking at you L. Riley and J. Fisher). But we're not able to hire "surefire" candidates, any hire we make is risky (i.e., more likely than the average hire to go bad). The 3 you've pointed out had substantial hair on them and were widely criticized at the time of hiring. You're chance of being right on them was more than 67%. Well done, Sherlock.
Here's the painful truth - any hire we make until we "turn it around" has a 75%+ chance of failing. Sorry, that's just statistically the truth. To get a good coach, we need to make an excellent hire from the pool we have available. Betting against us is easy, it's shooting fish in a barrel. What takes courage is not being a panty waist and supporting the coach even though you understand the odds and the hair on the hire. That's what it means to be a fan, not waving the statistical truths that we all know in our faces so you feel "smart" by being captain obvious and we all feel crappy about every decision all the time. It's called suspending disbelief, aka not being a d bag to quote loca.