Would've loved to land on the 6 line, but that would've required beating Penn State (and maybe Indiana), no? Whaddya think?
So we're pretty much locked into a 7 seed?
- Thread starter NURoseBowl
- Start date
I still tend to agree with the poster who said that our game yesterday was going to be “playing with house money.”
Since we played competitively and the game went into overtime I suspect the Committee will place us where we would have been regardless.
That doesn’t mean though that winning the tournament might have jumped us up.
Since we played competitively and the game went into overtime I suspect the Committee will place us where we would have been regardless.
That doesn’t mean though that winning the tournament might have jumped us up.
I think a six is still possible if the committee rates NU better than the crowd-sourced conventional wisdom (i.e. BracketMatrix), and an eight is possible for the opposite reason, but it certainly seems like a seven is about 80% likely I'd say.
The two seeds are terrifying (I just watched Texas dismantle Kansas), so even if NU gets through the first round, they'll have their work cut out for them in round 2.
The two seeds are terrifying (I just watched Texas dismantle Kansas), so even if NU gets through the first round, they'll have their work cut out for them in round 2.
Maybe I’m wrong, but I recall expecting 10 or 11 in 2017 and being surprised when NU made it to the 9 line.
I feel like the bracket nerds are pretty good at identifying the teams that’ll make the field, but that the seeds are far less predictable.
A 7 would be good, a 6 would be preferable, and an 11 might be better than a 6. (UCLA and Arizona are darn good, but they also shoot in the 30s sometimes.)
I feel like the bracket nerds are pretty good at identifying the teams that’ll make the field, but that the seeds are far less predictable.
A 7 would be good, a 6 would be preferable, and an 11 might be better than a 6. (UCLA and Arizona are darn good, but they also shoot in the 30s sometimes.)
Lunardi has us in the bracket with Marquette as the two seed. Alternatively, an interesting second round match up would be against UCLA as the two seed, as they lost one of their best players to injury last weekend.
Seth Davis has a good Twitter thread up today about how the field is selected which combats a lot of myths about how it’s done. One thing he notes is that the committee no longer considers recent trends as a positive or negative, your record in the last 10 games is no longer a specific criteria as data shows that late-season performance does not predict tournament performance (see Iowa last year). That means losing 4 of our last 5 is weighted no more than winning 5 in a row before that. That could potentially sneak us up to a 6, but it does seem like 7 is the most likely outcome now.
