Soucie: Week 7 Playoff Projections are here

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Anon1754760634

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May 29, 2001
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The changes were relatively small this week. This scares me. Winter is almost certainly coming.

There were 269 teams that reached the 5-4 threshold this week, leaving 13 teams that missed the field.

Right now, I would guess that the point break falls around 37, likely on it.

The teams that are currently missing the field on projected points are: Westmont, Cuba North Fulton, Nokomis, Walther Christian, Cambridge-Ridgewood, Franklin Park-Leyden, Dwight, Carpentersville Dundee-Crown, Pinckneyville, Oneida Mid-County, Sciota West Prairie, Champaign Central, Tremont.


Last team in: Chicago Christian

First team out: Tremont


Class 8A

Smallest School: Chicago Simeon

New teams in: Chicago Taft (margins are razor thin for them, but for now, I have them in)

Teams no longer in 8A: Benet (shifted to 7A)


(32) Taft at (1) Brother Rice

(17) South Elgin at (16) Plainfield South

(25) Conant at (8) Aurora West

(24) Waubonsie Valley at (9) Oswego East

(29) Oak Park-River Forest at (4) Glenbard East

(20) Loyola at (13) Hinsdale Central

(28) Minooka at (5) Oswego

(21) Edwardsville at (12) Marist

(31) Barrington at (2) Simeon

(18) Huntley at (15) Evanston

(26) Bartlett at (7) Maine South

(23) Neuqua Valley at (10) Stevenson

(30) Gurnee Warren at (3) Lincoln-Way East

(19) New Trier at (14) Bolingbrook

(27) St. Charles East at (6) Homewood-Flossmoor

(22) Naperville Central at (11) Glenbard West


Class 7A

Smallest school: Chicago Hubbard

Largest School: Lisle Benet

New teams in: Mount Prospect (If you know what is going on in the Mid-Suburban East’s middle of the pack teams feel free to clue me in), Blue Island Eisenhower (same issue different conference), Rockford East (Don’t feel super comfortable with this, but right now that’s what the numbers say), Benet (Was in 8A).

Teams no longer in 7A: Lincoln Park (loss to Taft has them tumbled out), Schaumburg (The Mid-Suburban West is just brutal), Quincy (Now in 6A), Shepard (Now in 6A).


(32) Blue Island Eisenhower at (1) Nazareth

(17) Lincoln-Way West at (16) Lincoln-Way Central

(25) Rockford East at (8) DeKalb

(24) Mount Prospect at (9) Hersey

(29) Hubbard at (4) Rolling Meadows

(20) T.F. South at (13) East St. Louis

(28) Alton at (5) Hoffman Estates

(21) Wheaton Warrenville South at (12) Moline

(31) Highland Park at (2) Rockton Hononegah

(18) Glenbrook North at (15) Lake Zurich

(26) Andrew at (7) Mount Carmel

(23) Benet at (10) Maine West

(30) Reavis at (3) Batavia

(19) Machesney Park Harlem at (14) St. Charles North

(27) Yorkville at (6) Willowbrook

(22) Belleville West at (11) Normal Community


Class 6A

Smallest school:perspectives/Leadership

Largest school: Quincy


New teams in 6A: Quincy (Was in 7A), Shepard (Was in 7A), Wauconda (really kind of throwing darts here).

Teams no longer in 6A: Chicago Mather (total misread on my part here), Grayslake North (Northern Lake County is messing with my head), Wheeling (loss to Elk Grove Village will likely prove very costly).


North Bracket

(16) Belvidere North at (1) Cary-Grove

(9) Von Stueben at (8) Lake Villa Lakes

(13) Fenton at (4) Kaneland

(12) St. Ignatius at (5) Niles Notre Dame

(15) Crystal Lake South at (2) Kenwood

(10) Wauconda at (7) Prairie Ridge

(14) Lake Forest at (3) Antioch

(11) Hinsdale South at (6) Phillips

South Bracket

(16) Perspectives/Leadership at (1) Richards

(9) Peoria at (8) Crete-Monee

(13) Lemont at (4) Normal West

(12) Dunlap at (5) Quincy

(15) Rock Island at (2) Washington

(10) Bloomington at (7) Springfield Sacred Heart Griffin

(14) Providence at (3) Chatham Glenwood

(11) Springfield at (6) Shepard


Class 5A

Smallest School: Evergreen Park

Largest School: Peoria Notre Dame


New teams in 5A: Chicago Brooks (Like most CPL teams, simply not sure here, grasp on bid is loose at best), Mattoon (I was uncomfortable not having them in, but important win came through for them this week), Westinghouse (I keep flip flopping on them, I’ll know for sure this week. Sorta. Maybe.)

Teams no longer in 5A: Joliet Catholic (narrowly lost showdown game with Benet, severe uphill climb to get back in the mix), Freeport (Don’t have a great read on the NIC-10 middle of the pack right now), Ridgewood (Points issues).


North Bracket

(16) Glenbard South at (1) Sterling

(9) St. Patrick at (8) Sycamore

(13) Woodstock Marian at (4) Lombard Montini

(12) Amundsen at (5) Wheaton St. Francis

(15) Woodstock North at (2) Payton

(10) Vocational at (7) Elmwood Park

(14) Westinghouse at (3) Rockford Boylan

(11) De La Salle at (6) Back of the Yards

South Bracket

(16) Brooks at (1) Hillcrest

(9) Rich Central at (8) Carbondale

(13) Rich East at (4) Cahokia

(12) Peoria Notre Dame at (5) Marion

(15) Mattoon at (2) Highland

(10) Mascoutah at (7) Hyde Park

(14) Evergreen Park at (3) Metamora

(11) Decatur MacArthur at (6) Morton


Class 4A

Smallest School: Bishop McNamara

Largest School: Mount Zion


New teams in 4A: Plano (big win pushes them into the field),

Teams no longer in 4A: Prairie Central (Now in 3A).


North Bracket

(16) Dixon at (1) IC Catholic

(9) Stillman Valley at (8) Marengo

(13) St. Edward at (4) Johnsburg

(12) Chicago Sullivan at (5) Urban Prep/Bronzeville

(15) Plano at (2) Coal City

(10) Raby at (7) Agricultural Science

(14) Wheaton Academy at (3) Genoa-Kingston

(11) Clemente at (6) Richmond-Burton

South Bracket

(16) Salem at (1) Paris

(9) Effingham at (8) Freeburg

(13) Olney East Richland at (4) Taylorville

(12) Murphysboro at (5) Bishop McNamara

(15) Mount Zion at (2) Breese Mater Dei

(10) Rochester at (7) Herrin

(14) Clinton at (3) Columbia

(11) Breese Central at (6) Pontiac


Class 3A

Smallest School: Vandalia

Largest School: Marine


New teams in 3A: Prairie Central (was in 4A), Chicago Marine (of all the teams in the state I am the least confident I am projecting this team correctly. So there’s that.)

Teams no longer in 3A: Fairfield (now in 2A), Mount Carmel (hard read with so many Indiana teams on schedule)


North Bracket

(16) Rock Island Alleman at (1) Farmington

(9) Wilmington at (8) Spring Valley Hall

(13) Clark at (4) Lisle

(12) Marine at (5) Monmouth-Roseville

(15) Princeton at (2) Byron

(10) Urban Prep/Englewood at (7) Poplar Grove North Boone

(14) Seneca at (3) Elmwood

(11) Peotone at (6) Dunbar

South Bracket

(16) St. Thomas More at (1) Beardstown

(9) West Frankfort at (8) Vandalia

(13) Anna-Jonesboro at (4) Monticello

(12) Greenville at (5) Paxton

(15) Wood River (East Alton) at (2) DuQuoin

(10) St. Joseph-Ogden at (7) Prairie Central

(14) Newton at (3) Carlinville

(11) Eureka at (6) Williamsville


Class 2A

Smallest School: Jacksonville Routt

Largest School: Fairfield


New teams in 2A: Fairfield (was in 3A), Chicago Christian (has serious points issues), Fieldcrest (let’s try these guys this week…..)

Teams no longer in 2A: Ridgeview (Guess wrong on Week 6 outcome, and that’s all it really was, a guess), Auburn (costly loss to North Mac), West Prairie (points issues).


North Bracket

(16) Chicago Christian at (1) Gibson City-Melvin Sibley

(9) Mercer County at (8) Tri-Valley

(13) Rockford Christian at (4) Collins

(12) Clifton Central at (5) Sterling Newman Central Catholic

(15) Knoxville at (2) Lanark Eastland

(10) Rockridge at (7) Hope Academy

(14) Hamilton West Hancock at (3) Orion

(11) Fieldcrest at (6) Illini West

South Bracket

(16) Marshall at (1) St. Teresa

(9) Pleasant Plains at (8) Eldorado

(13) Staunton at (4) Bismarck-Henning

(12) Rushville at (5) Pana

(15) Decatur Lutheran at (2) Maroa-Forsyth

(10) Nashville at (7) Athens

(14) Alton Marquette at (3) Fairfield

(11) Jacksonville Routt at (6) Chester


Class 1A

Largest School: Tuscola


Schools new to 1A: Albion (Edwards County) (wasn’t convinced they’d get to five, am now), Stockton (I can’t decide between them and Freeport Aquin, they will decide for me in Week 8).

Teams out of 1A: Oakland (Tri-County) (loss to Oblong looks pretty costly), Freeport Aquin (see Stockton comment).


North Bracket

(16) Polo at (1) Milledgeville

(9) Aurora Christian at (8) Forreston

(13) Dakota at (4) Lena-Winslow

(12) Stockton at (5) Fisher

(15) Fulton at (2) Princeville

(10) Kewanee Wethersfield at (7) Salt Fork

(14) Kirkland Hiawatha at (3) Ottawa Marquette

(11) Orangeville at (6) Orr

South Bracket

(16) Edwards County at (1) Argenta-Oreana

(9) Greenfield at (8) Concord Triopia

(13) Warrensburg-Latham at (4) Red Hill

(12) Cerro Gordo at (5) Toledo Cumberland

(15) Moweaqua Central A&M at (2) Tuscola

(10) Madison at (7) Sesser-Valier

(14) Georgetown-Ridge Farm at (3) Camp Point Central

(11) Carrollton at (6) Arcola
 
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