"To better reflect the skill and energy required to secure a takedown.
Increasing the points awarded will incentivize wrestlers to take additional risk in the
neutral position, providing increased opportunities for both offensive and defensive
takedowns. "
Ceteris Paribus thinking rears it's ugly head again. Poorly thought out. Grade inflation. Ruined the reward structure relative to escapes, reversals and especially near fall.
Why did they not recognize the skill and energy it takes to reverse or pin an opponent?
Did they not understand that raising the incentive to secure a takedown also raises the incentive to defend against it? In the author's discussions on match outcome changes , he treats 1 (3 pt TD) &2 as independent, when 2 is the result of 1.
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That's the most damning part of the analysis. It is clear that we are getting fewer takedowns in matches, the very thing they sought to reward. There are paradoxical results.
I have to admit, I thought there would be fewer pins and a lot more matches would end up being TF's, as the incentive to "catch and release"-but I didn't see the rise in regular decisions.
Obviously, if match point difference is 8 for a major and 15 for a Tech, 4X & 7.5X the old TD value and you change it to 2.67 and 5, some guys are going to incentivized to go for the TF, especially if their path to 2 bonus points is now easier than it was for 3-and the pin should always be objective of wrestling.
But what I forgot is there's damn few Barr's, Mesenbrinks, Nolfs and Nickals who can seemingly takedown an opponent at will. Antrel Taylor is perfectly capable of scoring points against a clearly inferior opponent, but after his his early season losses, any time he had a peer or near peer opponent, he was as likely as not to be defensive, especially at NCAA's.
So for a lot of guys, a good defense is a good offense. It's a lot easier to shove on somebody's forehead, drop to a knee or feign offense like McGowan did in the NCAA final. All he did after the match where he DQ'd for stalling was refine his stalling technique.
Unfortunately, the cat's out of the bag. Even if you go back to a 2 pt TD, these new defensive techniques still exist, so now, you've got not only to change the point value, but ban things riding a knee or locking fingers or call it as stealth-stalling.