Too late

[boomerwv]

Each district is its own. Pelosi would never be elected in Florida. Cruz never in New York. To compare all using an overall sum quantity is ludicrous.

I can name several seats in FL that would elect Pelosi in a heartbeat.

Also, the house popular vote is very important. It is why I could tell you the Democrats were going to take 40ish seats in the midterms based on what we were seeing in the generic ballot polls. Besides that, house seats are highly correlated. If you see polls in a couple seats, you can use those to get an idea of what is happening in similar seats across the country.

If Democrats carry a national vote by 8%, they are going to win the electoral college regardless of anything else.

 

[dave]

I can name several seats in FL that would elect Pelosi in a heartbeat.

Also, the house popular vote is very important. It is why I could tell you the Democrats were going to take 40ish seats in the midterms based on what we were seeing in the generic ballot polls. Besides that, house seats are highly correlated. If you see polls in a couple seats, you can use those to get an idea of what is happening in similar seats across the country.

If Democrats carry a national vote by 8%, they are going to win the electoral college regardless of anything else.

Mid term elections are not an indicator of statewide races. When I lived in Charlotte I didnt vote in mid term elections because I didnt know the candidates and I knew the republican would win my district every time. I did turn out for mayoralb governor and Presidential elections because I knew my vote made a difference.

 

[atlkvb]

Go get’em Tiger

If they can't get him on collusion they'll get him on people who may have known him and thought about it.:stuck_out_tongue_winking_eye:

 

[roadtrasheer]

You mean the kids who are in their 40s and hold senior level positions in the administration and campaign? Yeah, clearly off limits.

Btw, that #walkaway hashtag is the mark of a RW troll. It was created before the midterms to try to turn democratic voters against them......didn't work then either. The movement never existed in the first place.

Really....go on a 100% union job & you will see trump flags flying, we the working class have been left in the dark by Democrats for illegals & any other special interests....unions best bargaining chip is jobs & Trump is opening up rhe job market..

 

[atlkvb]

Biff can say it, but no one else can.

You all on the Left can't beat him on policy. Guaranteed 15.00/hr jobs and free medical care under Socialism can't compete with a growing job market and expanded portfolios under Capitalism. All you Leftists have are smears to try and drive Trump's popularity down because you cannot come up with better ideas than his to run the country.

Losers!

Leftist at the plate....2 men on, winning run at third, 2 outs, bottom of the ninth, full count....

Trump strikes 'em out lookin'!!!!:stuck_out_tongue_winking_eye:

 

[atlkvb]

?? Dems got 8+ million more votes that Repubs in the 2018 midterms. (House race)

Democrats won House popular vote by largest midterm margin since Watergate
https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/el...vote-largest-midterm-margin-watergate-n938996

While you all lick your chops over "popular votes" something else is happening to one of your key constituents that will spell doom for you in 2020 if it continues.

Trump could win 20% of Black vote in 2020
https://www.realclearpolitics.com/a...the_african-american_vote_in_2020_138385.html


excerpt:
"20 percent African-American support for Trump would all but dismantle Democratic Party presidential hopes for 2020. Hillary Clinton lost the 2016 election with 88 percent of the black vote. That was about a six-point falloff from Barack Obama's share of the black vote in 2012.

But far more importantly, an estimated 2 million of the African-American voters who cast ballots for Obama in 2012 simply did not show up at the polls in 2016 to vote for the off-putting Clinton. Even a small drop in African-American turnout or anything less than the usual 85 percent to 90 percent supermajority for a Democratic presidential candidate on Election Day can prove fatal."

Why?

Because of this:
President Trump's policies are delivering record breaking results for African Americans

https://www.whitehouse.gov/briefing...-breaking-economic-results-african-americans/

excerpt:

• This year, African-American unemployment fell to a record low of 5.9 percent.
• Total African-American employment has increased by 976,000 since President Trump’s election and stands at a record high.
• The poverty rate for African Americans reached its lowest level on record in 2017.

Say Bruh!!!! Black folks down with Trump, gonna vote for him in '20?

 

[WVU82_rivals]

 

[JWG66]

Hoping in road s have been made. I still think DT needs to show his less combative side. Like when he reduced prison sentences and paroled Ms Johnson. And he didn’t wait till the end of term to do so. He listened to her case and acted with compassion.

Things like that and attacking crime/gangs to make cites safer places to live will show he cares. Hoping the church leaders see there is a lot to gain by giving him a chance. He really did well with that message in the state of the union. I simply want more of this to get shared.

 

[dave]

Really....go on a 100% union job & you will see trump flags flying, we the working class have been left in the dark by Democrats for illegals & any other special interests....unions best bargaining chip is jobs & Trump is opening up rhe job market..

You are not talking a language that guy understands.

 

[boomerwv]

Really....go on a 100% union job & you will see trump flags flying, we the working class have been left in the dark by Democrats for illegals & any other special interests....unions best bargaining chip is jobs & Trump is opening up rhe job market..

Republicans have averaged about 40% of the union vote in presidential elections over the past 20 years. Trump got 43%. Not really a noticable boost considering unions voters make up only about %18 of the total. Clinton was about 7 points off of Obama, but that is in line with her poor showing with high school educated whites.

However, this isn't related to the #walkaway hashtag which tried to convince people that voters were abandoning the democratic party en masse during the runup to the midterms. This was one of the most commonly used hashtags by Russian Twitter bots and proved false in the 2018 election, when Democrats got about 8 million more votes than Republicans in house elections.

Realignment is real and I'd be happy to have that conversation, but that isnt what this was. It was propoganda, and when I see it I know that what it is attached to is propoganda as well.

 

[dave]

Republicans have averaged about 40% of the union vote in presidential elections over the past 20 years. Trump got 43%. Not really a noticable boost considering unions voters make up only about %18 of the total. Clinton was about 7 points off of Obama, but that is in line with her poor showing with high school educated whites.

However, this isn't related to the #walkaway hashtag which tried to convince people that voters were abandoning the democratic party en masse during the runup to the midterms. This was one of the most commonly used hashtags by Russian Twitter bots and proved false in the 2018 election, when Democrats got about 8 million more votes than Republicans in house elections.

Realignment is real and I'd be happy to have that conversation, but that isnt what this was. It was propoganda, and when I see it I know that what it is attached to is propoganda as well.

You can read the tweets of people who walked away. It is there. You are calling people liars.

 

[WVU82_rivals]

 

[WVU82_rivals]