UK currently an 8.5 point favorite over UNC

NociHTTP

Heisman
Mar 8, 2023
10,996
17,295
113
I'm curious how long gambling for college sports has been a thing.
 

Vek96

All-Conference
Jul 4, 2025
1,636
3,376
113
Just a heads up to the gamblers out there
That line is way too high. Kentucky has played two teams with a pulse, and have looked incompetent against both. I am a gambler. I’m very picky on what I actually pull the trigger on.
It has to be a line that I think is way off. However, I don’t bet against teams I root for.

I have this line at UK -2.5
 

Bluegrass7914

Senior
Dec 3, 2015
405
644
88
Who the hell is setting the lines and who the hell is doing all this betting on Kentucky?

Somewhere ,some way, people have been betting heavily on Kentucky.
that's the only way that point spread gets that high.

If they beat North Carolina by 8 points or more I'll kiss your ***.
 

*Fox2Monk*

Heisman
Jun 10, 2009
42,813
76,081
113
That line is way too high. Kentucky has played two teams with a pulse, and have looked incompetent against both. I am a gambler. I’m very picky on what I actually pull the trigger on.
It has to be a line that I think is way off. However, I don’t bet against teams I root for.

I have this line at UK -2.5
Yeah I’d be all over UNC getting 8.5.
 

Fawrules

All-Conference
Nov 19, 2009
3,407
2,828
113
ESPN's predictor gives Kentucky an 86.2 chance of winning too. Wonder what has Vegas and computers so confident in Kentucky given how the team laid an egg in their first two games against good competition?
 

Fawrules

All-Conference
Nov 19, 2009
3,407
2,828
113
Who the hell is setting the lines and who the hell is doing all this betting on Kentucky?

Somewhere ,some way, people have been betting heavily on Kentucky.
that's the only way that point spread gets that high.

If they beat North Carolina by 8 points or more I'll kiss your ***.

No offense dude, but I hope you'll be kissing some a$$ pretty soon. Haha.
 

MonsterMash79

All-Conference
Apr 12, 2024
851
1,303
93
Who the hell is setting the lines and who the hell is doing all this betting on Kentucky?

Somewhere ,some way, people have been betting heavily on Kentucky.
that's the only way that point spread gets that high.

If they beat North Carolina by 8 points or more I'll kiss your ***.
Somebody been losing the hell outta money lol..
 
Jun 30, 2025
293
460
63
ESPN's predictor gives Kentucky an 86.2 chance of winning too. Wonder what has Vegas and computers so confident in Kentucky given how the team laid an egg in their first two games against good competition?
To computers, the games against bad teams might be just as important as games against good teams.

Against the bad teams, UK looks great. They beat the bad teams by margins expected from top 10 teams. Those 5 games against bad teams represents a larger sample than the 2 games against good teams. Those 5 games pull UK's rating up quite substantially.

Barttorvik currently has UK as about a 6 point favorite. That system has UK ranked 18th. UK's ranked higher in Kenpom so it's predicted MOV is even bigger.
 
  • Like
Reactions: chasingwildcat

Fawrules

All-Conference
Nov 19, 2009
3,407
2,828
113
To computers, the games against bad teams might be just as important as games against good teams.

Against the bad teams, UK looks great. They beat the bad teams by margins expected from top 10 teams. Those 5 games against bad teams represents a larger sample than the 2 games against good teams. Those 5 games pull UK's rating up quite substantially.

Barttorvik currently has UK as about a 6 point favorite. That system has UK ranked 18th. UK's ranked higher in Kenpom so it's predicted MOV is even bigger.

Sounds like a reasonable enough explanation, I suppose.
 
Last edited:

Fawrules

All-Conference
Nov 19, 2009
3,407
2,828
113
Don't worry, if we do. We have built in excuses. JQ and Lowe are out. So really, we're 7-0.

Being down two of your ideal starters would be a pretty reasonable excuse had the games been close. Obviously doesn't change the record at the end of the day though.

::Need:: to win at least 2 of the 4 games left against good competition in the
non-conference schedule (preferably 3) if we wanna keep the season out of the gutter.
 

RunninRichie

Heisman
Sep 5, 2019
27,800
65,696
113
Being down two of your ideal starters would be a pretty reasonable excuse had the games been close. Obviously doesn't change the record at the end of the day though.

::Need:: to win at least 2 of the 4 games left against good competition in the
non-conference schedule (preferably 3) if we wanna keep the season out of the gutter.
If the game were close, yes. But the lack of effort and getting blown off the court. And not playing any defense. Can't be put on 2 players being out.
 

Rainmaker

Senior
May 13, 2015
453
950
93
To computers, the games against bad teams might be just as important as games against good teams.

Against the bad teams, UK looks great. They beat the bad teams by margins expected from top 10 teams. Those 5 games against bad teams represents a larger sample than the 2 games against good teams. Those 5 games pull UK's rating up quite substantially.

Barttorvik currently has UK as about a 6 point favorite. That system has UK ranked 18th. UK's ranked higher in Kenpom so it's predicted MOV is even bigger.
Yep and home court is 3 pts. It’s not that complicated. Computers say we are 5-6pts better than UNC and the rest comes from being at Rupp.
 
  • Like
Reactions: Anon1751335390

UKWildcats1987

Heisman
Sep 9, 2021
18,760
31,915
113
We haven't seen our team play a good team at home yet. Maybe that's why Vegas is more comfortable giving UK a bigger line than we thought. I think it's high too though.
 
  • Like
Reactions: cornbreadnmilk

rivercatinfl

All-Conference
Nov 21, 2012
1,686
1,591
97
That line is way too high. Kentucky has played two teams with a pulse, and have looked incompetent against both. I am a gambler. I’m very picky on what I actually pull the trigger on.
It has to be a line that I think is way off. However, I don’t bet against teams I root for.

I have this line at UK -2.5
This line is a gift to betters.
 
  • Like
Reactions: Vek96
May 27, 2007
31,129
23,962
113
Remember when we played UL and everyone said that line was insane?

I'm not saying we are definitely going to win by double digits here but Vegas knows exactly what they are doing. Falls very much in line with the KP prediction of 84-75.

UK is good. Despite what some of our fanbase thinks
 

cornbreadnmilk

All-Conference
Nov 5, 2025
576
1,615
93
Remember when we played UL and everyone said that line was insane?

I'm not saying we are definitely going to win by double digits here but Vegas knows exactly what they are doing. Falls very much in line with the KP prediction of 84-75.

UK is good. Despite what some of our fanbase thinks
Well UK has to prove they are good by beating someone with a pulse. Now would be a good time to start.
 

*Fox2Monk*

Heisman
Jun 10, 2009
42,813
76,081
113
Remember when we played UL and everyone said that line was insane?

I'm not saying we are definitely going to win by double digits here but Vegas knows exactly what they are doing. Falls very much in line with the KP prediction of 84-75.

UK is good. Despite what some of our fanbase thinks
People belive UK is good, what have we shown this season to make anyone actually think we are good? I haven’t seen anything.
 

SPOOK 67

Sophomore
Jul 10, 2025
76
116
33
Lmfao how is that possible? They got their *** handed to them by the only real teams they played.
 

Bill_the_cat

Junior
Nov 17, 2025
216
287
57
8 points is about right. Figure on a neutral court we are 3 points better than UNC. So at home we get the extra 5-6 points to push it up.
 
  • Like
Reactions: theBlues

Eastkybball

All-Conference
May 7, 2019
1,413
2,538
98
I don’t understand. I was hoping the line would be UK -2.5 so I could bet on Kentucky -5.5.
I never bet against the cats no matter the stakes.
I bet a lot on football and do pretty good but does anyone have any advice on what your go to is.
I usually place a two way bet one on a big spread for the favorable and one on the opposing team to win or small spread to atleast win some of the money I put on the big spread.