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Vegas Line on UVA game

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Knucklehank1

All-American
Jul 12, 2004
9,750
6,351
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Cards opened as 9.5 fav and now up to 11.5. What’s up with that?

Only thing I can think of is that UVA is coming off a battle with GaTech while we had a bye week.
 
L

Louisvillian

All-Conference
Oct 27, 2006
7,715
4,470
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We’re at home which is worth 3 to 4 points with the books. The Lamar Jackson factor is always huge with the sportsbooks and as you said, a possible letdown after an emotional win over Tech for UVA, while we had an extra week to rest and refocus.

Also you have to remember Virginia was an 8 1/2 Point dog in Charlottesville last week vs Ga Tech after getting pummeled in back to back games to BC and Pittsburgh.

I thought it would be the Cards -7 or 8.
 
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fredburgcard_rivals157045

All-Conference
Mar 5, 2002
3,452
1,369
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Paper this morning shows Louisville-11 at opening, now -9. ESPN has Louisville as 87% likely to win. Wish I was that optimistic. UVA crushed Boise St at Boise. But they got pummeled by a bad Pitt team. Don’t know what to expect Saturday.
 
U

ULGrad09

Junior
Oct 31, 2016
233
221
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When the season started I would have never thought we would simply just want to get a W against UVA, but that is the case.
 
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wilkie01

All-Conference
May 29, 2001
12,371
1,335
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Bronco Mendenhall can coach and he is a passing game genius. With that said, look at the pass defense that we are putting on the field. Its going to be a scary game.
 
R

Rollem Cards

Heisman
Jul 9, 2001
55,267
13,639
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We don’t know what either team is going to do.

But if we can’t get some stops I know we are not going to like it.
 
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wilkie01

All-Conference
May 29, 2001
12,371
1,335
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I am really concern about this game. Remember what they did after losing to Houston last year? They lost the last three games. Folks we could be finishing 5-7 for 2017.
 
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arizan

Junior
Dec 7, 2006
1,148
268
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It'll probably be closer than the line, but a recent common opponent says otherwise. UofL lost to BC on a last second FG, VA lost to them by 31, both games at home... How they beat GT is another question.
 
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fredburgcard_rivals157045

All-Conference
Mar 5, 2002
3,452
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wilkie01 said:
I am really concern about this game. Remember what they did after losing to Houston last year? They lost the last three games. Folks we could be finishing 5-7 for 2017.
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And we can just as easily end up 8-4 before the bowl. Just one game worse than what I thought at beginning of season. None of our last three opponents are football juggernauts. I’ll be an optimist one more week. Sounds like we are getting healthy on both sides of the ball.
 
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wilkie01

All-Conference
May 29, 2001
12,371
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fredburgcard said:
And we can just as easily end up 8-4 before the bowl. Just one game worse than what I thought at beginning of season. None of our last three opponents are football juggernauts. I’ll be an optimist one more week. Sounds like we are getting healthy on both sides of the ball.
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That is what I am hoping will happen, when I listen to my heart. My brain, however, says it is unlikely to happen.
 
L

Louisvillian

All-Conference
Oct 27, 2006
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CardsFirst said:
Does anyone in Vegas even watch the games? 11 points I just don’t see it.
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Yes they do. The people that help set the opening lines are sharp that way. They have to be.

Louisville matches up very well with Virginia and we’re at home after a freshening bye week. Doesn’t guarantee anything but the line reflects that and the huge Lamar Jackson factor. Lamar affects game lines like few players in college football ever have.
 
B

BPGhost

All-American
Jun 23, 2015
6,365
7,291
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Louisvillian said:
Yes they do. The people that help set the opening lines are sharp that way. They have to be.

Louisville matches up very well with Virginia and we’re at home after a freshening bye week. Doesn’t guarantee anything but the line reflects that and the huge Lamar Jackson factor. Lamar affects game lines like few players in college football ever have.
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That’s true - unfortunately we can’t seem to cover one this year. Book’s are giving proper amount of credit to LJ however forgetting about how completely ratshit sirmon is.

Thus far, sirmon has been worth as many if not more points to the opponent - as LJ has meant for us.
 
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L

Louisvillian

All-Conference
Oct 27, 2006
7,715
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BPGhost said:
That’s true - unfortunately we can’t seem to cover one this year. Book’s are giving proper amount of credit to LJ however forgetting about how completely ratshit sirmon is.

Thus far, sirmon has been worth as many if not more points to the opponent - as LJ has meant for us.
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Bookmakers now have a new catch-phrase,
“The Sirmon Factor”. :D
 
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C

CardX

Heisman
May 29, 2001
254,750
19,564
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The Cards have lost games being favored by a lot more than the -11.5 they are getting right now. The spread, in my eyes, doesn't mean sh**. This game is a toss up. I'd love nothing more than a "over by halftime" Cardinal performance, but UVA has the components to easily defeat Louisville. You'll likely hear this name called quite a bit Saturday- Olamide Zaccheauss. OZ has 66 receptions this year. He's top 10 nationally. Benkert, who threw for 3 TD's against us last year, has thrown 20 thus far this season. That's two more than LJ has thrown. The Cards rank 105th in passing defense. We start a true frosh at CB. Bad match up. Win or lose, someone on UVA's offense will have a record day.
 
L

Louisvillian

All-Conference
Oct 27, 2006
7,715
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CardX said:
The Cards have lost games being favored by a lot more than the -11.5 they are getting right now. The spread, in my eyes, doesn't mean sh**. This game is a toss up. I'd love nothing more than a "over by halftime" Cardinal performance, but UVA has the components to easily defeat Louisville. You'll likely hear this name called quite a bit Saturday- Olamide Zaccheauss. OZ has 66 receptions this year. He's top 10 nationally. Benkert, who threw for 3 TD's against us last year, has thrown 20 thus far this season. That's two more than LJ has thrown. The Cards rank 105th in passing defense. We start a true frosh at CB. Bad match up. Win or lose, someone on UVA's offense will have a record day.
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The spread in the eyes of those who don’t bet shouldn’t mean ****. The spread means **** if you bet. Nothing more.

If anyone believes that UVA will cover, the sportsbooks will be glad to take their wagers. Better yet, if someone thinks UVA will win outright, they can wager on that and get 3-1 odds.

I’ll say for recreational purposes only;):
Virginia- 24
Louisville- 38
 
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