Where are the quality wins? Nebby is 11 seed possible first 4...shu is last in first out. NW is 9 for now but with injury who knows. Wisky is in freefall 4-5 line now but could be 8-9 by the time the season ends
Need more
Weekend Rooting Guide
- Thread starter PhillyRU
- Start date
Where are the quality wins? Nebby is 11 seed possible first 4...shu is last in first out. NW is 9 for now but with injury who knows. Wisky is in freefall 4-5 line now but could be 8-9 by the time the season ends
Need more
5-2 puts us certainly in play but setting us up for angst and heartbreak
I'm not 100% counting Iowa out but look at the resume and upcoming games. One Q1 win now at 1-7 with four Q1 games left. Suppose they split those (Illinois home, at NW) and beat PSU to finish 18-13, with a Q1 of 3-9. Ehhh...
Meanwhile our Q1 is 3-8 today. I think we all agree 5-2 is the minimum to be in the discussion for any bid. Let's say we lose at Purdue and Wisconsin but win at Minny and Nebraska plus the other home games. We would be 4-10 in Q1 and 19-12 overall (11-9). Plus the committee can say we were 9-2 with our full team. It's not a no brainer but I think our resume would be better.
Meanwhile our Q1 is 3-8 today. I think we all agree 5-2 is the minimum to be in the discussion for any bid. Let's say we lose at Purdue and Wisconsin but win at Minny and Nebraska plus the other home games. We would be 4-10 in Q1 and 19-12 overall (11-9). Plus the committee can say we were 9-2 with our full team. It's not a no brainer but I think our resume would be better.
BC beats Miami...Canes on life support now. Will need to beat Duke and win at UNC and then we will revisit
Cincy gets a Q1 road win at UCF...not the biggest of quality wins but they needed this one. Looks like the Golden Knights at 13-11 are on life support as well....4 Q1 opportunties to come, 3 at home but would be shocked as they will need to 3 of those plus win at OK State, at WVU
Both schools up to the bulky 11 losses
Cincy gets a Q1 road win at UCF...not the biggest of quality wins but they needed this one. Looks like the Golden Knights at 13-11 are on life support as well....4 Q1 opportunties to come, 3 at home but would be shocked as they will need to 3 of those plus win at OK State, at WVU
Both schools up to the bulky 11 losses
Maryland is in trouble for alot of reasons mainly their non conference performance plus 3 Q3 losses and they have an extra loss than RU so almost no margin of error
but yes beating Illinois 2x is better than RU beating Wisky 2x but here is the thing, RU beats Maryland and the Terps are not going to the ncaa
Colorado State up big over MWC leading Utah State at half by 17...would put San Diego State as the AQ for now
yeah Cuse would negate that win over UNC with a loss today
also didnt mention Va Tech lost at UNC. Hokies at 14-10 have some nice wins,....iowa state, boise, clemson but need more.....Next 4 is the key... UVA, at Pitt, at Cuse, Wake. If they get 3 of these they could be very close to last in first out and then take care of ND/UL.....19-11 7-10 in Q1/2...the Q3 loss at Notre Dame was a killer because its their only bad loss and sos is quite good
also didnt mention Va Tech lost at UNC. Hokies at 14-10 have some nice wins,....iowa state, boise, clemson but need more.....Next 4 is the key... UVA, at Pitt, at Cuse, Wake. If they get 3 of these they could be very close to last in first out and then take care of ND/UL.....19-11 7-10 in Q1/2...the Q3 loss at Notre Dame was a killer because its their only bad loss and sos is quite good
Maryland were three-point dogs in KenPom, which thinks quite a bit higher of the Terps (49) than the NET does (75). With that, plus this being a high-possession game, should be a marginal metrics bump. Would expect MD to stay in Q1, but who knows
Last edited:
yeah coming to terms that Washington State will be the 2nd from the pac 12 and sit on the 8/9 line.
Pitt is intriguing going forward....wins at Duke and at Virginia solid wins over wake and nc state but home losses to Cuse and Mizzou and the latter isnt too far from falling to Q4
their biggest issue is the 347 non conference sos where their best win is West Virginia. Next 3...at Wake, Va Tech, at Clemson...do they need all 3?
they might fold if their morale is low.
2nd game in a row on the road for them. Willard already has his excuses ready to go
Hopefully wisconsin beats them 92-3 and willards wife leaves him for shaheen
Ole Miss losing in the second half at home to Missouri. If this holds it will cap off a great day of bubble teams losing