I think... seems like there's a chance two of the 4 7/10 games would be in Indianapolis. Beating MD might do it.
8/9 is such a tougher road and likely a tougher place to get to.
I'll have my speed dial set or a Indy hotel reservation, after tonight's W.I think... seems like there's a chance two of the 4 7/10 games would be in Indianapolis. Beating MD might do it.
8/9 is such a tougher road and likely a tougher place to get to.
Since going into last night, we were a projected 9, I don't see tonight getting us to a 7. Maybe a win on Sat.I think... seems like there's a chance two of the 4 7/10 games would be in Indianapolis. Beating MD might do it.
8/9 is such a tougher road and likely a tougher place to get to.
Eh the committee tends to reward the teams that get hot in conf tourneys a decent bit. Plus it would be adding more quality wins (maybe not if Indy beats Wiscy). It's oversimplified, but I'm thinking:I don't think tonight will get us to a 7. I'm not even sure tomorrow will. It's hard to jump so much so late in the game. That said, NU is only a nine seed now because a bunch of "experts" say so. It's possible the committee thinks of NU differently. My feeling on this:
LOSE TONIGHT - 9 seed
WIN TONIGHT - 8 seed
WIN TOMORROW - 7-8 seed
WIN SUNDAY - 7 seed
Yes, it seems like winning the Big 10 should be worth more than that, and the team will get a little boost for being "hot," but I'd be shocked if they jumped so many teams this weekend.
Incidentally I do agree that people may be underestimating the potential variability in seeding... just cause all the bracket gurus are convinced 8-9 doesn't mean the committee will think the same thing... every year there are a couple teams that people think are 6 and end up 4, or think are 8-9 and end up 11. And then the ESPN crowd will chatter on about being under or over seeded.I don't think tonight will get us to a 7. I'm not even sure tomorrow will. It's hard to jump so much so late in the game. That said, NU is only a nine seed now because a bunch of "experts" say so. It's possible the committee thinks of NU differently. My feeling on this:
LOSE TONIGHT - 9 seed
WIN TONIGHT - 8 seed
WIN TOMORROW - 7-8 seed
WIN SUNDAY - 7 seed
Yes, it seems like winning the Big 10 should be worth more than that, and the team will get a little boost for being "hot," but I'd be shocked if they jumped so many teams this weekend.
No way I would want to face Wichita State. In fact, I suspect no top team wants to be facing Wichita State in the second round. That is a very good, under-rated team, and would not be surprised to see them in the Elite 8.Tougher for fans I agree, but for the team... I'll love the bracket the Lunardi just put out.
Face 8/9 Wichita state... Gonzaga (1), Butler or Virginia (4/5). With a chance to face Duke in the elite 8!
I'll take that over facing Lou or Ken in the second round.
If Duke beats UNC tonight they might take the 2 seed from Lou and thus we might be in Greenville with a second round match up vs Duke. Don't fool yourself if you don't think the committee wouldn't love a Coach K vs Collins matchup
And 8 or 9 are basically the same. So basically unless we win Sat, no difference. In any event, we avoid being in the dreaded 5-12 matchup.Eh the committee tends to reward the teams that get hot in conf tourneys a decent bit. Plus it would be adding more quality wins (maybe not if Indy beats Wiscy). It's oversimplified, but I'm thinking:
Lose tonight 9
Beat Maryland 8
Make it to championship 7*
Win the whole thing 6*
* predicated on the higher seeding teams being the ones we beat... eg if the path is Indy and MSU rather than Wiscy and Purdue then I would say 7 instead of 6
But for any of this to matter it has to start with a win tonight!
I don't think tonight will get us to a 7. I'm not even sure tomorrow will. It's hard to jump so much so late in the game. That said, NU is only a nine seed now because a bunch of "experts" say so. It's possible the committee thinks of NU differently. My feeling on this:
LOSE TONIGHT - 9 seed
WIN TONIGHT - 8 seed
WIN TOMORROW - 7-8 seed
WIN SUNDAY - 7 seed
Yes, it seems like winning the Big 10 should be worth more than that, and the team will get a little boost for being "hot," but I'd be shocked if they jumped so many teams this weekend.
No way I would want to face Wichita State. In fact, I suspect no top team wants to be facing Wichita State in the second round. That is a very good, under-rated team, and would not be surprised to see them in the Elite 8.
I made Indy reservations a couple of weeks ago, just in case...I'll have my speed dial set or a Indy hotel reservation, after tonight's W.
Tougher for fans I agree, but for the team... I'll love the bracket the Lunardi just put out.
Face 8/9 Wichita state... Gonzaga (1), Butler or Virginia (4/5). With a chance to face Duke in the elite 8!
I'll take that over facing Lou or Ken in the second round.
If Duke beats UNC tonight they might take the 2 seed from Lou and thus we might be in Greenville with a second round match up vs Duke. Don't fool yourself if you don't think the committee wouldn't love a Coach K vs Collins matchup