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2022 College Football Playoff National Championship Odds updated

On3 imageby:Andrew Graham•12/07/22•

AndrewEdGraham

The College Football Playoff field is set and the Las Vegas oddsmakers have taken a crack at weighing the chances of the respective teams in the field. Unsurprisingly, defending national champions Georgia are leading the pack and TCU, hoping to finish out a dream season, has the longest odds of the four-team field.

While TCU is viewed a long shot, Georgia, Michigan and Ohio State all have fairly solid odds to bring home to national title. A quick look at how the College Football Playoff field stacks up in the eyes of VegasInsider.

Odds to win the College Football Playoff

  1. Georgia: –133
  2. Michigan: +296
  3. Ohio State: +354
  4. TCU: +1680

Breaking down the national title chances

Georgia: It’s no surprise the Bulldogs are the favored of the four. After completing back-to-back undefeated regular seasons and this time capping it off with an SEC championship, there has been little reason to doubt Georgia. To boot: Only one Georgia game this season has been decided by single digits. Behind a defense that has rather seamlessly kept up an elite level despite producing a bevy of NFL draft and a diversified, efficient offense that can pour on the points, it’s seemingly the Bulldogs trophy to lose right now.

Michigan: Whether the Wolverines would win in a neutral site rematch against Ohio State, or be favored, remains to be seen. But Michigan has slightly better odds to win the title and that likely has to do with the semifinal matchup. The Wolverines face a TCU team that Vegas clearly sees as lesser than the other three teams, and thus have an easier path to the championship game.

Ohio State: While the Buckeyes would potentially be favored in a title game rematch against Michigan — and certainly over TCU — the challenge is actually getting there. Ohio State is one of the few teams in the country that can go prospect-for-prospect with Georgia down the roster. But the question remains: Can the Ohio State defense shape up and handle a Bulldogs offense that has notably better talent than Michigan and wishes to impose its will at the line of scrimmage in a similar way?

TCU: The Horned Frogs are your 2022-23 College Football Playoff team of destiny, riding an improbable 12-0 regular season under first-year head coach Sonny Dykes to the Big 12 title game. An overtime loss there didn’t cost TCU a shot at the championship in the postseason, but Vegas isn’t high on the Horned Frogs magic continuing. TCU proved its mettle against a deep league that never offered an easy out in 2022, but dealing with the heft and skill of Michigan and then either Ohio State or Georgia at the line of scrimmage looks to potentially be too much for the Horned Frogs to handle.