Creighton vs. Tennessee odds: Win probability, final score prediction in Sweet 16

Creighton and Tennessee are set to meet in the Sweet 16 in a matchup of the top seeds in their parts of the bracket. Both teams were excellent in the opening rounds of action, racking up a pair of wins.

Tennessee managed to get here as the 2-seed in the Midwest Region by taking down Saint Peter‘s and then Texas. Creighton, the 3-seed, on the other hand, topped Akron and then Oregon to advance, getting a slightly easier road thanks to an upset.

So how will the two stack up to each other in the Sweet 16? On3 provides a look at the odds, some analytical breakdowns of the matchup, as well as how to watch the highly anticipated contest. Take a look below.

Odds for Creighton vs. Tennessee

Coming into the game, Tennessee is a 2.5-point favorite over Creighton, per FanDuel. The Volunteers are also currently listed at -138 for the moneyline, right now, while the Bluejays are sitting at +115.

The point total for the game is currently set at 143.5 points. If both teams reached their season averages for scoring, there would be a total of 159.7 points scored in the contest.

Final score predictions for Creighton vs. Tennessee

BPI Predicted winner: Tennessee
BPI Predicted point differential: 2.0
BPI Win probability (for Tennessee): 57.6%
BPI Matchup Quality: 97.4

ESPN’s BPI is a model designed to provide a statistical comparison between two teams and predict future success. It agrees with Vegas about what to expect from this game. Leading into the game, BPI is projecting a point differential of 2.0 points in Tennessee’s favor. It also gives the Volunteers a 57.6% chance to win the game over the Bluejays.

BPI also gives this game a matchup quality score of 97.4, which is extremely high, the highest of the day.

KenPom Predicted final score: Tennessee 73, Creighton 71
KenPom Win probability (for Tennessee): 56%

KenPom is another predictive system for college basketball. It’s designed to show how strong a team is at a given time, without taking factors like injuries into account. For this game between Tennessee and Creighton, KenPom agrees with BPI and Vegas, projecting the Volunteers to win by two points.

How to watch Creighton vs. Tennessee

Time: approx. 10:09 p.m. ET, March 29
Channel: TBS, Prime Video (streaming)
Location: Detroit, Mich.

Creighton and Tennessee are set to tip off at approximately 10:09 p.m. time on Friday, March 29. It will also be played at the Little Caesars Arena in Detroit, Mich., rather than an on-campus venue, as part of the 2024 NCAA Tournament.

You can watch the tournament live on Prime Video, add on your favorite channels and watch at home or on your phone and laptop at work!

For fans outside of Detroit, the game can be watched on TBS. It’s also going to be available to fans on streaming through Prime Video, which does have an option for a free trial.