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ESPN FPI favors Utah over WVU in updated projections

Vernon Bailey Headshotby: Vernon Bailey09/24/25RivalsVernon
West Virginia defensive back Jordan Scruggs
West Virginia defensive back Jordan Scruggs -Credit: WVU Football

West Virginia heads into this weekend’s matchup with Utah as an underdog according to ESPN’s Football Power Index. The model gives the Utes a 72.2 percent chance to win, compared to 27.8 percent for the Mountaineers.

This week’s matchup

The challenge is clear in Morgantown, with Utah carrying the edge in the updated projections. But numbers aren’t final scores, and WVU has shown flashes of being able to rise in big spots.

Remaining schedule snapshot

Looking ahead, the Mountaineers are underdogs in every remaining game on the schedule. Colorado is the closest of the group, but FPI still leans toward the Buffaloes at 54.5 percent.

Remaining Projections

OpponentWVU Win %Opponent Win %
Utah27.872.2
BYU3.896.2
UCF23.276.8
TCU20.879.2
Houston23.176.9
Colorado45.554.5
Arizona State12.387.7
Texas Tech18.181.9

FPI probabilities are about chances, not guarantees, and WVU will have opportunities in several matchups.


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