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The latest ESPN matchup predictor for the Florida Gators

On3 imageby: Keith Niebuhr2 hours agoOn3Keith
billy napier (1)
Doug Engle/Gainesville Sun / USA TODAY NETWORK via Imagn Images

If the ESPN matchup predictor is right, it will be a painful fall for Gator Nation. Following two straight losses and facing an extremely challenging schedule ahead the computers have the Florida Gators predicted to win just three of its nine remaining games to finish 4-8. But if one is looking for a silver lining, it’s worth noting ESPN projected one of those victories to come against No. 7 FSU at The Swamp.

In most cases, the predictor percentage has shifted more toward UF’s opponent since the Gators fell to No. 3 LSU last weekend. The exception being Texas [see below], which like Florida hasn’t played great early in the season. The ESPN matchup predictor numbers will shift throughout the season and are impacted by every result but as of Monday it paints a potentially bleak picture for Billy Napier’s Gators.

As for this week, the experts at BetMGM have the Florida Gators as a 7.5-point underdog at Miami.  In the current AP Top 25, the following UF opponents are ranked:

3. LSU
4. Miami 
5. Georgia
7. Florida State 
8. Texas 
10. Texas A&M
13. Ole Miss 
15. Tennessee 

Below is the full Florida Gators schedule with ESPN’s current matchup predictor chances:

Long Island University (Aug. 30)

8-21 predictor: UF 99.0 percent (W)
Result: Gators 55, LIU 0 (1-0)

South Florida (Sept. 6) 

8-21 predictor: UF 90.4 percent (W)
9-02 predictor: UF 82.7 percent (W)
BETMGM odds: UF by 17.5
Result: Gators 16, USF 18 (1-1)

at LSU (Sept. 13)

8-21 predictor: LSU 57.5 percent (L)
9-02 predictor: LSU 59.6 percent (L)
9-10 predictor: LSU 61.6 percent (L)
9-10 BETMGM odds: LSU by 7.5
Result: Gators 10, LSU 20 (1-2)

at Miami (Sept. 20)

8-21 predictor: UM 53.0 percent (L)
9-02 predictor: UM 54.9 percent (L)
9-10 predictor: UM 59.7 percent (L)
9-10 BETMGM odds: UM by 7.5
9-15 predictor: UM 75.2 percent (L)

Texas (Oct. 4) 

8-21 predictor: UT 70.3 percent (L)
9-02 predictor: UT 66.1 percent (L)
9-10 predictor: UT 72.0 percent (L)
9-15 predictor: UT 69.9 percent (L)

at Texas A&M (Oct. 11)

8-21 predictor: TAMU 60.7 percent (L)
9-02 predictor: TAMU 57.3 percent (L)
9-10 predictor: TAMU 63.4 percent (L)
9-15 predictor: TAMU 73.9 percent (L)

Mississippi St. (Oct. 18)

8-21 predictor: UF 83.0 percent (W)
9-02 predictor: UF 81.0 percent (W)
9-10 predictor: UF 73.2 percent (W)
9-15 predictor: UF 63.8 percent (W)

Georgia (Nov. 1)

8-21 predictor: UGA 69.2 percent (L)
9-02 predictor: UGA 72.1 percent (L)
9-10 predictor: UGA 73.4 percent (L)
9-15 predictor: UGA 79.8 percent (L)

at Kentucky Nov 8 (Nov. 8)

8-21 predictor: UF 69.1 percent (W)
9-02 predictor: UF 71.3 percent (W)
9-10 predictor: UF 58.5 percent (W)
9-15 predictor: UF 52.8 percent (W)

at Ole Miss (Nov. 15)

8-21 predictor: OM 58.8 percent (L)
9-02 predictor: OM 72.8 percent (L)
9-10 predictor: OM 77.1 percent (L)
9-15 predictor: OM 79.6 percent (L)

Tennessee (Nov. 22)

8-21 predictor: UF 51.5 percent (W)
9-02 predictor: UT 51.3 percent (L)
9-10 predictor: UT 64.1 percent (L)
9-15 predictor: UT 68.1 percent (L)

Florida State (Nov. 28)

8-21 predictor: UF 88.1 percent (W)
9-02 predictor: UF 77.3 percent (W)
9-10 predictor: UF 60.3 percent (W)
9-15 predictor: UF 54.7 percent (W)

Related Florida Gators content 

—3-2-1: Dissecting another gut-punch Gators loss
—Gators open as 7.5-point underdogs vs. Miami
—DL Frederic Sainteus details latest with Florida Gators after reopening recruitment
—Florida commit Carsyn Baker reacts to Gators’ losses and talks recruitment status

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