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The latest ESPN matchup predictor for the Florida Gators

On3 imageby: Keith Niebuhr09/21/25On3Keith

The Florida Gators are in a bit of a tailspin and at the moment the ESPN matchup predictor doesn’t see UF coming out of it this season. Following three straight losses and facing an extremely challenging schedule ahead the computers have the Florida Gators predicted to win just one of its eight remaining games to finish 2-10. That victory is projected to come against Mississippi State at home.

Last week, the ESPN matchup predictor had UF going 4-8. But it now has changed projected wins over Kentucky and FSU to losses.

The ESPN matchup predictor numbers shift throughout the season and are impacted by every result but as of Sunday it paints a potentially bleak picture for Billy Napier’s Gators. Just a few weeks ago, it had UF winning six games. The Gators next face No. 10 Texas at home Oct. 4.

In the current AP Top 25, the following UF opponents are ranked:

2. Miami 
4. LSU
5. Georgia
8. Florida State 
9. Texas A&M
10. Texas 
13. Ole Miss 
15. Tennessee 

Below is the full Florida Gators schedule with ESPN’s current matchup predictor chances:

Long Island University (Aug. 30)

8-21 predictor: UF 99.0 percent (W)
Result: Gators 55, LIU 0 (1-0)

South Florida (Sept. 6) 

8-21 predictor: UF 90.4 percent (W)
9-02 predictor: UF 82.7 percent (W)
BETMGM odds: UF by 17.5
Result: Gators 16, USF 18 (1-1)

at LSU (Sept. 13)

8-21 predictor: LSU 57.5 percent (L)
9-02 predictor: LSU 59.6 percent (L)
9-10 predictor: LSU 61.6 percent (L)
9-10 BETMGM odds: LSU by 7.5
Result: Gators 10, LSU 20 (1-2)

at Miami (Sept. 20)

8-21 predictor: UM 53.0 percent (L)
9-02 predictor: UM 54.9 percent (L)
9-10 predictor: UM 59.7 percent (L)
9-10 BETMGM odds: UM by 7.5
9-15 predictor: UM 75.2 percent (L)
Result: Gators 7, Miami 26 (1-3)

Texas (Oct. 4) 

8-21 predictor: UT 70.3 percent (L)
9-02 predictor: UT 66.1 percent (L)
9-10 predictor: UT 72.0 percent (L)
9-15 predictor: UT 69.9 percent (L)
9-21 predictor: UT 76.7 percent (L)

at Texas A&M (Oct. 11)

8-21 predictor: TAMU 60.7 percent (L)
9-02 predictor: TAMU 57.3 percent (L)
9-10 predictor: TAMU 63.4 percent (L)
9-15 predictor: TAMU 73.9 percent (L)
9-21 predictor: TAMU 77.2 percent (L)

Mississippi St. (Oct. 18)

8-21 predictor: UF 83.0 percent (W)
9-02 predictor: UF 81.0 percent (W)
9-10 predictor: UF 73.2 percent (W)
9-15 predictor: UF 63.8 percent (W)
9-21 predictor: UF 55.6 percent (W)

Georgia (Nov. 1)

8-21 predictor: UGA 69.2 percent (L)
9-02 predictor: UGA 72.1 percent (L)
9-10 predictor: UGA 73.4 percent (L)
9-15 predictor: UGA 79.8 percent (L)
9-21 predictor: UGA 82.5 percent (L)

at Kentucky Nov 8 (Nov. 8)

8-21 predictor: UF 69.1 percent (W)
9-02 predictor: UF 71.3 percent (W)
9-10 predictor: UF 58.5 percent (W)
9-15 predictor: UF 52.8 percent (W)
9-21 predictor: UK 51.2 percent (L)

at Ole Miss (Nov. 15)

8-21 predictor: OM 58.8 percent (L)
9-02 predictor: OM 72.8 percent (L)
9-10 predictor: OM 77.1 percent (L)
9-15 predictor: OM 79.6 percent (L)
9-21 predictor: OM 85.1 percent (L)

Tennessee (Nov. 22)

8-21 predictor: UF 51.5 percent (W)
9-02 predictor: UT 51.3 percent (L)
9-10 predictor: UT 64.1 percent (L)
9-15 predictor: UT 68.1 percent (L)
9-21 predictor: UT 71.7 percent (L)

Florida State (Nov. 28)

8-21 predictor: UF 88.1 percent (W)
9-02 predictor: UF 77.3 percent (W)
9-10 predictor: UF 60.3 percent (W)
9-15 predictor: UF 54.7 percent (W)
9-21 predictor: FSU 58.7 percent (L)

Dissecting Billy Napier’s record in Florida Gators rivalry games
Grading the Gators: How Florida players performed vs. Miami
Tracking the biggest threats to Florida Gators commits this fall

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