Score predictions for Week 3 of the 2025 Kentucky high school football season

The 2025 Kentucky high school football season is moving right along.

And the Week 3 schedule is absolutely loaded with high-profile matchups. Not counting the KSR Game of the Week, which features top-ranked Trinity taking on Kentucky QB commit Matt Ponatoski and Moeller (OH) in Cincinnati, there will be a total of seven Top 25 matchups spread out across the state. Most of this week’s games will take place on Friday, but we have a few on the Thursday schedule and one more set for Saturday.

As we gear up for Week 3 action, we’re predicting the score for every major game on the schedule for this weekend. Using the Massey Ratings — a system created in 1999 by statistician Kenneth Massey that was used to help determine the Bowl Championship Series (BCS) until 2013 — we are able to look up score predictions for every game happening across the state.

As a quick explanation, the Massey Ratings are computer ratings based on historical trends and current-year stats. With that in mind, it will need a few weeks’ worth of games before the numbers begin to hit their stride. However, you won’t find a more reliable system to use in terms of predicting scores throughout the first couple of weeks of the regular season.

For more information on the Massey Ratings and how it works, click here.

Below, we have included score predictions for all of KSR’s Top 25 teams, including the additional teams receiving votes from our panel of 10 voters. If your school was not included in the prediction sheet, click the link here to find their team page. There, you’ll be able to see predictive scores for this weekend and the rest of the season, along with updated results.

Friday, September 5

*RV indicates a team receiving votes in KSR’s Week 2 Top 25 Rankings*

TIME (LOCAL)	MATCHUP	MASSEY PREDICTION
7:00 PM	No. 1 Trinity vs. Moeller (OH)	41-14 (Moeller)
7:00 PM	No. 18 Cooper @ No. 2 Ryle	34-21 (Ryle)
7:00 PM	No. 22 Mayfield @ No. 3 Paducah Tilghman	42-20 (Paducah Tilghman)
7:00 PM	No. 12 Male @ No. 4 St. Xavier	32-14 (St. Xavier)
7:30 PM	No. 5 Boyle County @ Lexington Catholic	42-10 (Boyle County)
7:30 PM	No. 6 Christian Academy-Louisville @ No. 15 Lexington Christian Academy	35-20 (Christian Academy-Louisville)
7:00 PM	Campbell County @ No. 7 Highlands	48-13 (Highlands)
7:00 PM	No. 8 South Warren @ Greenwood	42-12 (South Warren)
7:00 PM	No. 9 Franklin County @ Pleasure Ridge Park	42-6 (Franklin County)
7:00 PM	No. 10 Owensboro Catholic vs. Apollo (@ Steele Stadium)	47-14 (Owensboro Catholic)
7:00 PM	No. 11 Covington Catholic @ Simon Kenton	36-14 (Covington Catholic)
7:30 PM	No. 13 DuPont Manual @ No. 24 Frederick Douglass	28-14 (Frederick Douglass)
7:30 PM	No. 14 Corbin @ Bryan Station	42-21 (Corbin)
7:00 PM	No. 16 Beechwood @ Dixie Heights	43-20 (Beechwood)
7:45 PM	No. 19 Bowling Green @ No. 17 Scott County	35-28 (Scott County)
7:30 PM	Great Crossing @ No. 20 Woodford County	42-28 (Woodford County)
7:30 PM	No. 23 Johnson Central @ No. 22 Mayfield	35-21 (Johnson Central)
7:30 PM	Wayne County @ No. 25 Bell County	42-18 (Bell County)
7:30 PM	RV Raceland @ Pikeville	27-26 (Raceland)
8:00 PM	RV Pulaski County @ North Hardin	42-19 (Pulaski County)
8:00 PM	RV Atherton @ Mercer County	42-16 (Atherton)

Join KSR Plus! With a KSR Plus membership, you get access to bonus content and KSBoard, KSR’s message board, to chat with fellow Cats fans and get exclusive scoop.