Score predictions for Week 4 of the 2025 Kentucky high school football season

Another week of high school football across the state of Kentucky is almost upon us.

This week’s schedule kicks off with a couple of games on Thursday night, headlined by No. 3 Paducah Tilghman, and ends with a few more on Saturday, but the majority of action, as always, will be played under the lights on Friday night. We have four matchups between ranked teams on the docket, including the KSR Game of the Week in Danville between No. 5 Highlands and No. 11 Boyle County.

As we gear up for Week 4 action, we’re predicting the score for every major game on the schedule for this weekend. Using the Massey Ratings — a system created in 1999 by statistician Kenneth Massey that was used to help determine the Bowl Championship Series (BCS) until 2013 — we are able to look up score predictions for every game happening across the state.

As a quick explanation, the Massey Ratings are computer ratings based on historical trends and current-year stats. With that in mind, it will need a few weeks’ worth of games before the numbers begin to hit their stride. However, you won’t find a more reliable system to use in terms of predicting scores throughout the first couple of weeks of the regular season.

For more information on the Massey Ratings and how it works, click here.

Below, we have included score predictions for all of KSR’s Top 25 teams, including the additional teams receiving votes from our panel of 10 voters. If your school was not included in the prediction sheet, click the link here to find their team page. There, you’ll be able to see predictive scores for this weekend and the rest of the season, along with updated results.

Thursday, September 11

TIME (LOCAL)	MATCHUP	MASSEY PREDICTION
7:00 PM	No. 3 Paducah Tilghman @ Madisonville-North Hopkins	44-24 (Paducah Tilghman)

Friday, September 12

*RV indicates a team receiving votes in KSR’s Week 3 Top 25 Rankings*

TIME (LOCAL)	MATCHUP	MASSEY PREDICTION
7:00 PM	Carmel (IN) @ No. 1 Trinity	35-18 (Carmel)
7:30 PM	No. 4 Christian Academy-Louisville @ No. 9 Ryle	34-22 (Christian Academy-Louisville)
7:30 PM (KSR Game of the Week)	No. 5 Highlands @ No. 11 Boyle County	28-20 (Boyle County)
7:30 PM	RV Bowling Green @ No. 6 South Warren	35-28 (South Warren)
7:30 PM	No. 21 Lexington Christian Academy @ No. 7 Franklin County	41-21 (Lexington Christian Academy)
7:30 PM	Campbell County @ No. 8 Cooper	48-14 (Cooper)
7:00 PM	Dixie Heights @ No. 10 Covington Catholic	49-14 (Covington Catholic)
7:00 PM	No. 12 DuPont Manual @ RV Atherton	35-6 (DuPont Manual)
7:00 PM	No. 13 Scott County @ Pleasure Ridge Park	48-13 (Scott County)
7:30 PM	Simon Kenton @ No. 14 Beechwood	44-14 (Beechwood)
7:00 PM	No. 15 Owensboro Catholic @ Owensboro	28-24 (Owensboro Catholic)
7:30 PM	Munford (TN) @ No. 16 Woodford County	41-26 (Woodford County)
7:30 PM	RV Pikeville @ No. 17 Johnson Central	38-14 (Johnson Central)
7:30 PM	No. 18 Corbin @ No. 22 Pulaski County	28-20 (Corbin)
7:30 PM	Harlan County @ No. 20 Bell County	42-8 (Bell County)
7:30 PM	Great Crossing @ No. 23 Lexington Catholic	35-14 (Lexington Catholic)
7:30 PM	Bryan Station @ No. 24 Ballard	28-16 (Ballard)
6:30 PM	Tates Creek @ No. 25 Frederick Douglass	48-12 (Frederick Douglass)
7:00 PM	McCracken County @ RV Mayfield	45-21 (Mayfield)
7:30 PM	North Laurel @ RV Madison Central	32-7 (Madison Central)
7:30 PM	Whitley County @ RV South Laurel	42-21 (South Laurel)
7:30 PM	RV Belfry @ Southwestern	35-21 (Belfry)

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