Score predictions for Week 6 of the 2025 Kentucky high school football season

We’ve just about reached the halfway point of the 2025 Kentucky high school football regular season.
And while this Friday’s schedule isn’t jam-packed with top 25 matchups, the headliner is one of the more anticipated games of the entire season. Top-ranked Trinity and No. 3 St. Xavier will clash at Louisville’s L&N Stadium for the KSR Game of the Week with an 8:00 p.m. ET kickoff. Both teams are undefeated so far against Kentucky teams, but that will change by the end of Friday night. We’re expecting a fun one.
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As we gear up for Week 6 action, we’re predicting the score for every major game on the schedule for this weekend. Using the Massey Ratings — a system created in 1999 by statistician Kenneth Massey that was used to help determine the Bowl Championship Series (BCS) until 2013 — we can look up score predictions for every game happening across the state.
For a brief explanation, the Massey Ratings are computer-generated ratings based on historical trends and current-year statistics. With that in mind, it will need a few weeks’ worth of games before the numbers begin to hit their stride. However, you won’t find a more reliable system to use in terms of predicting scores throughout the first couple of weeks of the regular season.
To learn more about the Massey Ratings and how they work, click here.
Below, we have included score predictions for all of KSR’s Top 25 teams, including the additional teams receiving votes from our panel of 10 voters. If your school was not included in the prediction sheet, click the link here to find its team page. There, you’ll be able to see predictive scores for this weekend and the rest of the season, along with updated results.
Friday, September 26
*RV indicates a team receiving votes in KSR’s Week 5 Top 25 Rankings*
TIME (LOCAL) | MATCHUP | MASSEY PREDICTION |
8:00 PM | No. 3 St. Xavier vs. No. 1 Trinity (L&N Stadium) | 38-14 (Trinity) |
7:30 PM | Bowling Green @ No. 2 Christian Academy-Louisville | 42-20 (Christian Academy-Louisville) |
7:30 PM | No. 4 South Warren @ RV Pulaski County | 34-28 (South Warren) |
7:30 PM | No. 5 Franklin County @ Lincoln County | 49-14 (Franklin County) |
7:30 PM | Bullitt East @ No. 6 DuPont Manual | 44-14 (DuPont Manual) |
7:30 PM | No. 7 Highlands @ Harrison County | 50-6 (Highlands) |
7:30 PM | No. 8 Boyle County @ RV Ballard | 35-13 (Boyle County) |
7:30 PM | Boyd County @ No. 9 Johnson Central | 42-6 (Johnson Central) |
7:30 PM | Conner @ No. 10 Cooper | 42-8 (Cooper) |
7:00 PM | No. 11 Covington Catholic @ Central | 41-8 (Covington Catholic) |
7:30 PM | Tates Creek @ No. 12 Ryle | 48-12 (Ryle) |
7:00 PM | Graves County @ No. 13 Madisonville-North Hopkins | 42-14 (Madisonville-North Hopkins) |
7:00 PM | Allen County-Scottsville @ No. 14 Paducah Tilghman | 47-7 (Paducah Tilghman) |
7:30 PM | No. 15 Bell County @ McCreary Central | 46-7 (Bell County) |
7:30 PM | Owen County @ No. 16 Beechwood | 44-0 (Beechwood) |
7:00 PM | Fern Creek @ No. 20 Atherton | 24-20 (Atherton) |
7:00 PM | No. 21 Owensboro @ Apollo | 42-14 (Owensboro) |
8:00 PM | No. 22 Owensboro Catholic @ Meade County | 41-7 (Owensboro Catholic) |
7:00 PM | Pleasure Ridge Park @ No. 23 Male | 45-7 (Male) |
7:30 PM | Great Crossing @ No. 24 Madison Central | 42-14 (Madison Central) |
7:30 PM | Collins @ No. 25 Scott County | 42-19 (Scott County) |
7:30 PM | RV Belfry @ Pike County Central | 49-7 (Belfry) |
7:00 PM | RV Mayfield @ Todd County Central | 51-6 (Mayfield) |
7:30 PM | RV North Laurel @ Whitley County | 35-6 (North Laurel) |
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