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Recent content by MalachiConstant

  1. M

    OT: Shingles, ever had them?

    It’s way more common for young people to get now. With everyone having the chicken pox vaccine you’re not exposed to the virus in public now...and people who have had chicken pox are more likely to get shingles younger. It used to be that you got “booster” shots from being around kids with...
  2. M

    COVID-19 Pandemic: Transmissions, Deaths, Treatments, Vaccines, Interventions and More...

    Ok, sounds fair. But the outcome of something doesn’t determine if the initial probability was a specific number...unless that initial probability is 0 or 1. If something has a 20% chance of happening and happens, it doesn’t mean the initial likelihood wasn’t 20%. This is a staggering...
  3. M

    COVID-19 Pandemic: Transmissions, Deaths, Treatments, Vaccines, Interventions and More...

    Yes, because the outcome of something doesn’t drive it’s odds. This is basic statistics.
  4. M

    COVID-19 Pandemic: Transmissions, Deaths, Treatments, Vaccines, Interventions and More...

    But I can’t. I disagree with you, but can’t say you’re wrong. It would be like me asking you the odds of the opening coin flip coming up heads, you saying 50%, then when it comes up tails me saying that you’re wrong.
  5. M

    COVID-19 Pandemic: Transmissions, Deaths, Treatments, Vaccines, Interventions and More...

    Why? Did you read my example? You don’t have a science background do you?
  6. M

    COVID-19 Pandemic: Transmissions, Deaths, Treatments, Vaccines, Interventions and More...

    Im not wrong, it’s my take on the likelihood of it happening. I happen to think the virus mutates away similar to SARS prior to vaccine approval. That’s how percentages work. There’s a 1/6 chance a dice roll lands on a six. If you tell someone that, then they roll a six...you weren’t wrong...
  7. M

    COVID-19 Pandemic: Transmissions, Deaths, Treatments, Vaccines, Interventions and More...

    20%
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