I believe Sagarin uses 3 seasons worth of data in the preseason numbers which would mean Purdue's numbers are weighed down by its ineptitude in 2015 and 2016. Vegas seems to like Brohm a lot and I think that more than anything else explains the gap b/w Sagarin and Vegas.
Purdue's offense was...
I think this is probably right. Purdue's offense wasn't great last season, averaging around 25ppg, so the idea that it would run wild against NU stretches the imagination.
I could definitely see this game going this way and man that would be a downer for Purdue.
Purdue has so many questions...