Estrada may not have a notable win (although Kraisser was a decent win at the time) but he also doesn't have any terrible losses. His 5 losses last year as a true freshman: Lachlan McNeil 5-2, Kael Voinovich 4-1, Ethen Miller 4-2, Antrell Taylor 4-2, Trevor Chumbley SV 4-1. The Kael Voinovich loss is the only one that may raise a flag and Kael's not bad and there's a familiarity there. The concern about Estrada is scoring vs better competition.
Also VV had the benefit of a RS year and an opportunity to qualify for the tourney whereas Estrada went as a true freshman, was wrestling in two different weight classes, and was bumped from a NCAA opportunity by Teemer.