Turn the playoffs upside down. Here are 3 teams or scenarios that could cause a lot of nervous tensions for OU, ND and yes Alabama. Unlike Alabama though OU and ND will not have a CCG to automatically secure its spot in the playoffs and instead will have its fate decided by a committee.
Team 1 Scenario 1
Michigan with a win over Ohio State and Oregon losing to Washington would give the Wolverines a shot of securing an auto bid to the playoffs. The question would become what does the committee do with Oregon in the last rankings? A Michigan auto bid gives the B10 3 sure bids ( Ind, OSU and Mich ) with a possible 4th in Oregon. At the same time as long as OU beats LSU this is a great scenario for OU because they would finish 10-2 with a victory over the Big 10 champ. No way could the committee justify dropping OU out in this scenario. If Oregon beats Washington though its a moot point.
Scenario 2, Team 2
BYU - at 11-1 providing they win this weekend would face Tech in the B12 CG. If they were to extract revenge and win the automatic, what does the committee do to Tech in its rankings. They would drop but just how far is the question. The committee has said teams playing in there CCG would not be punished severely even with a loss. So I believe the B12 would steal a bid from other teams ( deserving) relying on the human element to keep those dreams alive for a spot in the CFBP. The best outcome would be for BYU to lose this weekend or lose in the CCG again to Tech. Things could really turn things upside down though if WV pulled off the impossible upset of Tech Saturday. That would all but eliminate the B12 getting 2 teams in.
Scenario 3 - The Bama thing
I will just say it here, go Auburn because we all know they ( Alabama) are capable of beating either AtM or UGA in the SECCG to secure the auto bid which will see them get a big jump from the committee. If this happens we know the SEC would get guaranteed spots for Bama, AtM, UGA, and Ole Ms. Another spot goes to the ACC. So if the above scenarios take place in worse case here is what we are looking at
Big 10 - Mich, Ind, OSU, Oregon
SEC - Bama, UGA, OM, AtM
ACC - Miami, Pitt, UVA or GTU ( 1 bid )
G5 - Tulane?
B12 - BYU , Tech
Both ND and OU are out if this all falls into place. Bottom line is neither OU or ND are safe yet but I believe if it comes down to a final spot between OU and ND it will be a coin toss even though it shouldnt even be a debate.
If this was a 16 team playoff there would not be any sweating unless of course OU lost to LSU
Team 1 Scenario 1
Michigan with a win over Ohio State and Oregon losing to Washington would give the Wolverines a shot of securing an auto bid to the playoffs. The question would become what does the committee do with Oregon in the last rankings? A Michigan auto bid gives the B10 3 sure bids ( Ind, OSU and Mich ) with a possible 4th in Oregon. At the same time as long as OU beats LSU this is a great scenario for OU because they would finish 10-2 with a victory over the Big 10 champ. No way could the committee justify dropping OU out in this scenario. If Oregon beats Washington though its a moot point.
Scenario 2, Team 2
BYU - at 11-1 providing they win this weekend would face Tech in the B12 CG. If they were to extract revenge and win the automatic, what does the committee do to Tech in its rankings. They would drop but just how far is the question. The committee has said teams playing in there CCG would not be punished severely even with a loss. So I believe the B12 would steal a bid from other teams ( deserving) relying on the human element to keep those dreams alive for a spot in the CFBP. The best outcome would be for BYU to lose this weekend or lose in the CCG again to Tech. Things could really turn things upside down though if WV pulled off the impossible upset of Tech Saturday. That would all but eliminate the B12 getting 2 teams in.
Scenario 3 - The Bama thing
I will just say it here, go Auburn because we all know they ( Alabama) are capable of beating either AtM or UGA in the SECCG to secure the auto bid which will see them get a big jump from the committee. If this happens we know the SEC would get guaranteed spots for Bama, AtM, UGA, and Ole Ms. Another spot goes to the ACC. So if the above scenarios take place in worse case here is what we are looking at
Big 10 - Mich, Ind, OSU, Oregon
SEC - Bama, UGA, OM, AtM
ACC - Miami, Pitt, UVA or GTU ( 1 bid )
G5 - Tulane?
B12 - BYU , Tech
Both ND and OU are out if this all falls into place. Bottom line is neither OU or ND are safe yet but I believe if it comes down to a final spot between OU and ND it will be a coin toss even though it shouldnt even be a debate.
If this was a 16 team playoff there would not be any sweating unless of course OU lost to LSU
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