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3rd Most Improbable Comeback This Season

J

jellyman_rivals307848

All-Conference
Jul 25, 2001
15,252
2,926
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knightfan7 said:
RU had a 1% chance of winning according to ESPN.

Interesting Top 3 are all B1G games....

1 - MSU/UM under 1%

2 - Illinois/Nebraska under 1%

3 - RU/Indiana 1%
Click to expand...

Yeah, but that MSU win odds were with 10 seconds left. What were the odds of MSU winning at the start of the 4th quarter?

Cannot speak to the Illinois/Nebraska game.
 
K

knightfan7

Heisman
Jul 30, 2003
93,258
67,088
113
jellyman said:
Yeah, but that MSU win odds were with 10 seconds left. What were the odds of MSU winning at the start of the 4th quarter?

Cannot speak to the Illinois/Nebraska game.
Click to expand...

Don't know Jelly. I'd guess it was at the lowest point which for RU down by 25, MSU before the punt, and Illinois down 6, 1:47 left, with Nebraska having third down on the Illini 27..
 
J

jellyman_rivals307848

All-Conference
Jul 25, 2001
15,252
2,926
0
knightfan7 said:
Don't know Jelly. I'd guess it was at the lowest point which for RU down by 25, MSU before the punt, and Illinois down 6, 1:47 left, with Nebraska having third down on the Illini 27..
Click to expand...

I agree ... my point exactly. The RU odds of winning near the end of the 3rd quarter, versus the MSU odds of winning with 10 seconds left are simply not comparable situations.

The MSU thing is simply a ONE play event.
 
H

HeyHuey

All-Conference
Jun 16, 2008
8,042
4,663
0
I think we could have bumped our chances down to well under 1% if we had tried to pass on the fake punt.
 
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