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83% probability Hillary wins....

C

countryroads89_rivals

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DvlDog4WVU

DvlDog4WVU

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RichardPeterJohnson said:
according to the best political predictor out there. 53% probability Dems take Senate. Wingnuts, ye reap what ye sow.

http://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2016-election-forecast/?ex_cid=rrpromo

http://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2016-election-forecast/senate/?ex_cid=2016-forecast
Click to expand...
I don't think he will win. However, it's not improbable at this point if he were to take:

OH, FL, and NC. At that point, he would need to pull one of Iowa/NV/PA,CO,NH

All of which are easily attainable, even after this past week's events.
 
W

WVUCOOPER

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DvlDog4WVU said:
I don't think he will win. However, it's not improbable at this point if he were to take:

OH, FL, and NC. At that point, he would need to pull one of Iowa/NV/PA,CO,NH

All of which are easily attainable, even after this past week's events.
Click to expand...
PA, NH, and Nevada are gone. What a shitshow it would be if it came down to those caucus f'n Hawkeyes. Alas, tis all a moot point.
 
DvlDog4WVU

DvlDog4WVU

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WVUCOOPER said:
PA, NH, and Nevada are gone. What a shitshow it would be if it came down to those caucus f'n Hawkeyes. Alas, tis all a moot point.
Click to expand...
Still a month to go, honestly, I've learned one thing this election cycle. Never count Trump out. He is essentially the equivalent of Hillary. Nothing sticks for very long to them. Sad state of affairs we find ourselves in this year.

One thing I think and it may or may not hold true. I think a lot of these polls count on the standard DNC turnout. I don't think they are going to get it, or even close to it for her.
 
W

WVUCOOPER

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DvlDog4WVU said:
Still a month to go, honestly, I've learned one thing this election cycle. Never count Trump out. He is essentially the equivalent of Hillary. Nothing sticks for very long to them. Sad state of affairs we find ourselves in this year.

One thing I think and it may or may not hold true. I think a lot of these polls count on the standard DNC turnout. I don't think they are going to get it, or even close to it for her.
Click to expand...
It's really not a month away. Votes are being cast. Hopefully we can hang on to the Senate and/or House.
 
bornaneer

bornaneer

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Jan 23, 2014
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DvlDog4WVU said:
Still a month to go, honestly, I've learned one thing this election cycle. Never count Trump out. He is essentially the equivalent of Hillary. Nothing sticks for very long to them. Sad state of affairs we find ourselves in this year.

One thing I think and it may or may not hold true. I think a lot of these polls count on the standard DNC turnout. I don't think they are going to get it, or even close to it for her.
Click to expand...
You are correct....turnout is the only hope Trump has.
 
K

Keyser76

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Apr 7, 2010
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I'll count Trump out, no problem, gonna be an historic beat down. Like I said earlier, show me where he improves just ONE demographic that cost Mitt the last election.
 
DvlDog4WVU

DvlDog4WVU

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Keyser76 said:
I'll count Trump out, no problem, gonna be an historic beat down. Like I said earlier, show me where he improves just ONE demographic that cost Mitt the last election.
Click to expand...
The one where people don't come out and vote for Hillary. The working class vote which Mitt didn't carry at all in the Rust Belt states, and even the union vote for a lot of the areas that Obama carried soundly.
 
W

WVUCOOPER

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DvlDog4WVU said:
The one where people don't come out and vote for Hillary. The working class vote which Mitt didn't carry at all in the Rust Belt states, and even the union vote for a lot of the areas that Obama carried soundly.
Click to expand...
He is winning over non educated whites, while losing college educated whites resulting in a net gain for the Dems in 2016 vs 2012.
 
W

wvu2007

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Jan 2, 2013
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RichardPeterJohnson said:
according to the best political predictor out there. 53% probability Dems take Senate. Wingnuts, ye reap what ye sow.

http://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2016-election-forecast/?ex_cid=rrpromo

http://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2016-election-forecast/senate/?ex_cid=2016-forecast
Click to expand...

 
P

palencia

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Aug 21, 2009
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RichardPeterJohnson said:
according to the best political predictor out there. 53% probability Dems take Senate. Wingnuts, ye reap what ye sow.

http://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2016-election-forecast/?ex_cid=rrpromo

http://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2016-election-forecast/senate/?ex_cid=2016-forecast
Click to expand...
You are so blindly Socialist and out of touch
with reality. Take you, Caulifornia, and NYC,
and last election was a landslide in popular vote.
I am a lifelong Conservative Democrat.
 
S

Snow Sled Baby

Sophomore
Jan 4, 2003
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Keyser76 said:
I'll count Trump out, no problem, gonna be an historic beat down. Like I said earlier, show me where he improves just ONE demographic that cost Mitt the last election.
Click to expand...
How'd that work out for you....but hey....you can keep your doctor
 
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