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8A/7A/6A/5A cutlines - FINAL

G

GEPreps

Junior
Nov 22, 2009
988
304
0
Updated with Week 9 results
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01 5017 Curie
02 4275 Warren
03 4061 New Trier
04 3960 Lyons
05 3858 Neuqua Valley
06 3840 Stevenson
07 3675 West Aurora (5-35)
08 3560 Bolingbrook
09 3413 Loyola Academy
10 3245 Sandburg
11 3239 OPRF
12 3079 Evanston
13 3052 Barrington
14 2888 Naperville Central
15 2784 South Elgin
16 2778 Hinsdale Central
17 2747 Huntley
18 2742 Marist
19 2722 Brother Rice
20 2714 Homewood-Flossmoor
21 2694 Fremd
22 2655 Palatine
23 2603 Oswego
24 2584 Bartlett
25 2583 Notre Dame
26 2579 Plainfield South
27 2527 Waubonsie Valley
28 2504 Belleville East
29 2491 Minooka
30 2473 O'Fallon
31 2355 Edwardsville
32 2351 Conant

--- 8A/7A Cut -----------

01 2338 Maine South
02 2311 Simeon
03 2308 Schaumburg
04 2283 Glenbard West
05 2279 Oswego East
06 2257 Lincoln Park
07 2256 Glenbard North
08 2231 Plainfield North
09 2204 Mt. Carmel
10 2199 Benet
11 2187 Jacobs
12 2182 Belleville West
13 2159 Downers Grove North
14 2153 Lincoln-Way East
15 2130 Niles North
16 2122 Moline
17 2099 Harlem
18 2083 Hononegah
19 2041 Bradley-Bourbonnais
20 2023 Glenbrook North
21 2012 Pekin
22 2003 Normal Community
23 2001 St. Charles North
24 1990 Batavia
25 1969 Libertyville
26 1960 Geneva
27 1958 Whitney Young
28 1904 Rolling Meadows
29 1880 Rockford Auburn
30 1837 Eisenhower
31 1831 Reavis
32 1803 Cary-Grove

--- 7A/6A cut -----------------------

01 1797 Thornton
02 1795 Quincy
03 1761 Shepard
04 1759 Crystal Lake South
05 1736 Rock Island
06 1718 Lincoln-Way North
07 1685 Hubbard
08 1674 Lake Forest
09 1657 Richards
10 1640 DeKalb
11 1608 Normal Community West
12 1606 Deerfield
13 1571 Grayslake North
14 1571 Riverside-Brookfield

15 1196 Sacred Heart-Griffin *
16 1130 Montini *

17 1567 Crete-Monee
18 1559 Hinsdale South
19 1501 Prairie Ridge
20 1474 Chicago-Kenwood
21 1443 Belvidere North
22 1440 Champaign Centennial
23 1409 Lakes
24 1407 Lemont
25 1393 St. Ignatius
26 1385 Chatham (Glenwood)
27 1385 Oak Forest
28 1376 Hampshire
29 1347 Wauconda
30 1334 Morgan Park
31 1329 Kaneland
32 1295 Peoria Notre Dame

-- 6A/5A cut ----------------------

01 1287 Lincoln-Way West
02 1282 Peoria HS
03 1265 Vernon Hills
04 1263 Belvidere
05 1248 Dunlap
06 1228 Glenbard South
07 1217 King
08 1199 Tinley Park
09 1193 Marian Central Catholic
10 1192 Nazareth
11 1191 Washington
12 1185 Champaign Central
13 1184 Sycamore
14 1153 Rich Central
15 1150 Triad
16 1147 Joliet Catholic
 
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jdhitters

Freshman
Aug 31, 2013
234
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I am beginning to think it is inevitable that GBW ends up in 8A. There are too many bubble teams above them that have tough games next week.
 
J

jdhitters

Freshman
Aug 31, 2013
234
71
0
Either Bartlet or Glenbard East have to drop since they play each other. I don't see anyway Brook beats HF, as much as I'd like to see that. WIth just factoring in those two games, GBW ends up in 8A. Well at least that will answer the big question.
 
E

ejande

Redshirt
Jan 5, 2008
569
19
18
On additional team to include on the bubble is Wheeling. They are 3-5 right now but with a win over 2-6 Elk Grove and a Hersey win over Rolling Meadows they would get the automatic bid for the MSL East. They have a 1728 enrollment, very near the 7A/6A cut line.
 
G

GEPreps

Junior
Nov 22, 2009
988
304
0
jdhitters said:
I am beginning to think it is inevitable that GBW ends up in 8A. There are too many bubble teams above them that have tough games next week.
Click to expand...

JD,

Some bubble games add a team to the projected field and some remove a team.

jdhitters said:
Either Bartlet or Glenbard East have to drop since they play each other.
Click to expand...

I only have Glenbard East in the projected field of 32 8A qualifiers.

---

The most important games from a perspective of GW being part of 8A (and one of the 32 largest enrollment schools) is removing a school that is already projected to be part of the field. This would be Joliet West, O'Fallon, and possibly Plainfield South and Waubonsie Valley (but even if PS and WV lose, they already have 5 wins and may very well accumulate enough playoff points).

The other bubble games for West Aurora, Lake Park, Minnoka, and Schaumburg can add another team to the playoffs with a larger enrollment than GW, so even if Joliet West loses and one of WA, LP, Minooka, or Schaumburg wins, it would be a wash and GW stays in 7A.
--
Joliet West v Lockport is really the most important bubble game.
 
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GEPreps

Junior
Nov 22, 2009
988
304
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The Ripper CGB said:
One additional team to include on the bubble is Wheeling.
Click to expand...

Right. I think I knew that but will add Wheeling, but still projected out for now.

From a cut line perspective it could be a wash if only one MSL-E team makes the field. If Wheeling ends up MSL-E conference representative, then a 5 win Hersey team still needs enough points.

Also, the MSL-W has a chance for every team to make the playoffs, depending on playoff points, with Schaumburg d. Fremd and Hoffman Estates d. Barrington.
 
J

jdhitters

Freshman
Aug 31, 2013
234
71
0
GEPreps said:
JD,

Some bubble games add a team to the projected field and some remove a team.



I only have Glenbard East in the projected field of 32 8A qualifiers.

---

The most important games from a perspective of GW being part of 8A (and one of the 32 largest enrollment schools) is removing a school that is already projected to be part of the field. This would be Joliet West, O'Fallon, and possibly Plainfield South and Waubonsie Valley (but even if PS and WV lose, they already have 5 wins and may very well accumulate enough playoff points).

The other bubble games for West Aurora, Lake Park, Minnoka, and Schaumburg can add another team to the playoffs with a larger enrollment than GW, so even if Joliet West loses and one of WA, LP, Minooka, or Schaumburg wins, it would be a wash and GW stays in 7A.
--
Joliet West v Lockport is really the most important bubble game.
Click to expand...
Thanks for the clarification
 
G

GEPreps

Junior
Nov 22, 2009
988
304
0
Sorry, no plans to work through more classes. The final brackets should be available soon enough this Saturday.
 
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capnbillhitters

Senior
May 18, 2015
1,666
845
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So after spending all weekend convinced GW was going 8A, I am now flipping my opinion. You have shown me the light.

Key game is now is West Aurora beating a Metea Valley that was just decimated by Glenbard North.

WA pulls off the upset earns their 1st playoff bid since '94 and pushes GW down to 7A where, for their sins, they get the pleasure of playing Libertyville, Batavia, MC and a LWN team with a chip on their shoulder.

Go Blackhawks
 
C

chuck998

Junior
Aug 11, 2014
410
222
0
I'm going to hang in and continue to hope GW is in 8A. There are still possibilities. And yes, I am very hopeful of a HF/ GW 8A final.
 
G

GEPreps

Junior
Nov 22, 2009
988
304
0
Updated with week 8 points.

Per IHSA Clinchers and Hopefuls website, so far 156 teams have clinched a berth in this year's playoffs. There are 100 berths remaining.

http://ihsa.org/SportsActivities/BoysFootball/StateSeriesInformationResults.aspx
--

If points for five win teams are low, West Aurora may already have qualified, regardless of week 9 result. They are assured 33 points with a loss and four opponents playing each other. Plus two more points with opponents Geneva and Plainfield East playing winless teams and being huge favorites. The other opponents East Aurora and Elgin play St Charles East and St Charles North, so no points there.

Plainfield South and Waubonsie Valley are also most likely locks for 8A field with five wins and enough guaranteed points after a week 9 loss.

For GW in 8A, now you really need the ESL strike ended and ESL winning vs O'Fallon.
 
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GEPreps

Junior
Nov 22, 2009
988
304
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bump.

Added Lane Tech back as 8A bubble team and added West Aurora as in the 8A field as they should have enough playoff points even with a loss.
 
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T

TVofTroy

Redshirt
Jun 4, 2001
2
1
0
Simeon will go up when Lockport beats Joliet West.

IHSA site already has the O'Fallon/ESL game as a forfeit. That means unless for some strange reason West Aurora doesn't have enough playoff points, GBW stays down.
 
G

GEPreps

Junior
Nov 22, 2009
988
304
0
I agree with your analysis.

The only big mystery for the 1-4 seeds in the larger enrollment classes is whether LWN somehow ends up in 7A.
 
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capnbillhitters

Senior
May 18, 2015
1,666
845
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GEPreps said:
I agree with your analysis.

The only big mystery for the 1-4 seeds in the larger enrollment classes is whether LWN somehow ends up in 7A.
Click to expand...

With Bolingbrook coming into 8A, that has to push everyone down and bury LWN deeper into 6A, right?
 
H

hornetnation7

Redshirt
Jul 28, 2014
297
36
0
GEPreps said:
6A/5A cut still TBD, but not any high seeds involved.

LWW looks to be 5A.
Click to expand...

Looks like only thing in question is if Peoria ND is in 6A or 5A. If both Galesburg and St Francis don't make it, then Peoria ND will be in 6A. If either or both make it, they will be 5A.

Galesburg (4-4) must win vs Canton, MI (6-2) to make it.

St Francis needs Maria (0-5 ???) to win vs St Joes (1-7) to make it

Looks like an uphill battle for both.
 
Goomlah

Goomlah

Junior
Jul 29, 2011
3,127
312
83
hornetnation7 said:
Looks like only thing in question is if Peoria ND is in 6A or 5A. If both Galesburg and St Francis don't make it, then Peoria ND will be in 6A. If either or both make it, they will be 5A.

Galesburg (4-4) must win vs Canton, MI (6-2) to make it.

St Francis needs Maria (0-5 ???) to win vs St Joes (1-7) to make it

Looks like an uphill battle for both.
Click to expand...

Not quite. St. Francis would lose the tiebreaker regardless. They're OUT
 
Goomlah

Goomlah

Junior
Jul 29, 2011
3,127
312
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If one of Galesburg or Alden-Hebron win and get in who is the first team out?

If 1 wins Tolono Cumberland is out. If both win West Aurora is out too.
 
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