A&M -7 vs Bears... thoughts?..

[Xenomorph]

I know it's in Oxford, but that looks low to me.

Aggies scoring 49 ppg, Bears 27
Aggies giving up 30 ppg, Bears 25
Aggies coming off a bye.

 

[patdog]

I'd bet on A&M at twice the spread.

 

[SignalToNoise]

Does seem low. Weren't they also -7 at Upig? They beat them 45-33 and I think the bears are better than Upig.

 

[ShrubDog]

(49-27 =12
30-25=5) Edited

49-30=19
27-25=2

19-2 =17


17/2 = 8.5.....Its an away game so 7 is about right.

49+27 = 76
30+25 =55

76+55=131

131/2 = 65.5.....avg 66 pts a game and O/U is 70 I think. So they are expecting lots of points.



I like LSU -7 vs UF

 

[Philly Dawg]

Parlay A&M -7 and the over.

 

[Xenomorph]

Check your math, Pythagoras.

49-27 =12
30-25=5

17/2 = 8.5.....Its an away game so 7 is about right.

49+27 = 76
30+25 =55

76+55=131

131/2 = 65.5.....avg 66 pts a game and O/U is 70 I think. So they are expecting lots of points.



I like LSU -7 vs UF

 

[Philly Dawg]

If this is a valid method of calculating the line, then it should be -13.5 or -10.5 if you give Ole Miss three points for being at home. That makes -7 a good bet.

 

[ShrubDog]

One of many formulas and angles.

 

[Topgundawg]

Just got -6.5 overs don't list till late in the week...

 

[rugbdawg]

I think Ole Miss wins this one.

See last years game. Ole Miss should have won it. From last year, Ole Miss is much better and Manziel's team is much worse.

 

[TheGoat.sixpack]

See last years game. Ole Miss should have won it. From last year, Ole Miss is much better and Manziel's team is much worse.

Say what?

 

[AlCoDog]

Had A&M not turned it over 6 times, that game wouldn't have been close. That being said, neither team will be able to stop the other. I like OM and the points with A&M winning a close one on final possession.

 

[coach66]

Should be high scoring game but I don't think The Bears will be able to score as

much as the "The Mad Syrian", he beats anything I've ever seen.

 

[coach66]

Just my opinion but A&M was not on fire when they played Ole Miss last year,

they played pretty poorly that night and found a way to win. After that game A&M was damn near unbeatable but as others have pointed out they are a far cry defensively this year from where they were last year.

 

[TheGoat.sixpack]

Did you see what the Auburn QB did to The Bears? I think you know where I'm going with that.

 

[ShrubDog]

Yea they are expecting points.
O/U 74

 

[RocketDawg]

Both teams are capable of scoring almost at will against the other's defense, but I think A&M wins because Manziel is more capable than Wallace. And the Bears haven't scored very well in the last two games.

 

[dotcomdawg]

The Bears snuck up on people last year. Everyone took them lightly. This year that's not happening and it is evident by the Bama and Auburn scores. A&M by 14. 2013 is the year the Freeze myth gets exposed.

See last years game. Ole Miss should have won it. From last year, Ole Miss is much better and Manziel's team is much worse.

 

[rugbdawg]

Line is down to 6 and 6 1/2 on other books. If Arkansas can score with their

****** offense, Ole Miss should be in the high 30s, at least.

 

[SkullCandy.sixpack]

I don't know how to handicap this one. I would think that with the season half over this weekend, and the bears having played only a single home game, they have to be juiced about finally playing at home against a "real" team. Their only home game this year was against SE Missou. They lost a fairly close game to AU, but after playing essentially the entire season so far on the road, I'm not sure they weren't road weary. And Auburn had an open date the week before the game.

I have to admit the bears got 17ed hard on their schedule this year-- not only was every real opponent they had for the first half of the season on the road-- they have to play Auburn, ATM and LSU--who have 3 losses between them-- the week after each of those teams have open dates.

Ouch. They must have pissed off somebody.

 

[KurtRambis4]

I'm sorry

but that mantra, that the bears "snuck up" on teams was and is BS. If anyone thinks that Saban or Sumlin had their teams unprepared vs OM last year, then they're in for a surprise. The only people the bears "snuck up on" we're the media (dubmasses) and the fans (dubmasses).

 

[Faustdog]

I would much rather load up on the Bulldogs vs. Bowling Green than touch that one. BG has played one team from a power conference and lost 42-10 to Indiana.

 

[121Josey]

but that mantra, that the bears "snuck up" on teams was and is BS. If anyone thinks that Saban or Sumlin had their teams unprepared vs OM last year, then they're in for a surprise. The only people the bears "snuck up on" we're the media (dubmasses) and the fans (dubmasses).

I wholeheartedly buy it. The influx of Freeze's and Sumlin's offense caught teams off-guard. The TSUN - TAMU game was close last year because both teams practice against this offense every week in practice. Heck, LATech took TAMU to overtime! So, would say that Saban had his team ready for TAMU last year (at home) or TAMU this year (on the road)?

And Johnny 17in' Football did not hit his crescendo until he played State. He was on-fire the rest of the season. Much like AU 2010, they really didn't know what they had with Cam Newton until October.

 

[KurtRambis4]

Reading all I've read

about Saban and knowing how disciplined he is (and expects his players to be), I will NEVER believe he had his team(s) unprepared. No message board post will lead me to believe differently.

 

[Topgundawg]

Can't say I don't disagree here but Tulsa did drill Iowa State last year in the Liberty Bowl and Indiana not having much but looks like they have what we have showed so far. We are -11 and OM is + 7. I think A&M busts the bears by 10 + (42-31) and we bust BG by 17+ depending on what we do at QB.

 

[thatsbaseball]

Then the best bet on this game is the over

 

[Philly Dawg]

Someone suggested 65 which is what I was going by. I suspect it may be higher.

 

[karlchilders.sixpack]

My opinion, and I've been wrong aplenty

Ta&m will cover that spread easily.

Week Off and all, plus JFF... vs Goldie Locks...

 

[ShrubDog]

Someone suggested 65 which is what I was going by. I suspect it may be higher.

The numbers average score between both teams is 65.5. I capped the O/U to be 70 before I looked at the actual number. And the actual number is 74.5.

And to put that into perspective its 2nd the highest O/U of the week behind Baylor at 80. And its even higher than Baylor (70) and Oregon (69) last week.

Books are really having to adjust these O/U this year and have been getting killed by all of the overs. Its been easy pickings so far. As of right now Over 74.5 is a realistic play even though its about 3 points higher than it would normally be.

 

[rabiddawg]

is this the "moral victory" line?

 

[ShrubDog]

See last years game. Ole Miss should have won it. From last year, Ole Miss is much better and Manziel's team is much worse.

TXam put 40 on Bama this year.

Bears put 0 on Bama this year.

Who's team is better or worse?

 

[rugbdawg]

Bump. No idea why any of you think Ole Miss is a possible

win. Ole Miss wins...just like I said.

 

[Hump4Hoops]

Once again tonight, you're wrong.

You're more of an emotional, overreacting ***** than any woman I've ever met.

 

[DesotoCountyDawg]

Great job.

.